Saturday, September 10, 2022
In races with 3 selections the total cost will be $6 for a $1 bet In races with 4 selections the total cost will be $12 for a $1 bet
The Win Candidates are in order from our top pick to our fourth (or third).
However, we root for the two biggest prices to run 1st and 2nd as it helps our payoffs in our exacta boxes. It does not matter to me if it is our top pick or our fourth- I am trying to make money!
If you have any questions just let me know,
Tom – support@battagliaspicks.com
RATING KEY:
Kentucky Downs
Race 1
Post: 12:30 PM ET Turf
1 Mile | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $150,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / 14 % Takeout $0.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 20-1 Dust Storm F. Arrieta 119 Lbs K. Fletcher
- 2 2 ML 5-2 Fire Baron I. Ortiz, Jr. 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 3 3 ML 20-1 Mazing Mark J. Gilligan 119 Lbs L. Briley
- 4 4 ML 12-1 Level Up J. Talamo 119 Lbs M. Nihei
- 5 5 ML 7-2 Route Runner J. Rosario 119 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 6 6 ML 6-1 Crafty King A. Beschizza 119 Lbs M. Casse
- 7 7 ML 10-1 Good Heart V. Cheminaud 119 Lbs B. Walsh
- 8 8 ML 30-1 Bayou Chrome E. Morales 119 Lbs G. Leonard, III
- 9 9 ML 6-1 Father Delay T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 10 10 ML 12-1 Graphene Cassock J. Graham 119 Lbs J. Barkley
- 11 11 ML 30-1 King Shaman M. Garcia 119 Lbs A. Navarrete
- 12 12 ML 10-1 Regimental J. Rocco, Jr. 119 Lbs G. Arnold, II
- 13 A ML 6-1 Solomon Vandy B. Hernandez, Jr. 119 Lbs K. McPeek
- 14 A ML 9-2 The Bookkeeper A. Beschizza 119 Lbs J. DiVito
- 15 A ML 4-1 Oscar Award R. Gutierrez 119 Lbs J. Ortiz
- 16 A ML 9-2 Sherlock’s Jewel J. Lezcano 119 Lbs C. McGaughey III
Selections 2-5-7-9 Rating
#2 Fire Baron-broke a step slow in his debut and ran evenly to finish 5th on the turf at Saratoga last out. He is one of two in here from the Maker barn who is hitting at a big 26% here (8 for 31). This colt gets I.Oritz and looks to start us off on a winning note.
#5 Route Runner-finished second in his debut last out. Trainer Asmussen is hitting at 23% with his maidens in their second start and this one should improve.
#7 Good Heart-first timer from the Walsh barn is working well for his debut. He is coming off a 2nd fastest work of 84 others at Ellis and shows a bullet work best of 92 others 3 weeks ago.
#9 Father Delay-The other Maker runner. This colt broke 11th of 12 last out but put in a little run to finish 5th. He gets more ground today, adds blinkers, gets KY Downs leading rider and should improve at a solid price.
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Race 2
Post: 1:02 PM ET Turf
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $150,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / 14 % Takeout $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 12-1 Push Button I. Ortiz, Jr. 120 Lbs M. Maker L
- 2 2 ML 5-1 Vintage Year J. Lezcano 120 Lbs G. Arnold, II L
- 3 3 ML 10-1 Freeze Pop F. Geroux 120 Lbs N. Casse L
- 4 4 ML 12-1 Stroke of Midnight J. Graham 120 Lbs G. Londono
- 5 5 ML 10-1 French Composer R. Aragon 120 Lbs M. Evans II L
- 6 6 ML 30-1 He’s a Angel C. Villasana 120 Lbs A. Macias L
- 7 7 ML 9-2 Baj A. Achard 120 Lbs P. Lobo L
- 8 8 ML 6-1 Alyanaabi M. Murrill 120 Lbs D. Peitz L
- 9 9 ML 12-1 Bargaining Power T. Gaffalione 120 Lbs C. Brown L
- 10 10 ML 30-1 Inbound A. Beschizza 120 Lbs G. Rodriguez L
- 11 11 ML 8-1 Hell’s Kitten E. Zayas 124 Lbs S. Joseph, Jr. L
- 12 12 ML 5-2 What a Dude J. Rosario 120 Lbs C. Brown L
- 13 A ML 3-1 Aruba I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs J. Abreu L
- 14 A ML 30-1 Fly Home K. Gonzalez 124 Lbs R. Preston L
- 15 A ML 30-1 Bright Spark A. Beschizza 120 Lbs B. Flint L
- 16 A ML 30-1 Workinfromhome C. Miller 124 Lbs S. Guerrero L
Selections 12-7-1-5 Rating
#12 What a Dude-missed by just a neck in his debut last out while running on the turf at Saratoga. Trainer Brown is hitting at 27% with his maidens in their second start and has the one to beat.
