Thursday, September 29, 2022
Belmont at the Big A
I Play Exacta Boxes
In races with 3 selections the total cost will be $6 for a $1 bet In races with 4 selections the total cost will be $12 for a $1 bet
The Win Candidates are in order from our top pick to our fourth (or third).
However, we root for the two biggest prices to run 1st and 2nd as it helps our payoffs in our exacta boxes. It does not matter to me if it is our top pick or our fourth- I am trying to make money!
If you have any questions just let me know,
Tom – [email protected]
STAR RATING KEY:
= GREAT BETTING RACE = GOOD BETTING RACE = BAD BETTING RACE
Race 1
Post: 1:00 PM ET Dirt
6 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $95,000 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 1 & 2, Pick 3 ($1) (1-3) Early Pick 5 (.50) (1-5)
- 1 1 ML 2-1 Firewolves L. Saez 121 Lbs B. Cox L
- 2 2 ML 5-2 Alessia J. Gomez 116 Lbs N. Zito L
- 3 3 ML 12-1 Kitten’s Appeal K. Carmouche 121 Lbs B. Levine
- 4 4 ML 9-2 Arrogant Lady M. Franco 121 Lbs C. Clement FTL
- 5 5 ML 9-2 Clairarific J. Ortiz 121 Lbs W. Mott L
- 6 6 ML 7-2 Funny How T. McCarthy 121 Lbs R. Handal L
Selections 5-1-2 Star Rating
#5 Clairarific-showed speed in her debut last out before tiring late as the beaten favorite. She has been off since that race back in March but is working fast for her return, J.Ortiz rides her back and we should get a decent price.
#1 FIrewolves-runs for trainer Cox who is hitting at 24% on the year. This filly gets Saez, shows good works over the track and is the one to beat.
#2 Alessia– missed by only 2 in her debut then came off a 4 month layoff last out for her second career start and missed by only 3 ¾. She needed that one and should be in the money. Note: Trainer Zito is 0 for 61 on the year–ouch
Race 2
Post: 1:30 PM ET Outer turf
6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $95,000 Exacta ($1), Quinella ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 2 & 3 Pick 3 ($1) (2-4), Pick 4 (.50) (2-5)
- 1 1 ML 15-1 Captain Quick N. Juarez 124 Lbs J. Milne
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Chucka Moon J. Ortiz 121 Lbs M. Hennig L
- 3 3 ML 3-1 Smoke and Heat M. Franco 121 Lbs R. Falcone, Jr. L
- 4 4 ML 15-1 Union Lights J. Rosario 121 Lbs M. Nevin L
- 5 5 ML 20-1 Theregoesmymiracle L. Rodriguez Castro 124 Lbs D. Seyler L
- 6 6 ML 6-5 Rocket’s Red Glare I. Ortiz, Jr. 121 Lbs L. Rice L
- 7 7 ML 5-2 Java Buzz F. Prat 121 Lbs L. Rice L
- 8 M ML 2-1 Psychic Income . Rider TBA 124 Lbs R. Handal L
Selections 6-7-2-3 Star Rating
#6 Rocket’s Red Glare-rallied to finish second last out in his second career start finishing just a length and a quarter behind a repeat winner. He runs for 30% winning trainer Rice and keeps I.Ortiz in the saddle.
#7 Java Buzz- pressed the pace from the #12 post last out, got in front late but had to settle for third just 3 lengths behind our top pick. He will show his speed again today and is the one to beat.
#2 Chucka Moon-came off a 7 month layoff last out and finished only 4 lengths behind our top pick last out. He needed that one and could help our payoffs.
#3 Smoke and Heat-was claimed last out for 75k and new trainer is hitting at 26% with his claims in their first start. He removes the blinkers and has had this one gelded.
