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🏇 RACE 9 – GULFSTREAM PARK

📍 1 1/16 Miles (Tapeta) | Starter Optional Claiming $20k / SAL $12,500
📌 Fillies & Mares, 3&up (started for $12.5k or less since 12/5/23 OR $20k tag)
📅 Post Time: 4:22 ET
📈 Par Figures: Beyer N/A (starter level) | TimeformUS Speed –

Gulfstream Tapeta Route Profile:
Tapeta routes reward pace control and first-flight stalkers. Deep closers need strong and sustained pressure up front to get the right setup.
Today’s race has multiple committed speeds, which upgrades stalkers and strong late finishers sitting 2–5 lengths off the lead.

🔵 Top 4 Selections

⚙️ Pace & Shape Projection

TimeformUS Early Pace (Key Runners)

• #3 Party Shaker – Early 109 / Late 42

• #7 Goodbetterbest – Early 106 / Late 63

• #4 I Love Venezuela – Early 95 / Late 60

• #2 Let’s Dance Again – Early 89 / Late 70

• #8 Gunesh – Early 88 / Late 64

Oshala: Early 51 / Late 101
Show Off: Early 74 / Late 85
Buddhist Prodigy: Early 75 / Late 80

Projected Shape

The pace will be honest-to-fast:

• Front line: #3 Party Shaker, #4 I Love Venezuela, #7 Goodbetterbest, #2 Let’s Dance Again, #8 Gunesh

• First-flight stalkers: #6 Show Off, #1 Buddhist Prodigy

• Second-flight closers: #5 Oshala

This shape forces the speeds to work, which favors:

1. Show Off sitting just behind them with proven stretch punch.

2. Oshala as the main off-the-pace threat.

🐎 Horse-by-Horse Quick Comments

#1 Buddhist Prodigy (20-1)

Lightly raced 4-year-old with only 4 career starts and 2 wins, which gives her upside. Broke her maiden for $12.5k on dirt, then stepped right up and won a $25k N2L on turf at a mile from just off the pace. Both Tapeta starts produced competitive figures in the low 60s and she handles the distance. New barn has modest numbers and she jumps in class vs proven starter mares, so she profiles more as an underneath type than a main win candidate.

#2 Let’s Dance Again (10-1)

Three-time winner this year, all at Gulfstream, with consistent 60s–low 70s Beyers and a reliable pattern. She already owns multiple route wins at 1 mile–1 1/16 on Tapeta and dirt at the $12.5k–$17.5k levels. Tactical style (Early 89 / Late 70) keeps her within range of the lead without needing the front. She steps slightly up in class, but her recent wins and strong local record place her firmly in the mix and give her real upset potential.

#3 Party Shaker (12-1)

Seasoned mare with 29 starts and a lot of local experience on Tapeta. Fast early (Early 109) and owns a recent 1 1/16-mile win at this track in $17.5k claiming with a 72 Beyer on the front end. Her late pace is weak (Late 42) and recent efforts at this exact starter/optional level at shorter distances show her tiring late when pressed. With multiple other speeds signed on, she faces more pressure today and projects as a pace factor rather than a win type.

#4 I Love Venezuela (7-2)

In raging form this year with 4 wins from her last 6 starts, including her last three route wins at Gulfstream. Excellent record at the distance (5 starts: 4–1–0) and on Tapeta (4 wins) shows a strong affinity for this configuration. She wired this same OC20k/SAL12k condition last out at 1 1/16 miles with an 84-level performance, controlling the pace. Today, she faces more early heat from Party Shaker and Goodbetterbest, which pushes her down slightly from top billing but keeps her as a major contender.

#5 Oshala (8-1)

Explosive improvement since stretching out and switching between turf and Tapeta. Won a 17.5k N2L on turf, then a 25k claimer at 1 mile, then jumped into an OC25k/N1X on Tapeta and won from off the pace with a 77-type figure. Tried stakes company in the Ginger Punch and was not disgraced, then closed well for third behind I Love Venezuela and Show Off in this same starter condition. Her Late 101 is the best closing figure in the field, and today’s heated pace gives her exactly what she needs.

#6 Show Off (3-1)

Classy mare with $212k in earnings and wins on both turf and Tapeta at Gulfstream. She has already won multiple 20k claimers and starter-type races at a mile and 1 1/16, and just finished second to I Love Venezuela in this exact condition, earning an 80-level effort while stalking and finishing strongly. She owns a perfect stalking profile (Early 74 / Late 85) for today’s setup, sitting 2–4 lengths off the dueling speeds. Her combination of class, current form, and ideal trip makes her the most reliable win profile.