#7 Baj-came off a 6 month layoff last out and fought for the lead before finishing second to a repeat winner. Trainer is hitting at 21% with his runners in their second start back and this gelding should be a decent price.
#5 French Composer– rallied to miss by only 3 in his debut while going 6f. He switches to the turf for the first time a 27% winning move for trainer and stretches out which is a 33% winning move for Evans.
#1 Push Button-First timer from the Maker barn is working well for his debut. I.Ortiz who rode our top pick last out takes the mount on this one and that must mean something.
Note: if the #13 draws in he must be used in our gimmicks.
Race 3
Post: 1:35 PM ET Turf
1 Mile | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $160,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 6-1 She’s Gone R. Bejarano 118 Lbs V. Oliver L
- 2 2 ML 9-2 Final Belle J. Rosario 122 Lbs W. Mott L
- 3 3 ML 15-1 Social Engagement V. Cheminaud 118 Lbs B. Walsh L
- 4 4 ML 15-1 Miss Mattie B J. Ortiz 118 Lbs R. Hess, Jr. L
- 5 5 ML 15-1 Lady Traveler J. Lezcano 122 Lbs S. Asmussen L
- 6 6 ML 5-1 Berate J. Leparoux 122 Lbs C. McGaughey III L
- 7 7 ML 15-1 Honey Run M. Murrill 118 Lbs C. Hartman L
- 8 8 ML 12-1 Daisy Bee J. Graham 118 Lbs G. Arnold, II L
- 9 9 ML 6-1 Yarborough T. Gaffalione 120 Lbs K. Breen L
- 10 10 ML 12-1 Sister Nell I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs T. Pletcher L
- 11 11 ML 7-2 Golden Sights F. Geroux 118 Lbs B. Cox L
- 12 12 ML 10-1 Street Jam B. Hernandez, Jr. 118 Lbs I. Wilkes L
- 13 A ML 5-1 Pharoah’s Song J. Ortiz 118 Lbs H. Motion L
- 14 A ML 8-1 Blissful B. Hernandez, Jr. 118 Lbs C. DeVaux L
- 15 A ML 10-1 Economic Hangover E. Zayas 118 Lbs S. Joseph, Jr. L
- 16 A ML 20-1 Livy B D. Cohen 122 Lbs G. Leonard, III L
Selections 2-11-6-1 Rating
#2 Final Belle-came off a 2 month layoff and got left in the gate but came running to miss by only 2 lengths then showed speed last out, got in front late but had to settle for second missing by just a length and a quarter. She is making her third start back today and should b ready for her best.
#11 Golden Sights-fought for the lead every step of the way last out but came up half a length short in second while making her first turf start. She needed that one and is the one to beat.
#6 Berate-beat our top pick two back then finished just 2 lengths behind that rival last out. She will come running late and should be in the payoffs.
#1 She’s Gone-rallied to break her maiden two back then missed the repeat last out by just a neck. This 200k filly is improving and should be a good price.
