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Sunday, September 27, 2020

Churchill Downs

How to bet our selections:

We highly recommend playing exacta boxes in each race. They have consistently been our best return on investment and it’s how we count our winners!

In races with 3 selections the total cost will be $6 for a $1 bet
In races with 4 selections the total cost will be $12 for a $1 bet

If you have any questions just let us know- support@battagliaspicks.com

The Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates in each race are in order from our top pick to our fourth (or third). However, we root for the two biggest prices to run 1st and 2nd as it helps our payoffs in our exacta boxes. It does not matter to us if it’s our top pick or fourth!

Rating Key:

3 stars – Great betting Race
2 stars- Good Betting Race
1 star- Good Race to Pass

Quick Picks:

1st race 2-1-3-5 (1 star)

6th race 4-2-6 (2 stars)

2nd race 2-4-5 (3 stars)

7th race 6-2-5-7 (2 stars)

3rd race 1-4-2 (3 stars)

8th race 2-11-9-5 (2 stars)

4th race 1-5-7-2 (1 star)

9th race 2-5-6 (3 stars)

5th race 4-6-7-1 (1 star)

10th race 2-7-5-4 (2 stars)

Race 1

Post: 12:45 PM ET Dirt

1 1/16 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING: $30,000 | Purse: $25,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 5 (Races 1-5)

  • 1 1 ML 4-1 Rose of Paris J. Graham 120 Lbs I. Correas, IV $30,000 L
  • 2 2 ML 3-1 Funnybet C. Lanerie 120 Lbs D. Romans $30,000 L
  • 3 3 ML 4-1 Free Cause J. Talamo 120 Lbs D. Romans $30,000 L
  • 4 4 ML 9-2 Tuff Bird M. Murrill 120 Lbs C. Hartman $30,000 L
  • 5 5 ML 2-1 Tormenta A. Beschizza 120 Lbs J. Jones $30,000 L
  • 6 6 ML 15-1 Tale of Mona E. Morales 120 Lbs L. Wiggins $30,000 L
  • 7 7 ML 20-1 Hero of Love T. Canuto 110 Lbs V. Linnik $30,000 L

Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates 2-1-3-5 Rating 1 star

#2 Funny Bet-showed good speed in her second career start last out and finished 3rd. She is improve and runs on trainer home track.

#1 Rose of Paris-drops from MSW to MCL, adds blinkers and should improve.

#3 Free Cause-Another runner from the Romans barn. This one is dropping from MSW to MCL and Talamo takes the mount.

#5 Tormenta– Yet another filly dropping from MSW to this MCL this one for Larry Jones.

Race 2

Post: 1:14 PM ET Turf

1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $75,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)

  • 1 1 ML 10-1 Cibolian J. Graham 120 Lbs G. Arnold, II L
  • 2 2 ML 6-5 Summer Palace T. Gaffalione 120 Lbs B. Walsh L
  • 3 3 ML 20-1 Callmecash R. Bejarano 124 Lbs L. Jurado L
  • 4 4 ML 9-2 Criminal Defense C. Borel 120 Lbs W. Bradley L
  • 5 5 ML 7-5 Mr Matuschek S. Bridgmohan 120 Lbs K. Danner L
  • 6 6 ML 10-1 Paintsville E. Morales 120 Lbs G. Arnold, II L

Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates 2-4-5 Rating 3 stars

#2 Summer Palace– came off a two month layoff and had a rough trip while missing by only 3 lengths at Kentucky Downs last out. He needed that one and will be tough with a clean trip

#5 Mr Matuschek-showed speed last out and finished second going long on the KD turf. He is working bullets here and is the one to beat.

#4 Criminal Defense-finished only a length behind our second pick last out and should be close again today.

Race 3

Post: 1:43 PM ET Dirt

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $77,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)

  • 1 1 ML 8-5 Coastal Defense J. Talamo 122 Lbs D. Romans L
  • 2 2 ML 9-2 One Nation T. Gaffalione 124 Lbs R. Medina L
  • 3 3 ML 10-1 Luna’s in Charge R. Santana, Jr. 122 Lbs P. Bauer L
  • 4 4 ML 1-1 Major Fed J. Graham 118 Lbs G. Foley L
  • 5 5 ML 12-1 Stilts J. Leparoux 122 Lbs B. Lynch L
  • 6 6 ML 20-1 Lookin High G. Corrales 122 Lbs T. Glover L

Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates 1-4-2 Rating 3 stars

#1 Coastal Defense-got the score in his first start over this track then finished second beaten a neck then a half a length. He is at the top of his game and will be tough to beat.

