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Competitor Claims $861.90 Yesterday — Here’s What They’re Not Telling You

  🚨 Competitor Spotlight: “Guaranteed Winners” — The REAL Cost Behind Their Claimed $861.90

Before I talk about Boom Exactas or anything we did yesterday, I want to show you something important.

A lot of players have been asking about a popular competitor:
“Guaranteed Winners.”

And right now, on their website, they’re advertising:

“Yesterday’s Churchill Downs winnings: $861.90”

Sounds respectable, right?
Sounds profitable.
Sounds like a good day.

But once you understand the actual betting cost required to match that number…
it becomes one of the most misleading things in horse racing.

Let’s break it down — using yesterday, not a cherry-picked card.


🔍 How Their System Actually Works

They give you 4 horses per race.

And to calculate their “winnings,” they count:

  • Any of the 4 finishing 1st, 2nd, or 3rd

  • Any exacta between any two of the 4

  • Every Daily Double using all 4

  • Every Pick 3 using all 4

  • Every Pick 4 using all 4

  • Every Pick 5 using all 4

  • Every Pick 6 using all 4

That means to match their $861.90, you would have to bet every single combination they are counting.

Let’s see what that costs.


1️⃣ W/P/S on All 4 Horses

They count any of their 4 horses running first, second, or third.

So to match their “winnings,” you must bet:

  • Win on 4 horses

  • Place on 4 horses

  • Show on 4 horses

That’s 12 bets per race.

At $2 each:

  • $2 × 12 = $24 per race

  • 10 races = $240


2️⃣ $2 Exacta Box With All 4 Horses

A 4-horse exacta box = 12 combinations.

At $2 per combination:

  • 12 × $2 = $24 per race

  • 10 races = $240


✔️ Subtotal Before Any Multi-Race Bets

$240 (W/P/S) + $240 (Exactas) = $480

Already, you’re at nearly five hundred dollars just to chase their numbers.

But they also count every multi-race payoff involving their 4 horses…

So the real betting cost keeps climbing.


3️⃣ Multi-Race Bets Using All 4 Horses in EVERY Leg

If they claim they “hit” any Double, Pick 3, Pick 4, Pick 5, or Pick 6,
you must use all 4 horses in every leg to match it.

Here’s the true cost:


🟦 DAILY DOUBLE (4 × 4 = 16 combinations)

16 combos × $1 × 9 doubles = $144


🟨 PICK 3 (4 × 4 × 4 = 64 combinations)

64 combos × $0.50 × 8 = $256


🟪 PICK 4 (4 × 4 × 4 × 4 = 256 combos)

256 × $0.50 × 3 P4s = $384


🟥 PICK 5 (4 × 4 × 4 × 4 × 4 = 1,024 combos)

1,024 × $0.50 × 2 = $1,024


⬛ PICK 6 (4 × 4 × 4 × 4 × 4 × 4 = 4,096 combos)

4,096 × $0.20 = $819.20


✔️ Multi-Race Total = $2,627.20


📢 GRAND TOTAL: What You’d Actually Have to Bet

$480 — W/P/S + $2 exacta boxes

$2,627.20 — multi-race bets

➡️ TRUE COST = $3,107.20

To “win” their $861.90,
a real bettor would have had to spend over three thousand dollars yesterday.

Meaning the true result is:

🚫 –$2,245.30 LOSS

 

And that’s why I wanted to start here —
so you understand the difference between marketing… and reality.

💵 What They Charge vs. What We Charge

Before I show you our results from yesterday, let’s talk pricing — because this is where the comparison becomes almost unbelievable.

Guaranteed Winners charges:

  • $60 per month, or

  • $260 for 6 months

That’s what you pay just to access their picks…

…and then, to “match” their claimed $861.90 in winnings from yesterday, you’d still need to bet:

$3,107.20 of your own money on the tracks they cover every race day.

Now compare that to Battaglia’s Picks:

Battaglia’s Picks 1-Year Membership:

  • $99 for an entire YEAR

Not $60 a month.
Not $260 for six months.
$99 for 12 months of full-card selections, every day.

And unlike their system, our plays are:

  • Realistic

  • Bettable

  • Affordable

  • Designed for normal players

  • Proven with consistent Boom Exactas

  • And profitable without needing a $20,000 betting bankroll

This is why the following comparison (same track, same day, same races) is so important — because yesterday was not a cherry-picked monster day.