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Race 4
Post: 2:10 PM ET Turf
1 Mile | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $150,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 5-1 She’s All Class I. Ortiz, Jr. 120 Lbs M. Maker L
- 2 2 ML 10-1 Classic Coyne F. Arrieta 120 Lbs C. Hartman L
- 3 3 ML 6-1 Hedy Lamarr R. Bejarano 120 Lbs E. Kenneally L
- 4 4 ML 10-1 Fascination F. Geroux 124 Lbs B. Cox L
- 5 5 ML 20-1 Course Runner M. Garcia 120 Lbs G. Arnold, II L
- 6 6 ML 15-1 Lead Me C. Hernandez 120 Lbs A. Stall, Jr. L
- 7 7 ML 5-2 Herington Rocket T. Gaffalione 120 Lbs C. Brown L
- 8 8 ML 8-1 Arroblue J. Ortiz 120 Lbs W. Mott L
- 9 9 ML 4-1 Wings Like Eagles J. Rosario 120 Lbs W. Mott L
- 10 10 ML 30-1 The Sweaty Fox A. Suarez 120 Lbs K. Brion
- 11 11 ML 15-1 Bali Kuta G. Saez 120 Lbs J. Barkley L
- 12 12 ML 30-1 Country Jewel J. Talamo 120 Lbs R. Medina L
- 13 A ML 6-1 Intrigue T. Gaffalione 120 Lbs M. Maker L
- 14 A ML 5-1 Shady Road M. Garcia 120 Lbs G. Arnold, II L
- 15 A ML 6-1 Tiffany’s Mo J. Talamo 120 Lbs D. Romans L
- 16 A ML 30-1 Irish Kitten J. Gilligan 120 Lbs N. Platt
Selections 7-9-1-4 Rating
#7 Herington Rocket-came off an 8 month layoff for her second career start and missed by just a neck then missed by just a length and a quarter last out. She is making her third start back today, is working well and looks to graduate.
#9 Wings Like Eagles-has been close in all three of her career starts and should run into the payoffs.
#1 She’s All Class-did not show much in her debut last out but Maker is hitting at 19% with his maidens in their second start and I.Ortiz takes the mount.
#4 Fascination-is coming off a long layoff but trainer Cox is hitting at 26% with his runners coming off a break and this filly is working well for her return.
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Race 5
Post: 2:45 PM ET Turf
WinStar Mint Million S. 1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | G3 STAKES | Purse: $1,000,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / 14 % Takeout $0.50 Pick 5 (Races 5-9)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 7-2 Mr Dumas R. Gutierrez 126 Lbs J. Ortiz
- 2 2 ML 5-1 Pixelate J. Rosario 122 Lbs M. Stidham
- 3 3 ML 8-1 Field Pass R. Santana, Jr. 126 Lbs M. Maker
- 4 4 ML 9-2 Somelikeithotbrown J. Ortiz 122 Lbs M. Maker
- 5 5 ML 12-1 Kentucky Ghost R. Bejarano 126 Lbs V. Oliver
- 6 6 ML 10-1 Gray’s Fable M. Michel 126 Lbs B. Lynch
- 7 7 ML 3-1 Atone T. Gaffalione 122 Lbs M. Maker
- 8 8 ML 20-1 Injunction G. Corrales 122 Lbs C. Vaccarezza
- 9 9 ML 15-1 Tut’s Revenge V. Cheminaud 122 Lbs S. Stuart
- 10 10 ML 12-1 Cavalry Charge D. Cohen 126 Lbs D. Stewart
Selections 7-4-1-10 Rating
#7 Atone-rallied to miss by just a head last out to a repeat winner at Saratoga. He should get a fast pace up front, runs for 26% winning Maker and get 23% winning rider Gaffalione.
#4 Somelikeithotbrown-fast 6 year old is always a threat to go wire to wire and will be tough if left alone on the front end.
#1 Mr Dumas-is currently at the top of his game with a 2-3-1 record from his 6 starts his year. He is another who will benefit from a fast pace and should come flying late.
#10 Cavalry Charge-has a win in his only start over this course. He is more than capable of running into the payoffs at a big price.