#4 Major Fed-exits five straight graded stakes including the KY Derby last out. He finds easier and it should be our top two in the exacta all day long.

#2 One Nation-is coming off a wire to wire score and could be a part of the gimmicks.

Churchill Downs – Race 3   [ Chart ]

#

Win

Place

Show

1

$4.20

$2.60

$2.20

4

.

$2.60

$2.10

3

.

.

$2.60

Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$2.00 Exacta

1/4

$8.60

$0.50 Trifecta

1/4/3

$9.60

Superfecta

Refund

$0.00

$1.00 Double

1/1

$17.60

$0.50 Pick-3

4/1/1 3 of 3

$56.25

Race 4

Post: 2:14 PM ET Dirt

6 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $75,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)

  • 1 1 ML 2-1 Ultimate R. Santana, Jr. 119 Lbs S. Asmussen
  • 2 2 ML 8-1 Twilight Blue B. Hernandez, Jr. 119 Lbs J. Sharp
  • 3 3 ML 10-1 Skip Intro J. Talamo 119 Lbs R. Moquett
  • 4 4 ML 12-1 Sidetown R. Bejarano 119 Lbs R. Morse
  • 5 5 ML 7-2 Copa T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs D. Stewart
  • 6 6 ML 12-1 Bold Delivery A. Beschizza 119 Lbs J. Sharp
  • 7 7 ML 8-1 Floriform J. Leparoux 119 Lbs W. Mott
  • 8 8 ML 3-1 Five Dreams G. Saez 119 Lbs S. Asmussen

Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates 1-5-7-2 Rating 1 star

Only two of the eight have a start and that makes this a bad betting race.

#1 Ultimate-Asmussen sends out this first timer who shows three bullet works.

#5 Copa-one of the few with a start. He showed speed before tiring late in a needed race. Trainer removes the blinkers and that will help.

#7 Floriform-first timer from the Mott barn with Leparoux in the irons.

#2 Twilight Blue-showed little in his debut but trainer wins at 13% with his maidens in their second start but really your guess in here is as good as mine.

Churchill Downs – Race 4   [ Chart ]

#

Win

Place

Show

2

$51.60

$15.00

$7.00

5

.

$4.80

$3.40

1

.

.

$3.00

Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$2.00 Exacta

2/5

$200.80

$0.50 Trifecta

2/5/1

$170.30

$0.10 Superfecta

2/5/1/3

$277.79

$1.00 Double

1/2

$62.40

$0.50 Pick-3

1/1/2 3 of 3

$77.25

Race 5

Post: 2:45 PM ET Dirt

1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $8,000 | Purse: $21,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) $.20 Single 6 Jackpot

  • 1 1 ML 8-1 Mark My Way C. Borel 122 Lbs B. King $8,000 L
  • 2 2 ML 6-1 County Court C. Lanerie 122 Lbs T. Vance $8,000 L
  • 3 3 ML 15-1 Rock Me M. Murrill 122 Lbs C. Hartman $8,000 L
  • 4 4 ML 1-1 Lighthawk D. Cohen 122 Lbs R. Diodoro $8,000 L
  • 5 5 ML 12-1 Warrior’s Dream J. Graham 122 Lbs J. Thornbury $8,000 L
  • 6 6 ML 6-1 Original Intent D. Cannon 122 Lbs W. Morey $8,000 L
  • 7 7 ML 4-1 Quicksilver F. Geroux 122 Lbs T. Amoss $8,000 L
  • 8 8 ML 15-1 Pete Marwick E. Morales 122 Lbs M. Lauer $8,000 L

Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates 4-6-7-1 Rating 1 star

#4 Lighthawk-came off a 3 month layoff and drew off to win by 6. Sharp trainer is finally starting to win some races here and this one will be tough.

#6 Original Intent-rallied from far back to finish 4th in his first start over this track last out. The good start here will help his chances today.

#7 Quicksilver-has the speed to be close from the start and could hang around for a piece.

#1 Mark MY Way-finished third at this same level over this track last out. Trainer adds blinkers and he will be a good price.

