by Tom Battaglia | Dec 10, 2025 | Betting Advantage, Handiapping
After handicapping more than 200,000 races over 40 years, patterns emerge—but so do the limits of human cognition. Our instincts can be sharp. Our memory, trained. But no human can simultaneously quantify a dozen conflicting variables in real-time, across thousands of...
by Tom Battaglia | Nov 4, 2025 | Betting Advantage, Handiapping
Every horse only gets one debut. And for the public, that’s usually where the story ends.They look at the Beyer, check the running line — “pressed early, faded late” — and decide they’ve seen enough.But real handicappers know better.For us, the debut is only Chapter...
by Tom Battaglia | Oct 13, 2025 | Betting Advantage, Handiapping
After 40 years and more than 200,000 races, I’ve learned one thing — the morning line isn’t the truth. It’s just an opinion. 🎯 The Morning Line Myth Most players treat the morning line like gospel — as if it’s predicting which horse will win. It isn’t. The morning...
by Tom Battaglia | Sep 16, 2025 | Betting Advantage, Handiapping
The Daily Racing Form gives you more data than most players realize. The trick is knowing how to interpret it. Beyer Speed Figures – One number. How fast the horse ran after adjusting for distance and track variant. TimeformUS Pace Figures – Two numbers. Early speed...