I simply used yesterday, because fairness matters.


🎯 Now Let’s Look at Our Results — From the Exact Same Day

To keep this completely fair, I didn’t cherry-pick a big hit day.

I simply took yesterday at Churchill Downs — the same card they used.

Here’s what Battaglia’s Picks did:

We invested: $108

We returned: $122.86

Profit: +$14.86

Not a monster day.
Not a record-setting day.
Just a clean, honest, profitable day.

We hit 4 exactas (below our normal average), yet even on a below-par card…

We still delivered:

💥 Race 1 — $51.12 Boom Exacta

💥 Race 9 — $50 Boom Exacta

Those two plays alone validate the entire day —
because they demonstrate exactly what our system is built to do:

Find value the public misses.

🎟️ Become a 1-Year Member Today

You get every track we cover…
every race…
every day…
including all major meets — for an entire year.

👉 Join the 1-Year Membership

Just $99 — one full year of elite, value-driven handicapping.
Lifetime profit potential for the cost of a single losing bet.

Click here to join:


🔥 What the Heck Is a Boom Exacta? (And Why They Matter)

A Boom Exacta is:

Any $1 exacta that pays $50 or more.

That’s it.

These aren’t chalk exactas.
They aren’t lucky hits.
And they don’t come from throwing 6–8 horses at the board.

They come from:

  • Identifying the true four win contenders

  • Spotting undervalued price horses

  • Using Timeform pace advantage

  • Understanding public overbetting patterns

  • And boxing the race ONLY when real value exists

Here’s the key:

Most services don’t hit a single $50 exacta all month.

Some go an entire year without one.

If they actually told you to bet just an exacta…

If they hit ONE…
it would be their homepage headline for weeks. 

We hit two yesterday
on a below-average day.

That’s what makes our system different.
That’s why our Boom Exactas matter.
And that’s why our players win long term.

Here is a Screen shot of their race #1 yesterday at Churchill 

Here is our race #1


Results- winner #3 Second #5 Exacta returned $51.12 for $1

🏇 RACE 1 – Churchill Downs

📍 7 Furlongs | Maiden Claiming $100,000 | Purse: $72,000
📌 3yo & Up Fillies & Mares | Dirt | Track Condition: — | Track Bias: No published bias
📅 Post Time: 1:00 ET
📈 Par Figures: Beyer 74 | TimeformUS

🔵 Top 4 Selections-Exacta Box

Horse Odds Key Angle
🟩 #5 Plaza Cue 7–5 Strong MSW speed + major class drop
🟨 #2 Executive Suite 7–2 Cox firster with three bullets
🟧 #6 Nana Grace 3–1 Purchase-price drop + best late pace
🟥 #3 Ashes and Diamonds 6–1 First off claim + proven 7f form
#4 Dancing Girl 10–1 MSW-to-MCL drop with strong late pace

⚙️ Pace & Shape Projection

  • TimeformUS Early Pace Leaders:
    • #5 Plaza Cue – Early 97 
    • #1 Bit of Frost – Early 66 
    • #3 Ashes and Diamonds – Early 55 
  • Projected Shape:
    Plaza Cue controls the pace with a clear early-speed advantage. Bit of Frost tracks just behind, with Executive Suite and Nana Grace sitting midpack. Dancing Girl and Nana Grace deliver the strongest finishing kicks. 
  • Trip Outlook:
    Plaza Cue dictates honest fractions. Executive Suite and Nana Grace stalk in ideal positions. Ashes and Diamonds and Dancing Girl close late for minor awards. 

🐎 Horse-by-Horse Quick Comments

#1 Bit of Frost (8–1) – Consistent filly with a 60 top Beyer who fits underneath. Tracks the pace with 66 early/72 late TimeformUS numbers. Competitive recent thirds at Keeneland and Churchill.

#2 Executive Suite (7–2) – Brad Cox first-time starter with three bullet works and top-level dirt sprint fundamentals. Candy Ride–Curlin pedigree supports 7f.

#3 Ashes and Diamonds (6–1) – First off claim with a 65 top Beyer. Reliable seven-furlong form at Churchill and Keeneland. Strong 87 late pace.

#4 Dancing Girl (10–1) – More Than Ready filly dropping from MSW. Closed well after trouble in her Saratoga debut. Strong late pace profile.

#5 Plaza Cue (7–5) – The most reliable MSW performer in the field, repeatedly running par-or-better figures. Controlling early speed with a 97 early pace rating. Big class drop.