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Race 6
Post: 3:20 PM ET Turf
1 5/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING: $62,500 | Purse: $170,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 14 % Takeout $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 12-1 Girl Dad R. Santana, Jr. 122 Lbs M. Maker $62,500 L
- 2 2 ML 10-1 Slicked Back F. Geroux 122 Lbs B. Cox L
- 3 3 ML 5-2 Ajourneytofreedom I. Ortiz, Jr. 122 Lbs M. Maker $62,500 L
- 4 4 ML 30-1 Quick Master J. Talamo 118 Lbs P. Lobo L
- 5 5 ML 15-1 Current C. Emigh 122 Lbs B. Vanden Berg $62,500 L
- 6 6 ML 15-1 Peekacho C. Lanerie 122 Lbs D. Vance $62,500 L
- 7 7 ML 10-1 Decision Maker F. Arrieta 122 Lbs T. Van Berg L
- 8 8 ML 3-1 McLovin J. Rosario 122 Lbs R. Brisset L
- 9 9 ML 8-1 Jais’s Solitude R. Bejarano 122 Lbs E. Kenneally $62,500 L
- 10 10 ML 6-1 Mud Pie T. Gaffalione 122 Lbs G. Arnold, II L
- 11 11 ML 15-1 Credibility B. Hernandez, Jr. 118 Lbs M. Casse L
- 12 12 ML 30-1 Celerity E. Herrforth 112 Lbs W. Cundiff L
- 13 A ML 6-1 Alejandro T. Gaffalione 122 Lbs S. Asmussen L
- 14 A ML 6-1 Reigning Spirit J. Velazquez 122 Lbs A. Stall, Jr. L
- 15 A ML 5-1 Fighter in the Win J. Rosario 118 Lbs C. Brown L
- 16 A ML 20-1 Common Bond R. Bejarano 122 Lbs E. Reed L
Selections 8-3-10-5 Rating
#8 McLovin-has really picked up his game in his last four. He broke his maiden three back then came off a 2 month layoff and got the repeat in a tough allowance field going a mile and a half on the turf at Keeneland then missed by only 2 on a yielding course at Belmont while running his best race to date. He will come from just off the pace and should prove tough.
#3 Ajourneytofreedom-ran a big race last out only to finish second beaten 1 length at 13-1 after leading every step of the mile and a half turf race at Saratoga. He runs for Maker, gets I.Ortiz and is the one to beat.
#10 Mud Pie-finished just 2 lengths behind our second pick last out, keeps Gaffalione and should be close again today.
#5 Current-long shot play runs for 23% winning trainer. This gelding is coming off a win and could give our payoffs a big boost.
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Race 7
Post: 3:55 PM ET Turf
6 Furlongs | Fillies | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $150,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 6-1 Acting A. Beschizza 119 Lbs M. Casse
- 2 2 ML 20-1 Miss Shipman J. Gilligan 119 Lbs L. Briley
- 3 3 ML 12-1 Secrets Galore J. Ortiz 119 Lbs M. Casse
- 4 4 ML 12-1 Southampton Dock J. Leparoux 119 Lbs I. Wilkes
- 5 5 ML 3-1 Love Tank I. Ortiz, Jr. 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 6 6 ML 4-1 Holy Foley J. Rosario 119 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 7 7 ML 12-1 Lady Baron T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs B. Walsh
- 8 8 ML 15-1 Closed Caption B. Hernandez, Jr. 119 Lbs K. McPeek
- 9 9 ML 12-1 Goldblooded J. Graham 119 Lbs G. Arnold, II
- 10 10 ML 20-1 Lucky Deputy M. Michel 119 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 11 11 ML 20-1 Mo Neda V. Cheminaud 119 Lbs I. Correas, IV
- 12 12 ML 6-1 Black Forest J. Talamo 119 Lbs F. Gutierrez
- 13 A ML 15-1 Ancient Relic A. Beschizza 119 Lbs J. Hiles
- 14 A ML 5-1 Mystify F. Geroux 119 Lbs C. Davis
- 15 A ML 12-1 Dulcia T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs J. Sharp
- 16 A ML 15-1 California Belle E. Morales 119 Lbs G. Leonard, III
Selections 5-6-7 Rating
#5 Love Tank-ran evenly in her debut to finish 5th then made the lead and fought hard to miss by just a length in second. She then regressed in her third career start and finished 8th as the beaten favorite. She runs for Maker, gets I.Ortiz and looks to make amends today.
