Thursday, September 29, 2022
Churchill Downs
I Play Exacta Boxes
In races with 3 selections the total cost will be $6 for a $1 bet In races with 4 selections the total cost will be $12 for a $1 bet
The Win Candidates are in order from our top pick to our fourth (or third).
However, we root for the two biggest prices to run 1st and 2nd as it helps our payoffs in our exacta boxes. It does not matter to me if it is our top pick or our fourth- I am trying to make money!
If you have any questions just let me know,
Tom – support@battagliaspicks.com
STAR RATING KEY:
= GREAT BETTING RACE = GOOD BETTING RACE = BAD BETTING RACE
Race 1
Post: 5:00 PM ET Dirt
1 1/16 Miles | Fillies | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN CLAIMING: $50,000 | Purse: $58,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
- 1 1 ML 2-1 Tequila Empire F. Arrieta 119 Lbs R. Diodoro $50,000
- 2 2 ML 5-2 Reina Bella R. Bejarano 119 Lbs E. Kenneally $50,000
- 3 3 ML 5-2 Dre Me Less M. Garcia 119 Lbs G. Arnold, II $50,000
- 4 4 ML 10-1 Frosty Diva A. Beschizza 119 Lbs G. Forster $50,000
- 5 5 ML 4-1 Truism E. Morales 119 Lbs T. Drury, Jr. $50,000
- 6 6 ML 10-1 Perfect Rose J. Court 119 Lbs G. Vasquez, Sr. $50,000
Churchill Downs Selections 3-2-1 Star Rating
#3 Dre Me Less-showed decent speed in her debut before tiring late while taking on tougher MSW runners. She drops down to MCL a 19% winning move for trainer Arnold and shows three good works over the track since her last race.
#2 Reina Bella-missed by only 2 ½ lengths in her debut last out while racing on the turf at Ellis. Trainer Kenneally adds blinkers, switches her to the dirt and had a big winner yesterday.
#1 Tequila Empire-improved in her second career start last out to miss by just a length and ¾. She runs for Diodoro who is hitting at 22% here and will come running late.
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Race 2
Post: 5:29 PM ET Dirt
1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $50,000 | Purse: $75,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
- 1 1 ML 7-2 Palace Coup G. Corrales 122 Lbs J. Sharp $50,000 L
- 2 2 ML 8-5 Spa City T. Gaffalione 122 Lbs M. Maker $50,000 L
- 3 3 ML 2-1 Galerio R. Bejarano 122 Lbs N. Cash L
- 4 4 ML 5-1 My Sixth Sense M. Garcia 122 Lbs S. Hobby $50,000 L
- 5 5 ML 6-1 Sugoi J. Rocco, Jr. 122 Lbs M. Tomlinson $50,000 L
Churchill Downs Selections 1-2-3 Star Rating
#1 Palace Coup-fast gelding has a win and a third from his two starts over the track. He has the speed to make the lead from the inside and should prove tough to beat.
#2 Spa City-has been taking on tougher competition and this drop in class makes him the one to beat.
#3 Galerio-has been in the money in 30 of his 35 career starts and runs his race every time.
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Race 3
Post: 5:58 PM ET Dirt
1 Mile | Auction | Fillies | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $92,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $.20 Derby City-6
- 1 1 ML 8-1 Big Dig E. Morales 119 Lbs T. Drury, Jr.
- 2 2 ML 4-5 Janis Joplin V. Cheminaud 119 Lbs M. Casse
- 3 3 ML 20-1 Stage Bell J. Talamo 119 Lbs H. Pitts
- 4 4 ML 20-1 Basilica D Oro R. Diaz 114 Lbs Y. Orantes
- 5 5 ML 15-1 Steel Racer J. Gilligan 119 Lbs W. Walden
- 6 6 ML 3-1 Amaryllis T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs R. Brisset
- 7 7 ML 7-2 Cotton Candy Annie B. Hernandez, Jr. 119 Lbs K. McPeek
Churchill Downs Selections 2-7-6 Star Rating
#2 Janis Joplin-finished third in her debut against MSW runners over this track then took on stakes company in three straight. She drops back in with maidens and should beat these.
#7 Cotton Candy-has improved in each of her four starts. She is coming off a 4 length loss at Kentucky Downs and should be close from the start.
