Saturday, September 3, 2022
Kentucky Downs
In races with 3 selections the total cost will be $6 for a $1 bet In races with 4 selections the total cost will be $12 for a $1 bet
The Win Candidates are in order from our top pick to our fourth (or third).
However, we root for the two biggest prices to run 1st and 2nd as it helps our payoffs in our exacta boxes. It does not matter to me if it is our top pick or our fourth- I am trying to make money!
If you have any questions just let me know,
Tom – [email protected]
RATING KEY: = GREAT BETTING RACE = GOOD BETTING RACE = BAD BETTING RACE
Race 1
Post: 1:25 PM ET Turf
1 Mile | Fillies | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $150,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) 14% Takeout $0.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 8-1 Valiant Praise C. Lanerie 119 Lbs K. McPeek
- 2 2 ML 7-2 What an Honor T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 3 3 ML 15-1 Weehawken G. Saez 119 Lbs M. Casse
- 4 4 ML 10-1 Botanical J. Talamo 119 Lbs B. Cox
- 5 5 ML 20-1 Lady Eva J. Leparoux 119 Lbs M. Casse
- 6 6 ML 30-1 She’s Jersey Tuff E. Herrforth 109 Lbs G. Leonard, III
- 7 7 ML 8-1 Strand of Gold R. Santana, Jr. 119 Lbs S. Joseph, Jr.
- 8 8 ML 5-1 Yanira G. Corrales 119 Lbs W. Ward
- 9 9 ML 8-1 Cotton Candy Annie B. Hernandez, Jr. 119 Lbs K. McPeek
- 10 10 ML 8-1 Bel Rosso A. Beschizza 119 Lbs J. Hiles
- 11 11 ML 10-1 Sheza Shining Star V. Cheminaud 119 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 12 12 ML 6-1 It Wasn’t Me F. Geroux 119 Lbs B. Cox
- 13 A ML 8-1 Moon Magic Chrissy R. Bejarano 119 Lbs E. Kenneally
- 14 A ML 12-1 Mo Town Madison R. Santana, Jr. 119 Lbs S. Joseph, Jr.
- 15 A ML 5-1 Beat the Estimates T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs C. Brown
- 16 A ML 30-1 Perfect Rose G. Franco 119 Lbs G. Vasquez, Sr.
Selections 2-7-8-10 Rating
#2 What an Honor-has finished second in back to back to begin her career. Trainer Maker won 3 races here on opening day and adds blinkers.
#7 Strand of Gold-finished third in her debut last out at Gulfstream. Trainer Joseph won with 2 of his 4 starters here on opening day. He adds blinkers, a 22% winning move for him and we should get a good price.
#8 Yanira-first timer from the Ward barn who also won with 2 of his 4 starters here on opening day. The trainers of our top three picks won 7 of the 11 races on opening day.
#10 Bel Rosso-finished second in her debut last out missing by just a length and a half and looks for another in the money finish today.
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Race 2
Post: 1:58 PM ET Turf
6 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $150,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) 14% Takeout $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 10-1 Mount Kisco R. Gutierrez 121 Lbs J. Howell
- 2 2 ML 4-1 Rum ‘n Tonic R. Santana, Jr. 121 Lbs M. Maker L
- 3 3 ML 8-1 Shipman R. Bejarano 124 Lbs T. Green L
- 4 4 ML 15-1 Monjid V. Cheminaud 121 Lbs A. McKeever L
- 5 5 ML 6-1 Nashoba’s Joy J. Talamo 121 Lbs W. Morey L
- 6 6 ML 7-2 Truly Mischief T. Gaffalione 121 Lbs D. Beckman L
- 7 7 ML 20-1 Roaring Gap F. Arrieta 121 Lbs D. Miller L
- 8 8 ML 12-1 Stand for Freedom J. Leparoux 121 Lbs I. Wilkes L
- 9 9 ML 10-1 Absolute Courage B. Hernandez, Jr. 124 Lbs S. Asmussen L
- 10 10 ML 6-1 Derivative A. Beschizza 121 Lbs M. Casse L
- 11 11 ML 20-1 Bucky Bik Coin G. Saez 121 Lbs J. Desormeaux L
- 12 12 ML 15-1 Liam the Brave M. Garcia 121 Lbs M. Ewing L
- 13 A ML 20-1 My Grass Is Blue F. Peterson 121 Lbs D. Pitts L
- 14 A ML 3-1 Cleat J. Graham 124 Lbs W. Mott L
- 15 A ML 12-1 Veritable B. Hernandez, Jr. 121 Lbs C. DeVaux L
- 16 A ML 12-1 Uptown Hustler T. Gaffalione 121 Lbs W. Ward L
Selections 2-3-10-6 Rating
#2 Rum ‘n Tonic-trainer Maker again whom we may have just cashed on. This colt missed by only 2 in his debut while racing over this course last year. He has the speed to be close from the start and Maker has started this short meet hot.