#7 Goodbetterbest (2-1)

High-quality mare with 9 wins and 11 seconds from 31 starts and nearly a quarter-million in earnings. She has been holding strong form all year vs open N1X turf company at Gulfstream, often making the lead and fighting to the wire with 80–82 Beyers. On Tapeta she is 3–5–2 from 11 starts with figures in the same range. Early 106 indicates she will be part of the front group with I Love Venezuela and Party Shaker. She holds a clear class edge, but her front-running style meets more pace pressure today than in some turf races.

#8 Gunesh (6-1)

Honest mare with 17 local Tapeta starts and multiple strong efforts at both sprint and route distances. She exits a solid second in a 20k turf mile and earlier ran third behind Show Off and Burnaway in a 20k Tapeta route, finishing willingly. She has enough early foot (Early 88) to sit close but not enough sustained finishing power to match the top late runners. She fits the race shape for a minor award but sits just a notch below the main four on class and finish.

🏆 Top 4 Selections – 6–5–4–7

Alt: 2

🥇 1st – #6 Show Off (3-1)

📊 Lifetime: 18–5–2–1, $212,715
🏇 Jockey: Joe Bravo (2025: 14% wins)
🏆 Trainer: Fausto Gutierrez (2025: 15% wins)
⏱️ Top Beyer: 80 | TimeformUS: Early 74 / Late 85

Why This Horse Can Win:
✔ Proven at this exact level and distance with strong recent figures
✔ Versatile stalker who sits behind a hot, contested pace
✔ Multiple wins at Gulfstream on both turf and Tapeta
✔ Current form cycle is strong and consistent against similar or tougher company

🥈 2nd – #5 Oshala (8-1)

📊 Lifetime: 7–4–0–1, $77,770
🏇 Jockey: Dylan Egan (2025: 16% wins)
🏆 Trainer: Nader Moubarak (2025: 29% wins)
⏱️ Top Beyer: 77 | TimeformUS: Early 51 / Late 101

Why This Horse Can Win:
✔ Multiple recent wins at a mile and 1 1/16 vs comparable company
✔ Powerful Late Pace figure gives her the strongest finishing punch
✔ Already proven against this exact starter group with a solid third last out
✔ Today’s multi-speed setup upgrades her late run significantly

🥉 3rd – #4 I Love Venezuela (7-2)

📊 Lifetime: 24–5–5–0, $105,952
🏇 Jockey: Edwin Gonzalez (2025: 16% wins)
🏆 Trainer: Ronald Coy (2025: 21% wins)
⏱️ Top Beyer: 84 | TimeformUS: Early 95 / Late 60

Why This Horse Can Win:
✔ Red-hot form with four recent route wins at Gulfstream
✔ Excellent record at 1 1/16 miles on Tapeta (4 wins, 1 second from 5 starts)
✔ Speed and stamina combination that fits this starter group perfectly
✔ If she shakes loose early, she has already shown she can finish strongly at this level

🔹 4th – #7 Goodbetterbest (2-1)

📊 Lifetime: 31–9–11–5, $247,080
🏇 Jockey: J. E. Morelos (2025: 13% wins)
🏆 Trainer: Steve Klesaris (2025: 22% wins)
⏱️ Top Beyer: 82 | TimeformUS: Early 106 / Late 63

Why This Horse Can Win:
✔ Proven N1X-level mare dropping into starter company
✔ Consistently runs Beyers in the winning range
✔ Front-running style dominates when not pressured
✔ Class edge vs several in here

(Dropped to 4th choice because today’s pace picture brings more early heat than she prefers.)

🔸 Alt – #2 Let’s Dance Again (10-1)

Why She Is the Alternate:
✔ Strong, consistent GP Tapeta record at similar distances
✔ Improving 3-year-old with three wins this year
✔ Tactical enough to sit just off the pace and grind home

🏇 RACE 6 – GULFSTREAM PARK

📍 1 Mile (Dirt) | Maiden Special Weight $70,000 | Purse: $70,000
📌 2-Year-Olds | Fast Dirt Expected
📅 Post Time: 2:52 ET
📈 Par Figures: Beyer 68

Gulfstream Dirt Route Profile:
Dirt routes at Gulfstream strongly favor speed and first-flight stalkers. Deep closers win only when the pace gets out of control, which this race shape does not suggest.