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Race 3
Post: 2:02 PM ET Dirt
Bertram F. Bongard S. 7 Furlongs | State Bred | Open | 2 Year Olds | G STAKES | Purse: $125,000 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 3 & 4, Pick 3 ($1) (3-5)
- 1 1 ML 10-1 General Banker J. Gomez 118 Lbs J. Ferraro
- 2 2 ML 6-1 Blame It On Daddy L. Saez 120 Lbs T. Albertrani
- 3 3 ML 7-5 Donegal Surges J. Ortiz 120 Lbs T. Pletcher
- 4 4 ML 4-5 Arctic Arrogance J. Lezcano 120 Lbs L. Rice
- 5 5 ML 15-1 Jackson Heights J. Castellano 118 Lbs O. Noda
Selections 3-4-1 Star Rating
#3 Donegal Surges-drew off to break his maiden by 5 in his debut then finished second on a muddy track last out in a 200k stake. He will get a fast track today and should prove tough to hold off.
#4 Arctic Arrogance-went wire to wire to break his maiden in his debut last out. He looks like the only speed and will be the one to catch.
#1 General Banker-has raced on the turf in 3 of his 4 career starts but his best race was his lone dirt race when he finished 4 lengths behind our top pick. He will be a big price and could help our payoffs.
Race 4
Post: 2:31 PM ET Dirt
6 1/2 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $25,000 | Purse: $60,000 Exacta ($1), Quinella ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 4 & 5 Pick 3 ($1) (4-6), Pick 6 ($1) (4-9)
- 1 1 ML 8-1 Happy Sophia M. Luzzi 121 Lbs R. Persaud $25,000 L
- 1A 3 ML 8-1 Mia Bea Star E. Cancel 121 Lbs R. Persaud $25,000 L
- 2 7 ML 8-5 Viradia I. Ortiz, Jr. 123 Lbs J. Camejo $25,000 L
- 2B 10 ML 8-5 Alpine Queen J. Rosario 123 Lbs J. Camejo $25,000 L
- 3 2 ML 6-1 Big Q L. Saez 123 Lbs J. D’Angelo $25,000 L
- 4 4 ML 10-1 Daily Briefing J. Gomez 116 Lbs J. Terranova, II $25,000 L
- 5 5 ML 7-2 Prairie Fire M. Franco 121 Lbs M. Kantarmaci $25,000 L
- 6 6 ML 12-1 Shadolamo J. Davis 123 Lbs J. Toscano, Jr. $25,000 L
- 7 8 ML 9-2 U Guys Are No Fun A. Worrie 123 Lbs J. Englehart $25,000 L
- 8 9 ML 15-1 She’s a Black Belt O. Hernandez Moreno 114 Lbs E. Jones $25,000 L
Selections 5-2-3-4 Star Rating
#5 Prairie Fire– has won two of his last three while being claimed in all three, last out for 16k while getting the score. New trainer is hitting at 19% with his claims in their first start and moves this one up to 25k.
#2 Viradia-was claimed last out for 12.5k by Camejo who is hitting at a huge 36% with his claims in their first start. This mare has the speed to be close from the start and will improve. #1A Alpine Queen-drew off to win by 3 last out at this same 25k level and is the one to beat.
#3 Big Q-did not fire as the beaten favorite last out while finishing 11 lengths behind our top pick and was claimed. New trainer is hitting at 25% with his claims in their first start, this one shows a bullet work since his last race and looks to rebound.
#4 Daily Briefing– drew off to win by 10 two back then finished 4th against tougher last out. He drops in class and fits better with these.