Race 6

Post: 3:16 PM ET Dirt

6 Furlongs | Fillies | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $75,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 5 (6-7-8-9-10)

  • 1 1 ML 12-1 Liam’s Lass A. Beschizza 119 Lbs E. Reed
  • 2 2 ML 5-2 Princess Lea B. Hernandez, Jr. 119 Lbs J. Sharp
  • 3 3 ML 12-1 Dramatizer C. Lanerie 119 Lbs J. Desormeaux
  • 4 4 ML 2-1 Lady Traveler J. Talamo 119 Lbs D. Romans
  • 5 5 ML 10-1 Thundering Creed C. Borel 119 Lbs A. Taylor
  • 6 6 ML 5-2 Good With Numbers R. Santana, Jr. 119 Lbs S. Asmussen
  • 7 7 ML 12-1 Euphoric J. Graham 119 Lbs B. Flint
  • 8 8 ML 12-1 Altered Shot M. Murrill 119 Lbs G. Foley

Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates 4-2-6 Rating 2 stars

#4 Lady Traveler-rallied to miss by just a neck in her debut last out. Let’s hope Romans is having a good day.

#2 Princess Lea-has missed by just 5 lengths in both of her career starts and should be right there again today.

#6 Good With Numbers-showed speed and finished 5th in her debut last out. Asmussen wins at 22% with his second time maiden runners.

Churchill Downs – Race 6   [ Chart ]

#

Win

Place

Show

4

$4.80

$3.00

$2.40

2

.

$3.40

$2.60

8

.

.

$5.00

Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$2.00 Exacta

4/2

$15.80

$0.50 Trifecta

4/2/8

$38.45

$0.10 Superfecta

4/2/8/6

$14.94

$1.00 Double

6/4

$16.70

$0.50 Pick-3

2/6/4 3 of 3

$232.65

Race 7

Post: 3:48 PM ET Dirt

1 1/16 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $20,000 | Purse: $27,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)

  • 1 1 ML 5-1 Singsong Bird J. Leparoux 122 Lbs M. Tomlinson $20,000 L
  • 2 2 ML 3-1 Irish Willow J. Talamo 122 Lbs D. Romans $20,000 L
  • 3 3 ML 6-1 Lady O’Prado E. Morales 118 Lbs T. Glyshaw $20,000 L
  • 4 4 ML 20-1 B Sky High D. Cannon 122 Lbs T. Platt $20,000 L
  • 5 5 ML 4-1 Flashy Biz J. Rocco, Jr. 122 Lbs S. Hobby $20,000 L
  • 6 6 ML 7-2 Ginny B R. Santana, Jr. 122 Lbs S. Asmussen $20,000 L
  • 7 7 ML 5-1 Silly Notion T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs R. Hess, Jr. $20,000 L
  • 8 8 ML 8-1 Gold Included C. Hernandez 118 Lbs B. Barnett $20,000 L

Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates 6-2-5-7 Rating 2 stars

#6 Ginny B-missed by just a neck in only her second start in 7 months. She needed that one, takes a slight drop in class and is the one to beat.

#2 Irish Willow– came off a year and a half layoff last out and finished 8th against much tougher. Romans drops her down and he could be having a big day.

#5 Flashy Biz-missed by less than four last out in her first race in 3 months. Trainer removes the blinkers, she needed her last race and will improve.

#7 Silly Notion-finished 2 lengths behind our top pick last out. Trainer adds blinkers and she should be close again today.

Churchill Downs – Race 7   [ Chart ]

#

Win

Place

Show

6

$6.60

$3.40

$2.60

2

.

$3.60

$2.60

5

.

.

$2.60

Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$2.00 Exacta

6/2

$18.40

$0.50 Trifecta

6/2/5

$13.25

$0.10 Superfecta

6/2/5/3

$11.40

$1.00 Double

4/6

$7.70

$0.50 Pick-3

6/4/6 3 of 3

$26.75

$0.50 Pick-4

2/6/4/6 4 of 4

$1121.55

Race 8

Post: 4:21 PM ET Turf

5 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $75,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)