#6 Holy Foley-switched to the turf for the first time last out and ran her best career race to miss by 5. She runs for Asmussen and is the one to beat.
#7 Lady Baron- long shot play. This filly is working well for her debut, gets Gaffalione and could surprise.
Race 8
Post: 4:30 PM ET Turf
Kentucky Downs Ladies Turf S. 1 Mile | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | G3 STAKES | Purse: $750,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) 14 % Takeout All Graded Stakes $0.50 Pick 5 (Races 8-12)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 2-1 Dalika (GER) B. Hernandez, Jr. 126 Lbs A. Stall, Jr.
- 2 2 ML 30-1 Country Chick K. Gonzalez 122 Lbs K. Monday
- 3 3 ML 9-2 Hendy Woods J. Leparoux 124 Lbs M. Casse
- 4 4 ML 8-1 Lady Speightspeare E. Wilson 126 Lbs R. Attfield
- 5 5 ML 12-1 Flippant R. Bejarano 124 Lbs V. Oliver
- 6 6 ML 30-1 Sunny One V. Cheminaud 122 Lbs C. Murphy
- 7 7 ML 15-1 Market Rumor C. Landeros 124 Lbs I. Wilkes
- 8 8 ML 3-1 Princess Grace F. Geroux 126 Lbs M. Stidham
- 9 9 ML 4-1 Stolen Holiday J. Lezcano 126 Lbs C. McGaughey III
- 10 10 ML 20-1 Henrietta Topham G. Holmes 124 Lbs G. Mulcahy
Selections 3-1-8-9 Rating
#3 Hendy Woods-has a win in her only start over this course. She would love to see a fast pace up front and will come running late.
#1 Dalika-has a win and a second from her two starts here. She is coming off a win in her best race to date and is the one to beat.
#8 Princess Grace– finished just half a length behind our top pick last out and should be right there again today.
#9 Stolen Holiday-is coming off a wire to wire win in her best effort to date and will show her speed again today.
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Race 9
Post: 5:10 PM ET Turf
FanDuel Turf Sprint S. 6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | G2 STAKES | Purse: $1,000,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 9-10-11) 14 % Takeout All Graded Stakes $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 9-10-11-12)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 30-1 Johnny Unleashed G. Corrales 121 Lbs E. Foster
- 2 2 ML 5-1 Chewing Gum J. Rosario 125 Lbs W. Mott
- 3 3 ML 15-1 Necker Island F. Arrieta 121 Lbs C. Hartman
- 4 4 ML 20-1 Charcoal R. Bejarano 121 Lbs T. Wisner
- 5 5 ML 9-2 Arzak K. Kimura 121 Lbs M. Trombetta
- 6 6 ML 30-1 Bob’s Edge A. Beschizza 121 Lbs J. Jones
- 7 7 ML 10-1 Gregorian Chant (GB) J. Ortiz 121 Lbs P. D’Amato
- 8 8 ML 6-1 Bran (FR) V. Cheminaud 125 Lbs J. Sadler
- 9 9 ML 15-1 Front Run the Fed J. Lezcano 121 Lbs C. Caramori
- 10 10 ML 12-1 Totally Boss F. Geroux 121 Lbs G. Arnold, II
- 11 11 ML 15-1 Chasing Artie E. Zayas 121 Lbs S. Joseph, Jr.