Race 5
Post: 3:03 PM ET Dirt
6 Furlongs | State Bred | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $77,000 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 5 & 6, Pick 3 ($1) (5-7) Grand Slam ($1) (5-8), Late Pick 5 (.50) (5-9)
- 1 1 ML 5-2 Inspector J. Lezcano 119 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 2 2 ML 15-1 Mighty Atlas J. Castellano 119 Lbs T. Morley
- 3 3 ML 10-1 Wanna Winna J. Rosario 119 Lbs M. Nevin
- 4 4 ML 15-1 Wynn Giant D. Davis 119 Lbs J. Englehart
- 5 5 ML 4-1 Canarsie I. Ortiz, Jr. 119 Lbs T. Pletcher
- 6 6 ML 2-1 Nobilis E. Cancel 119 Lbs G. Weaver
- 7 7 ML 12-1 D’ont Lose Cruz J. Velazquez 119 Lbs R. Schosberg
- 8 8 ML 10-1 Screen Door J. Gomez 114 Lbs K. Breen
- 9 9 ML 20-1 Tater and Tot A. Worrie 119 Lbs J. Englehart
- 10 10 ML 30-1 Shortsinthewinter K. Carmouche 119 Lbs M. Hennig
Selections 6-5-1-9 Star Rating
#6 Nobills-finished second in his debut last out missing by just a length on a muddy track at Saratoga. He needed that one and should prove tough.
#5 Canarsie-first timer from the Pletcher barn who is hitting at 17% with his debut runners. I.Ortiz takes the mount and they are the ones to beat.
#1 Inspector-first timer from the Asmussen barn is working well and this 150k colt looks ready for his debut.
#9 Tater and Tot– Long shot play missed by only 3 in his debut last out. Trainer is hitting at 21% with his maidens in their second start and at 37% when he switches one off the turf to the dirt like he is doing with this colt.
Race 6
Post: 3:35 PM ET Outer turf
6 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING : $80,000 | Purse: $115,000 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 6 & 7, Pick 3 ($1) (6-8) Pick 4 (.50) (6-9)
- 1 1 ML 15-1 A G Indy L. Saez 121 Lbs A. Margotta, Jr. L
- 2 2 ML 6-1 Keeper of Time (IRE) J. Ortiz 121 Lbs B. Walsh L
- 3 3 ML 12-1 Piece of My Heart F. Prat 121 Lbs L. Rice L
- 4 4 ML 6-1 Kept Waiting I. Ortiz, Jr. 121 Lbs R. Falcone, Jr. L
- 5 5 ML 3-1 Hit the Woah J. Rosario 123 Lbs C. Clement L
- 6 6 ML 9-2 Assertive Style J. Castellano 121 Lbs T. Morley L
- 7 7 ML 4-1 Fouette J. Lezcano 123 Lbs L. Rice L
- 8 8 ML 7-2 Ready To Venture (GB) K. Carmouche 125 Lbs M. Stidham L
Selections 5-6-8-7 Rating
#5 Hit the Woah-has won two of her last three and is coming off a win in her best effort to date. She will come from just off the pace and should continue her winning ways.
#6 Assertive Style-missed by just half a length while being claimed at this same level four back and has taken on tougher since. She drops back down and is the one to beat.
#8 Ready To Venture-has been at the top of her game all year with a 2-2-2 record from her 6 starts. She is coming off a win in her best race to date and should be in the payoffs again today.
#7 Fouette– has the speed to be on or near the lead from the start and runs for 30% winning trainer.
Race 7
Post: 4:09 PM ET Turf
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING: $80,000 | Purse: $115,000 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 7 & 8, Pick 3 ($1) (7-9)
- 1 1 ML 7-2 Big Everest (GB) J. Rosario 124 Lbs C. Clement L
- 2 2 ML 4-1 Dreams of Tomorrow L. Saez 122 Lbs C. McGaughey III L
- 3 3 ML 10-1 Anaconda J. Ortiz 122 Lbs J. Sharp L
- 4 4 ML 15-1 Starting Over T. McCarthy 126 Lbs R. Falcone, Jr. L
- 5 5 ML 5-1 Therapist F. Prat 122 Lbs C. Clement $80,000 L
- 6 6 ML 3-1 Good Governance (GB) I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs C. Brown L
- 7 7 ML 4-1 Flop Shot (IRE) M. Franco 124 Lbs C. Brown L
- 8 8 ML 10-1 Ocala Dream J. Castellano 124 Lbs T. Morley L
- 9 M ML 3-1 King Kumbalay L. Rodriguez Castro 126 Lbs D. Duggan L
Selections 1-7-6 Rating
#1 Big Everest-came off an 8 month layoff sharp going wire to wire in two straight before missing by only 3 to a repeat winner last out after breaking a step slow. He has the inside post and will be the one to catch.