🔵 Top 4 Selections

⚙️ Pace & Shape Projection

TimeformUS Early Pace Leaders

• #4 Redemption Hour – Early 122

• #6 Vino Vici – Early 117

• #2 One Reward – Early 115

• #3 Diamond Knife – Early 103

Projected Shape:

A fast but controlled pace. Redemption Hour sends hard with blinkers on. Vino Vici, One Reward, and Diamond Knife sit right behind him. The Pulse sits midpack waiting for the pace to soften.

Trip Outlook:

• Front: #4 Redemption Hour

   

• Pressers (Perfect Trip Group): #6 Vino Vici, #2 One Reward, #3 Diamond Knife

   

• Stalk/Closer: #7 The Pulse

   

• Too far back to fit Gulfstream dirt bias: #1 Freddie B, #5 Gregarious

   

This race gives a significant advantage to the pressing group, which is why Vino Vici receives top billing.

🐎 Horse-by-Horse Quick Comments

#1 Freddie B (30-1)

First-time starter with long workouts but no standout drills. Trainer does win with debut routers but the pedigree and pattern suggest he needs experience. No speed figures or races on the page. Tough assignment against proven maiden special weight runners.

#2 One Reward (7-2)

Two strong efforts at Churchill Downs with Beyers of 68 and 77, both fitting this race’s par. Earned an excellent Early Pace 115, ensuring he sits in the first flight. Has held well against much deeper MSW fields. Strong contender on speed and class, though late energy is limited.

#3 Diamond Knife (3-1)

Debut 66 Beyer at Gulfstream in a fast 6.5f maiden. Trainer wins 22% with second-time starters, a major angle. Early 103 pace figure ensures a stalking trip. Stretch-out to a mile suits his forward energy distribution. Reliable threat.

#4 Redemption Hour (12-1)

Showed strong early foot in debut and now adds blinkers, boosting an already blazing 122 Early Pace. Trainer hits well with blinkers-on runners and second starters. Pedigree strongly supports route improvement. Major speed but must improve stamina to hold off proven closers.

#5 Gregarious (15-1)

Debut runner with a solid work tab, but connections have not shown success with debut routers at this class level. No pace figures or racing experience. Not preferred over the top-speed group.

#6 Vino Vici (9-5)

The most accomplished runner in the field. Three races, all with Beyers 70–76, consistently above par for this level. His second at Keeneland going 1 1/16 miles showed real stamina and finishing strength. Early 117 pace figure puts him in the ideal press-and-pounce position. Trainer excels with 2-year-olds and maiden special weights. The most reliable win profile.

#7 The Pulse (5-2)

Explosive late run in debut despite a tough wide trip. Earned a 66 Beyer with a powerful late pace figure of 80. Trainer wins 26% with second starters, a huge angle. Should improve significantly routing for the first time. Only drawback: pace setup favors speed, but he has enough tactical ability to get involved.

🏆 Top 4 Selections – 6–7–3–2

(Alt: 4)

🥇 1st – #6 VINO VICI (9-5)

📊 Lifetime: 3–0–2–1
⏱️ Top Beyer: 76 | Pace: Early 117 / Late 60

Why Vino Vici Can Win:

✔ Best and most consistent speed figures in the field
✔ Proven at two turns already
✔ Tactical pace setup perfectly matches the Gulfstream dirt-route profile
✔ Strong trainer + improving pattern

🥈 2nd – #7 THE PULSE (5-2)

📊 Lifetime: 1–0–0–1
⏱️ Top Beyer: 66 | Pace: Early 55 / Late 80

Why The Pulse Can Win:

✔ Huge late kick and major improvement expected second start
✔ Trainer excels with maiden second-timers
✔ Pedigree supports the stretch-out
✔ Can capitalize if the pace gets even slightly hotter than expected

🥉 3rd – #3 DIAMOND KNIFE (3-1)

📊 Lifetime: 1–0–0–1
⏱️ Top Beyer: 66 | Pace: Early 103 / Late 51

Why Diamond Knife Can Win:

✔ Excellent debut behind two strong runners
✔ High-percentage second-start trainer
✔ Tactical speed ensures a perfect pressing spot
✔ Stretch-out should suit his running style

🔹 4th – #2 ONE REWARD (7-2)

📊 Lifetime: 2–0–0–1
⏱️ Top Beyer: 77 | Pace: Early 115 / Late 52

Why One Reward Can Win:

✔ Top last-out Beyer in the field
✔ Multiple strong maiden races at Churchill
✔ First-flight speed is a major advantage in Gulfstream dirt routes
✔ Reliable, consistent effort every start

🔸 Alt – #4 REDEMPTION HOUR (12-1)

✔ Fastest early speed in the field
✔ Blinkers-on angle improves pace efficiency
✔ Trainer excels with second starters