- 12 12 ML 9-5 Arrest Me Red I. Ortiz, Jr. 125 Lbs W. Ward
- 13 A ML 12-1 Artemus Citylimits T. Gaffalione 121 Lbs M. Maker
- 14 A ML 30-1 A C Expressway J. Talamo 121 Lbs N. Casse
- 15 A ML 30-1 Torontotoro J. Gilligan 121 Lbs P. McEntee
Selections 12-2-5-7 Rating
#12 Arrest Me Red-went 3 for 3 last year and has a 1-1-1 record from her 3 starts this year. She is coming off her best effort to date while missing by just half a length to a repeat winner in a grade 1 at Belmont. She runs for Ward and is at the top of her game.
#2 Chewing Gum-finished just a length and ¾ then 2 lengths behind our top pick in back to back. He has a win over this course and is the one to beat.
#5 Arzak-won two in a row to begin the year then missed by just a length in a grade 2 then by just ¾ last out in a grade 3. He runs his race every time and should run into the payoffs.
#7 Gregorian Chant-finished just a length and ¾ behind our top pick three back then 5 lengths behind two back. He is coming off a ½ a length loss at Del Mar, gets J.Ortiz, has won 3 of 5 at this distance and 10-1 seems like a big price.
Race 10
Post: 5:45 PM ET Turf
Kentucky Turf Cup S. 1 1/2 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | G2 STAKES | Purse: $1,000,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 10-11-12)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 15-1 Red Knight G. Corrales 124 Lbs M. Maker
- 2 2 ML 15-1 Breakpoint (CHI) T. Baze 124 Lbs N. Drysdale
- 3 3 ML 6-1 Temple J. Ortiz 124 Lbs M. Maker
- 4 4 ML 7-2 Arklow F. Geroux 122 Lbs B. Cox
- 5 5 ML 30-1 Keystone Field R. Santana, Jr. 122 Lbs M. Maker
- 6 6 ML 30-1 Glynn County V. Cheminaud 122 Lbs M. Maker
- 7 7 ML 10-1 Admission Office J. Velazquez 124 Lbs B. Lynch
- 8 8 ML 7-5 Gufo J. Rosario 124 Lbs C. Clement
- 9 9 ML 20-1 Who’s the Star J. Leparoux 124 Lbs M. Casse
- 10 10 ML 15-1 Another Mystery I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs C. Block
- 11 11 ML 30-1 Rogue Element A. Beschizza 124 Lbs J. Hiles
- 12 12 ML 12-1 Highest Honors T. Gaffalione 122 Lbs C. Brown
- 13 A ML 20-1 Militarist J. Lezcano 122 Lbs C. Vaccarezza
Selections 4-8-1-3 Rating
#4 Arklow-won this same stake in 2018, then finished second in 2019, then won it in 2020 and finished second last year. If we go by that pattern, then it is his turn to win the 1 million again today. He missed by just half a length in his tune up last out at Saratoga and always runs his race here.
#8 Gufo-has run well in four straight grade 1 stakes winning one of them with his biggest margin of defeat being 4 lengths. He will come running late and is always the one to beat.
#1 Red Knight-rallied to get the sore last out while coming off an 11 month layoff. He shows finishing just a length behind our top pick last year and just a length and a quarter two years ago. He will be a big price and runs for Maker.
#3 Temple– one of the other Maker runners. This one missed by just a length and a half last out in his tune up for this race. He keeps J.Ortiz and will come running late.
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Race 11
Post: 6:20 PM ET Turf
Mint Ladies Sprint S. 6 1/2 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | G3 STAKES | Purse: $600,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 8-1 Bay Storm T. Gaffalione 123 Lbs J. Thomas
- 2 2 ML 30-1 Violenza C. Landeros 121 Lbs I. Wilkes
- 3 3 ML 5-1 Jouster J. Rosario 123 Lbs T. Pletcher
- 4 4 ML 10-1 Brooke Marie R. Bejarano 125 Lbs E. Kenneally
- 5 5 ML 12-1 Creative Credit T. Pompell 123 Lbs T. Haehn
- 6 6 ML 15-1 Tobys Heart A. Beschizza 121 Lbs B. Lynch
- 7 7 ML 15-1 She Can’t Sing J. Loveberry 123 Lbs C. Block
- 8 8 ML 30-1 Candace O J. Leparoux 121 Lbs M. Casse
- 9 9 ML 10-1 Star Devine (IRE) J. Ortiz 121 Lbs J. Abreu
- 10 10 ML 8-5 Campanelle (IRE) I. Ortiz, Jr. 121 Lbs W. Ward
- 11 11 ML 6-1 In Good Spirits J. Velazquez 121 Lbs A. Stall, Jr.