#7 Flop Shot-rallied to get the money over this course three back in his only start here. He is coming off a 4 length loss against similar and is the one to beat.
#6 Good Governance-won two in a row before missing by 6 in a stake last out. He drops a notch in class, gets I.Ortiz back in the irons and will come running late.
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Race 8
Post: 4:41 PM ET Dirt
1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $105,000 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 8 & 9
- 1 1 ML 20-1 Fromanothamutha D. Davis 118 Lbs R. Handal L
- 2 2 ML 15-1 Good Skate T. McCarthy 118 Lbs M. Giangiulio L
- 3 3 ML 5-2 Golden Alchemist F. Prat 120 Lbs C. Brown L
- 4 4 ML 15-1 Unbridled Bomber J. Ortiz 120 Lbs J. Ryerson L
- 5 5 ML 7-2 Gasoline L. Saez 120 Lbs T. Pletcher L
- 6 6 ML 3-1 Up to the Mark I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs T. Pletcher L
- 7 7 ML 12-1 Cryo J. Castellano 122 Lbs O. Noda L
- 8 8 ML 10-1 Affable Monarch M. Franco 118 Lbs J. Duarte, Jr. L
- 9 9 ML 9-2 Winit K. Carmouche 120 Lbs J. Kimmel L
Selections 4-6-3-5 Star Rating long shot play
#4 Unbridled Bomber-finished third in two straight missing by only 4 in both then finished 25 lengths behind Charge It who won by 23 lengths in a grade 3, then missed by 14 while running behind a 9 length winner last out. He is coming off two straight bullet works beating 166 others and could run a big one at a huge price.
#6 Up to the Mark-broke his maiden in his debut then missed the repeat last out but just a length and a quarter. This 450k colt is bred to be a runner and should be in it from the start and is the one to beat.
#3 Golden Alchemist-broke his maiden in his second career start then finished 4th in a grade 3 last out. He runs for 27% winning Brown and should be in the payoffs.
#5 Gasoline-is coming off a wire to wire 6 lengths maiden win and will be the one to catch.
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Race 9
Post: 5:13 PM ET Dirt
6 Furlongs | State Bred | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $77,000 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
- 1 1 ML 8-1 West Star J. Lezcano 119 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 2 2 ML 6-1 Shadow Dragon J. Alvarado 119 Lbs W. Mott
- 3 3 ML 6-1 Looms Boldly M. Franco 119 Lbs B. Cox
- 4 4 ML 9-2 Thank You Jon L. Saez 119 Lbs C. Summers
- 5 5 ML 30-1 Storm the Empire A. Worrie 119 Lbs J. Englehart
- 6 6 ML 30-1 Hyper Speed A. Castillo 119 Lbs N. Zito
- 7 7 ML 15-1 Pagett J. Gomez 114 Lbs R. Rodriguez
- 8 8 ML 8-1 Leftembehind D. Davis 119 Lbs B. Tagg
- 9 9 ML 5-1 Deliberate Risk F. Prat 119 Lbs J. Sisterson
- 10 10 ML 15-1 Max Foster T. McCarthy 119 Lbs J. Englehart
- 11 11 ML 7-2 Uncle Marty J. Ortiz 119 Lbs L. Rice
Selections 11-3-4-10 Star Rating
#11 Uncle Marty-showed little in his debut while racing on the turf then switched to the dirt and missed by just a head last out. He is improving and will come running late.
#3 Looms Boldly– first timer from the Cox barn who is hitting at 20% with his debut runners.
#4 Thank You Jon-first timer from the Summers barn is working well and looks ready for his debut.
#10 Max Foster- Long shot play showed speed and missed by only 4 while catching a sloppy track in his debut last out. Trainer is hitting at 21% with his maidens in their second start and this one cuts back in distance.