  • 1 1 ML 12-1 Whiskey Plank A. Beschizza 119 Lbs J. Sharp
  • 2 2 ML 5-2 Foliage C. Hernandez 119 Lbs A. Stall, Jr.
  • 3 3 ML 50-1 Seattle See Ya T. Canuto 109 Lbs R. Kenney
  • 4 4 ML 12-1 Stud Puppy J. Rocco, Jr. 119 Lbs D. Von Hemel
  • 5 5 ML 15-1 Lock Up D. Cannon 119 Lbs D. Lukas
  • 6 6 ML 15-1 Lookin for Loki M. Murrill 119 Lbs C. Hartman
  • 7 7 ML 15-1 Loyal Louie J. Gilligan 119 Lbs A. Quartarolo
  • 8 8 ML 10-1 Roman Pharoah D. Cohen 119 Lbs R. Diodoro
  • 9 9 ML 9-2 Absolute Chaos T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs J. DiVito
  • 10 10 ML 15-1 Cees Get Degrees G. Saez 119 Lbs M. Lovell
  • 11 11 ML 2-1 Spicy Marg G. Corrales 116 Lbs W. Ward

Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates 2-11-9-5 Rating 2 stars

#2 Foliage-fought for the lead but had to settle for second beaten less than two lengths in her debut last out. Trainer wins at a solid 17% with his maidens in their second start and this one will be tough.

#11 Spicy Marg-tried stakes company in her debut while taking on the boys and finished second. Ward removes the blinkers and has the one to beat.

#9 Absolute Chaos-first timer from the DiVetto barn who is hitting at a good 18% with his debut runners.

#5 Lock Up-finished a good second two starts back but then did not fire last out. This 300k colt is bred to be a runner and will be a huge price.

Race 9

Post: 4:53 PM ET Dirt

6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING: $100,000 | Purse: $79,000 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta

  • 1 1 ML 12-1 Lykan D. Cohen 118 Lbs I. Mason L
  • 2 2 ML 5-2 Night Time J. Talamo 120 Lbs D. Romans L
  • 3 3 ML 10-1 High Proof M. Garcia 118 Lbs G. Thomas L
  • 4 4 ML 8-1 Wild Wes M. Murrill 118 Lbs D. Poulos L
  • 5 5 ML 7-2 Mailman Money G. Saez 118 Lbs W. Calhoun L
  • 6 6 ML 2-1 Digital B. Hernandez, Jr. 118 Lbs W. Calhoun L
  • 7 7 ML 5-1 Bango F. Geroux 118 Lbs G. Foley $100,000 L

Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates 2-5-6 Rating 3 stars

#2 Night Time-Romans again! This one got the score by a game neck in just his second start in a year last out at Saratoga. He is at the top of his game and looks good for the repeat.

#5 Mailman Money-exits two straight grade II’s and will appreciate this class relief.

#6 Digital-missed by only 4 in a grade II here last out. Trainer is winning at 25% here and this one should be right there.

Race 10

Post: 5:26 PM ET Dirt

1 Mile | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN CLAIMING: $150,000 | Purse: $41,000 Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Super Hi-5

  • 1 1 ML 8-1 Pilot Prince E. Morales 119 Lbs P. McGee $150,000
  • 2 2 ML 9-2 Clearly Mad G. Saez 119 Lbs P. Bauer $150,000
  • 3 3 ML 6-1 Nip N Tuck T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs M. Maker $150,000
  • 4 4 ML 6-1 Roll Tyler R. Santana, Jr. 119 Lbs M. Maker $150,000
  • 5 5 ML 7-2 Hendrick F. Geroux 119 Lbs B. Cox $150,000
  • 6 6 ML 12-1 Appraisal C. Lanerie 119 Lbs D. Lukas $150,000
  • 7 7 ML 4-1 Southern Passage J. Talamo 119 Lbs D. Romans $150,000
  • 8 8 ML 15-1 Load Up Moe R. Bejarano 119 Lbs A. Quartarolo $150,000
  • 9 9 ML 8-1 Bold Minister B. Hernandez, Jr. 119 Lbs K. McPeek $150,000
  • 10 10 ML 20-1 Me We M. Murrill 119 Lbs W. Gowan $150,000

Churchill downs Picks Win Candidates 2-7-5-4 Rating 2 stars

#2 Clearly Mad- fought for the lead, got in front late but got nailed late and missed by half a length in his debut last out.

#7 Southern Passage-missed by a nose over this track last out. It looks like Romans came loaded for bear today and we hope he having a huge day.

#5 Hendrick-ran evenly in his debut for Cox. He wins at a big 26% with his maidens in their second start and this one will improve.

#4 Roll Tyler-first timer from the Maker barn could be in the payoffs.

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