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Are you ready to cash in with unbeatable horse racing insights? Look no further! Our expert horse racing picks are designed to give you the winning edge you need.
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#9 Relate
- Morning Line Odds: 5-1
- Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr. – 2024 Stats: 621 starts, 129 wins (21%), 98 places, 103 shows
- Trainer: Rudy R. Rodriguez – 2024 Stats: 245 starts, 36 wins (15%), 40 places, 37 shows
- Detailed Analysis: Relate has shown strong performance on turf with a record of 10 starts, 2 wins, 3 places, and 0 shows, earning $107,838. His most notable recent performance was a victory in a $35,000 claiming race at Saratoga on July 26, 2023, with a BSF of 93. Trainer Rudy R. Rodriguez has a 10% win rate on turf routes, and jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. boasts a 21% win rate, making Relate a strong contender. His TimeformUS Pace figures of 92 early and 69 late indicate his ability to maintain speed throughout the race.
#3 Willintoriskitall
- Morning Line Odds: 7-2
- Jockey: Romero R. Maragh – 2024 Stats: 223 starts, 24 wins (11%), 18 places, 19 shows
- Trainer: Jose F. D’Angelo – 2024 Stats: 333 starts, 61 wins (18%), 49 places, 51 shows
- Detailed Analysis: Willintoriskitall has a record of 5 starts, 1 win, 0 places, and 1 show, with earnings of $53,100. His best performance came with a BSF of 78 in his last race, where he finished fourth in an allowance race at Aqueduct on September 17, 2023. Trainer D’Angelo has an 18% win rate in turf routes, while Maragh’s 11% win rate adds to the potential. Willintoriskitall’s consistent improvement in speed figures and solid training regimen make him a strong contender.
#12 Gem Mint Ten
- Morning Line Odds: 12-1
- Jockey: Dylan Davis – 2024 Stats: 93 starts, 10 wins (11%), 15 places, 19 shows
- Trainer: Raymond Handal – 2024 Stats: 90 starts, 14 wins (16%), 14 places, 13 shows
- Detailed Analysis: Gem Mint Ten has a solid turf record with 9 starts, 1 win, 3 places, and 0 shows, earning $94,950. His last race on April 28, 2024, at Aqueduct, saw him finish second in an allowance race with a BSF of 83. Trainer Handal has a 12% win rate on turf routes, and Davis’s 11% win rate is significant. His BSFs in the low 80s and early TimeformUS Pace figure of 103 suggest he can set and maintain a competitive pace.
#1 Bettrluckythangood
- Morning Line Odds: 8-1
- Jockey: Dylan Davis – 2024 Stats: 397 starts, 83 wins (21%), 67 places, 54 shows
- Trainer: David P. Duggan – 2024 Stats: 46 starts, 8 wins (17%), 7 places, 9 shows
- Detailed Analysis: Bettrluckythangood has shown considerable improvement, winning a $70,000 maiden special weight at Aqueduct on April 27, 2024, with a BSF of 86. His record includes 4 starts, 1 win, 1 place, and 1 show, with earnings of $66,400. Duggan’s 24% win rate with first-time starters and Davis’s strong overall stats support his chances. His consistent training and improving speed figures make him a solid pick for this race.
[/et_pb_tab][et_pb_tab title=”Churchill Free Pick 6th race 1-4-5-8″ _builder_version=”4.25.1″ _module_preset=”default” hover_enabled=”0″ global_colors_info=”{}” sticky_enabled=”0″]
#1 Brigade Commander
- Morning Line Odds: 5-2
- Jockey: Corey Lanerie – 2024 Stats: 308 starts, 41 wins (13%)
- Trainer: Dallas Stewart – 2024 Stats: 92 starts, 13 wins (14%)
- Detailed Analysis: Brigade Commander has shown good early speed, as evidenced by his TimeformUS Early Pace of 109. His recent performances include a disqualification from first to second, indicating he is competitive at this level (BSF 90). Lanerie’s consistent win rate combined with Stewart’s solid record with dirt starters provides a reliable combination. His recent works, including a 4-furlong breeze in 48 seconds at Churchill Downs, suggest readiness. His ability to stay on pace and compete till the finish makes him a strong contender in this mile race.
#5 Havildar
- Morning Line Odds: 4-1
- Jockey: Luis Saez – 2024 Stats: 565 starts, 84 wins (15%)
- Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr. – 2024 Stats: 139 starts, 26 wins (19%)
- Detailed Analysis: Havildar’s switch to Dutrow’s barn has shown promise, with a solid BSF of 88 in his latest start. His TimeformUS Early Pace of 91 and Late Pace of 84 indicate a balanced run style suitable for this distance. Saez’s riding skills and Dutrow’s high win percentage with route starters enhance his chances. His recent works, including a bullet 4-furlong in 46.2 seconds at Churchill Downs, show he is in excellent form. Havildar’s tactical speed and ability to maintain a strong pace throughout the race make him a top pick.
#4 Beaumont Red
- Morning Line Odds: 6-1
- Jockey: Jose Riquelme – 2024 Stats: 111 starts, 11 wins (10%)
- Trainer: J. Keith Desormeaux – 2024 Stats: 93 starts, 10 wins (11%)
- Detailed Analysis: Beaumont Red has demonstrated strong performances recently, including a win at Keeneland with a BSF of 85. His early speed (Early Pace 101) and consistent ability to finish in the top three make him a strong contender. Riquelme and Desormeaux have shown success together, and his recent works, including a 5-furlong breeze in 1:00.2 seconds at Churchill Downs, indicate he’s in good shape. Beaumont Red’s ability to press the pace and draw off makes him a valuable selection.
#8 Shopper’s Revenge
- Morning Line Odds: 2-1
- Jockey: Joel Rosario – 2024 Stats: 282 starts, 56 wins (20%)
- Trainer: Steven Asmussen – 2024 Stats: 1018 starts, 172 wins (17%)
- Detailed Analysis: Shopper’s Revenge has consistently posted strong BSFs (up to 99), highlighting his ability at this level. His TimeformUS Late Pace of 85 is crucial for maintaining a competitive edge in the final stages of the race. Rosario’s excellent win rate combined with Asmussen’s stellar record with dirt starters makes this pair formidable. His recent workouts, including a 5-furlong breeze in 1:02.3 seconds at Churchill Downs, suggest readiness. Shopper’s Revenge’s strong late kick and ability to stay competitive throughout the race make him a top choice.
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