- 12 12 ML 12-1 Elle Z M. Murrill 121 Lbs C. Hartman
- 13 A ML 15-1 Ready To Venture (GB) F. Geroux 121 Lbs M. Stidham
- 14 A ML 10-1 Honey Pants T. Gaffalione 121 Lbs C. Clement
- 15 A ML 15-1 Touch of Class J. Graham 121 Lbs B. Flint
- 16 A ML 30-1 Recoded G. Corrales 121 Lbs E. Foster
Selections 10-1-3-9 Rating
#10 Campanelle-classy filly from the 24% winning barn of Ward is coming off a ¾ length loss in a 24 horse field at Ascot in a 1 million dollar group 1. She finds an easier field and should beat these.
#1 Bay Storm-has two wins and two seconds from her four starts this year and is coming off back to back wins. She runs for 24% winning trainer, gets 23% winning rider Gaffalione and is improving.
#9 Star Devine-came off an 8 month layoff and finished just 2 lengths behind our top pick. She then ran well in two grade 3’s since. She will be a big price and could help our payoffs.
#3 Jouster-finished 5 lengths behind our top pick four starts back and has run well since. She runs for Pletcher and should be in the payoffs.
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Race 12
Post: 6:55 PM ET Turf
Franklin-Simpson S. 6 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds | G2 STAKES | Purse: $600,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / $0.50 Super Hi-5
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 30-1 Call Me Midnight A. Beschizza 118 Lbs J. Desormeaux
- 2 2 ML 15-1 Chanceux T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs T. Pletcher
- 3 3 ML 30-1 Tejano Twist F. Arrieta 118 Lbs C. Hartman
- 4 4 ML 30-1 Heaven Street V. Cheminaud 122 Lbs B. Walsh
- 5 5 ML 10-1 All in Sync B. Hernandez, Jr. 122 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 6 6 ML 8-5 Big Invasion J. Rosario 124 Lbs C. Clement
- 7 7 ML 6-1 Run Curtis Run R. Santana, Jr. 118 Lbs M. Maker
- 8 8 ML 9-2 Sumter J. Velazquez 122 Lbs R. Mandella
- 9 9 ML 8-1 Stitched F. Geroux 122 Lbs G. Foley
- 10 10 ML 8-1 Asymmetric (IRE) I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs W. Ward
- 11 11 ML 15-1 Coinage J. Leparoux 124 Lbs M. Casse
- 12 12 ML 15-1 One Timer E. Baird 122 Lbs L. Rivelli
- 13 A ML 8-1 Evan Sing J. Ortiz 118 Lbs A. Stall, Jr.
- 14 A ML 12-1 Sky and Sand J. Rosario 118 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 15 A ML 9-2 Cadamosto (IRE) T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs J. O’Brien
- 16 A ML 15-1 Hunter John R. Gutierrez 118 Lbs J. Ortiz
Selections 6-10-2-9 Rating
#6 Big Invasion-finished second in his debut and has since reeled off 6 wins in a row. He is improving with every start and looks for 7 straight.
#10 Asymmetric-came off an 8 month layoff, shipped over from GB and finished 3 lengths behind our top pick then 4 lengths behind that same rival last out. He is making his third start back today, gets I.Ortiz and should be ready for his best.
#2 Chanceux-ran well to finish only 3 lengths behind our top pick three back. He did not run his race last out in a grade 2 at Saratoga but gets Gaffalione and should be a big price.
#9 Stitched-has won 5 of 8 including his last three in a row. He is stepping up in class but runs hard every time and should be close from the start.