#6 Amaryllis-finished second in her debut last out and trainer Brisset is hitting at a big 28% with his maidens in their second start.
Race 4
Post: 6:27 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $20,000 | Purse: $50,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Pick 5 (Races 4-8)
- 1 1 ML 8-1 Moudari J. Graham 120 Lbs J. Schlenk $20,000 L
- 2 2 ML 4-1 Super Cat Lady C. Lanerie 121 Lbs M. Tomlinson $20,000 L
- 3 3 ML 3-1 Fantail (GB) R. Gutierrez 121 Lbs A. Meah $20,000 L
- 4 4 ML 10-1 Pontiffany C. Bailey 118 Lbs R. Barrett $20,000 L
- 5 5 ML 8-1 Monocacy G. Franco 118 Lbs B. King $20,000 L
- 6 6 ML 9-2 More Romance M. Garcia 121 Lbs M. Scherer $20,000 L
- 7 7 ML 8-1 Beach Kitten J. Riquelme 118 Lbs M. Scherer $20,000 L
- 8 8 ML 9-2 Verklimt T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs J. DiVito $20,000 L
Churchill Downs Selections 8-3-2-6 Star Rating
#8 Verklimt-broke her maiden two back then showed speed from the #11 post when switching to the turf last out before stopping late. She drops in class, switches back to the dirt and we should get a decent price.
#3 Fantail-despite being mostly a turf runner this one has the class to run with these no matter the racing surface.
#2 Super Cat Lady-has a win from her 3 starts here. She missed by only 5 last out while coming off an 8 month layoff, drops a notch in class and will improve.
#6 More Romance-finished 4th last out over this track. She drops a notch in class and the good start here will help her chances.
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Race 5
Post: 6:56 PM ET Dirt
6 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $25,000 | Purse: $56,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
- 1 1 ML 5-2 World of Wonder M. Murrill 121 Lbs C. Hartman $25,000 L
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Diamond Lydiamarie G. Corrales 121 Lbs J. Esquivel $25,000 L
- 3 3 ML 8-1 Clever Tale R. Aragon 121 Lbs M. Evans II $25,000 L
- 4 4 ML 20-1 Kitty’s Promise J. Gilligan 121 Lbs A. Faircloth $25,000
- 5 5 ML 9-2 Super Wonder Girl A. Beschizza 121 Lbs B. Williamson $25,000 L
- 6 6 ML 5-1 My My Munny C. Bailey 116 Lbs S. Stuart $25,000 L
- 7 7 ML 6-1 Girls a Bullet F. Arrieta 121 Lbs T. Vance $25,000 L
- 8 8 ML 8-1 Everyotherwon G. Franco 121 Lbs M. Lauer $25,000 L
- 9 9 ML 6-1 Beachside Bunny E. Morales 121 Lbs J. Blair $25,000 L
Churchill Downs Selections 6-1-5-9 Star Rating
#6 My My Munny-likes this track winning 2 of 7 with a third. She finished third last out over the track against 50k claimers, drops to 25k today and the start here is an advantage.
#1 World of Wonder-used her speed to win two in a row then finished 4th last out against tougher. She drops down in class and trainer is hitting at 23%
#5 Super Wonder Girl-has a 1-1-1 record from her 6 starts here. She won two in a row before moving up too far in class last out and finished 6th. She drops back down and fits better with these.
#9 Beachside Bunny-ran a good race when last seen over this track to finish just a length behind our top pick. She should be close from the start and will be a good price.
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Race 6
Post: 7:25 PM ET Dirt
6 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $120,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 10-1 Mobster V. Cheminaud 119 Lbs M. Casse
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Devils Red G. Corrales 119 Lbs D. O’Neill
- 3 3 ML 8-1 Accident I. Wiseman 119 Lbs T. Short
- 4 4 ML 12-1 Tapping Out a Tune J. Graham 119 Lbs J. Barkley
- 5 5 ML 4-1 Tres Soles R. Santana, Jr. 119 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 6 6 ML 20-1 Crepe Yarns J. Leparoux 119 Lbs I. Wilkes
- 7 7 ML 12-1 Major Blue M. Murrill 119 Lbs D. Lukas
- 8 8 ML 3-1 Double Barrel F. Geroux 119 Lbs B. Cox
- 9 9 ML 10-1 Reagan D. Cohen 119 Lbs D. Stewart
- 10 10 ML 15-1 Western Command R. Bejarano 119 Lbs G. Foley
- 11 11 ML 15-1 Mackman B. Hernandez, Jr. 119 Lbs C. DeVaux
- 12 12 ML 8-1 Sir Rock A. Beschizza 119 Lbs K. Danner
- 13 A ML 20-1 Be Ruthless C. Villasana 119 Lbs J. Jazdzewski
- 14 A ML 15-1 Big Hat Willie G. Franco 119 Lbs W. Morey
Churchill Downs Selections 2-3-8-5 Star Rating
#2 Devils Red-first timer from the O’Neill barn is coming off two straight bullet works at Keeneland and looks ready for a big effort.