#6 Nana Grace (3–1) – $275k Munnings filly finally running below her purchase price. Excellent 97 late pace and a sharp closing second at Keeneland last out.

🏆 Top 4 Selections – 5-2-6-3 (Alt: 4)

🥇 #5 Plaza Cue (7–5)

📊 Lifetime: 6 starts, multiple seconds and thirds, $85,377
🏇 Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr. (11%)
🏆 Trainer: Ken McPeek (17%)
⏱️ Top Beyer: 76 | ⚡ TimeformUS: Early 97 / Late 81

Why This Horse Can Win:
✔ Class drop into maiden claiming after strong MSW efforts
✔ Significant early pace advantage
✔ Proven 7f ability at major tracks
✔ Reliable par-quality speed figures

🥈 #2 Executive Suite (7–2)

📊 Lifetime: First-time starter
🏇 Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr. (25%)
🏆 Trainer: Brad Cox (31%)
⏱️ Top Beyer: — | ⚡ TimeformUS:

Why This Horse Can Win:
✔ Multiple bullet workouts reflect strong conditioning
✔ Cox excels with debut sprinters at this level
✔ Pedigree designed for 7f dirt
✔ Logical placement for a winning debut

🥉 #6 Nana Grace (3–1)

📊 Lifetime: 7 starts, $49,025
🏇 Jockey: Joel Rosario (22%)
🏆 Trainer: Tom Amoss (17%)
⏱️ Top Beyer: 61 | ⚡ TimeformUS: Early 54 / Late 97

Why This Horse Can Win:
✔ Strongest late pace figure in the race
✔ Running below her $275k purchase price for the first time
✔ Proven dirt form at multiple distances
✔ Consistent off-the-pace runner with upside at 7f

4th – #3 Ashes and Diamonds (6–1)

📊 Lifetime: 8 starts, $37,289
🏇 Jockey: Corey Lanerie (11%)
🏆 Trainer: James Baker (12%)
⏱️ Top Beyer: 65 | ⚡ TimeformUS: Early 55 / Late 87

Why This Horse Can Win:
✔ Fits the Beyer par for this level
✔ First off claim is a positive move
✔ Experienced and proven at 7f
✔ Tactical style suits today’s projected pace

🔄 Alternate – #4 Dancing Girl (10–1)

MSW-to-MCL dropper exiting a sneaky-good debut with a strong late pace profile; dangerous for exotic spots.

😂 The Comparison Is Almost Comical

When you lay the numbers side-by-side, it becomes almost impossible not to laugh.

Them:

  • Charge $60 per month (or $260 for 6 months)

  • Advertise $861.90 in “winnings”

  • Require over $3,107.20 in bets

  • Real result: –$2,245.30 loss

Us:

  • Charge $99 for an entire year

  • Invest $108 yesterday

  • Returned $122.86

  • Profit: +$14.86, on a below-average day

  • Hit 4 exactas, including

    • 💥 $51.12 Boom Exacta

    • 💥 $50 Boom Exacta

One side requires a spreadsheet, a second mortgage, and 3,000+ tickets.
The other requires four contenders and a realistic betting plan.

One side creates marketing numbers.
The other creates results you can actually replicate.

It’s not just a difference…
It’s not even close…

It’s almost comical.

This is why I wanted to show yesterday — not a cherry-picked monster day.
Just an ordinary Wednesday card at Churchill Downs, evaluated honestly and transparently.

And even on a below-par day for us, the system still produced two Boom Exactas and a profit with a tiny $108 investment.

That’s the difference between:

  • Real handicapping vs. coverage

  • Value vs. volume

  • Playing smart vs. playing blind

  • A system vs. a sales pitch

This is why serious players stick with Battaglia’s Picks.

🎟️ Become a 1-Year Member Today

You get every track we cover…
every race…
every day…
including all major meets — for an entire year.

👉 Join the 1-Year Membership

Just $99 — one full year of elite, value-driven handicapping.
Lifetime profit potential for the cost of a single losing bet.

Click here to join:

🚀 Start Betting Smarter — With Results You Can Actually Replicate

Don’t wait until the next Boom Exacta hits.
Don’t wait until you miss another monster card.

Join today and get tomorrow’s full card delivered straight to your inbox.

This is the clearest, most player-friendly handicapping system in racing — and yesterday proved why.

Let’s keep firing.
— Tom Battaglia

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