#3 Accident-is coming off back to back third place finishes last out in a 500k stake at Kentucky Downs. She shows a bullet work since and will be a big price.
#8 Double Barrel-first timer from the Cox barn who came through with a couple of wins for us yesterday.
#5 Tres Soles-400k first timer from the Asmussen barn is bred to be a runner and is working well for his debut.
Race 7
Post: 7:54 PM ET Dirt
1 1/8 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING: $80,000 | Purse: $134,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
- 1 1 ML 3-1 Microcap J. Graham 122 Lbs G. Forster $80,000 L
- 2 2 ML 2-1 Misty Veil F. Arrieta 122 Lbs T. Amoss $80,000 L
- 3 3 ML 6-1 Smarmy J. Leparoux 122 Lbs P. Bauer L
- 4 4 ML 10-1 Jungle Juice (IRE) R. Diaz 117 Lbs A. Meah L
- 5 5 ML 5-2 Salute the Flag M. Murrill 122 Lbs J. Jones L
- 6 6 ML 5-1 Designer Ready J. Talamo 122 Lbs T. Drury, Jr. L
Churchill Downs Selections 3-2-6 Star Rating
#3 Smarmy-came off a two month layoff last out and showed speed before a fourth place finish over this track. She needed that one and this 700k filly will show speed at a price.
#2 Misty Veil-has been in the money in all five of her starts over this track with a 1-3-1 record. She drops in class and is the one to beat.
#5 Salute the Flag-got the score when last seen here then missed by only 7 in a stake at Ellis last out while coming off a 2 month layoff. She finds easier today and will come from just off the pace.
Race 8
Post: 8:23 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING: $75,000 | Purse: $60,000 Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Super Hi-5
- 1 1 ML 12-1 Beyblader R. Bejarano 121 Lbs T. Glyshaw $75,000 L
- 2 2 ML 20-1 Tebow G. Corrales 124 Lbs C. Vaccarezza $75,000 L
- 3 3 ML 5-2 Slim Man F. Geroux 121 Lbs B. Cox $75,000 L
- 4 4 ML 6-1 Derivative A. Beschizza 121 Lbs M. Casse $75,000 L
- 5 5 ML 8-1 Rumble Ready G. Franco 121 Lbs S. Margolis $75,000 L
- 6 6 ML 10-1 Triple Option J. Talamo 121 Lbs R. Medina $75,000 L
- 7 7 ML 10-1 Vale J. Graham 121 Lbs G. Forster $75,000 L
- 8 8 ML 10-1 Rough Sketch M. Garcia 124 Lbs B. Colebrook $75,000 L
- 9 9 ML 8-1 Street Fight J. Rocco, Jr. 121 Lbs M. Tomlinson $75,000 L
- 10 10 ML 20-1 Kenric M. Murrill 121 Lbs P. Huffman $75,000
- 11 11 ML 7-2 Mahoney Road T. Gaffalione 121 Lbs G. Foley $75,000 L
Churchill Downs Selections 3-11-4-8 Star Rating
#3 Slim Man-drops from MSW to MCL for trainer Cox who is hitting at a big 36% with his maidens making this move.
#11 Mahoney Road-has three third place finishes from his four career starts all against MSW runners. He drops to MCL, a huge 42% winning move for Foley and is the one to beat.
#4 Derivative-yet another runner dropping from MSW to MCL this one for trainer Casse who is hitting at 18% with his runners making this drop.
#8 Rough Sketch-first timer from the Colebrook barn is working well for his debut and we should get a good price.
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