#3 Shipman-broke slow from the #12 post last out but rallied to miss by only 3 in third going a mile. He cuts back in distance, runs for 15% winning trainer and will be a good price.
#10 Derivative-missed by a neck in his debut then came off a 13 month layoff for his second start and missed by only 4 in 5th in a key race in which the top two finishers both came back to win. This one obviously needed that one and should improve.
#6 Truly Mischief-is coming off his career best while missing by only 2 in 4th while beating our third pick in the same key race last out. This gelding is improving and should run into the payoffs.
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Race 3
Post: 2:31 PM ET Turf
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $160,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 10-1 Minnesota Ready C. Lanerie 118 Lbs N. Pessin L
- 2 2 ML 20-1 Fenwick G. Franco 118 Lbs B. Lynch L
- 3 3 ML 4-1 Apache Tears A. Achard 121 Lbs A. McKeever L
- 4 4 ML 9-2 Romancer B. Hernandez, Jr. 118 Lbs S. Asmussen L
- 5 5 ML 8-1 Sense Shines G. Corrales 118 Lbs W. Ward L
- 6 6 ML 15-1 Dominican Pioneer T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs W. Ward L
- 7 7 ML 6-1 Martini’nmoonshine E. Morales 118 Lbs T. Amoss L
- 8 8 ML 5-1 Policy Option R. Bejarano 121 Lbs J. Cano L
- 9 9 ML 12-1 Button Boy V. Cheminaud 121 Lbs I. Correas, IV L
- 10 10 ML 12-1 Of the Moment J. Lopez 121 Lbs B. Williamson L
- 11 11 ML 12-1 Zippin Gigi J. Talamo 118 Lbs P. McGee L
- 12 12 ML 12-1 Right Tone A. Beschizza 121 Lbs J. Sharp L
- 13 A ML 15-1 Swishawish J. Leparoux 118 Lbs A. Coontz L
- 14 A ML 5-2 Switzer A. Beschizza 118 Lbs R. Moquett L
- 15 A ML 8-1 Roughin the City R. Bejarano 121 Lbs J. Cano L
- 16 A ML 15-1 Trust Daddy J. Graham 118 Lbs J. O’Dwyer L
Selections 4-7-6-5 Rating
#4 Romancer-drew off to break his maiden by 6 then switched to the turf and has finished second in back to back including last out in a 500k stake in his first start over this course. He is coming off a 11 month layoff but is working well for his return and finds an easier field.
#7 Martini’nmoonshine-came off a 10 month layoff and missed by only 3 ¾ last out against a good field at Saratoga. He runs for 21% winning trainer, shows a fast work since his last race and should be a decent price.
#6 Dominican Pioneer-325k runner from the Ward barn got the money in his debut then finished 6th in back to back while catching muddy tracks both times. He switches to the turf today and will be a big price.
#5 Sense Shines– also from the Ward barn this gelding broke his maiden in his only start by 3 lengths. He is coming off a bullet work at Keeneland and will show speed.
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Race 4
Post: 3:05 PM ET Turf
7 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $150,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 10-1 Uncle Headley C. Landeros 119 Lbs W. Ward
- 2 2 ML 20-1 Inspeightoftrainer J. Lopez 119 Lbs C. Davis
- 3 3 ML 20-1 Berrettini J. Talamo 119 Lbs P. McGee
- 4 4 ML 20-1 As One Does R. Bejarano 119 Lbs V. Oliver
- 5 5 ML 6-1 Miranda Rights A. Beschizza 119 Lbs M. Casse
- 6 6 ML 9-2 B Minor B. Hernandez, Jr. 119 Lbs K. McPeek
- 7 7 ML 5-1 Swiss Guard T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 8 8 ML 5-2 Six Missions J. Graham 119 Lbs R. Brisset
- 9 9 ML 20-1 Pappy Wolfe F. Arrieta 119 Lbs D. Von Hemel
- 10 10 ML 20-1 Hunter’s Drive R. Diaz 114 Lbs J. Desormeaux
- 11 11 ML 12-1 Worthington R. Santana, Jr. 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 12 12 ML 8-1 Gaslight Dancer G. Corrales 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 13 A ML 30-1 G T Five Hundred J. Morales 119 Lbs I. Mason
- 14 A ML 15-1 Curlins Incharge J. Talamo 119 Lbs D. Romans
- 15 A ML 20-1 Memphis Pharoah J. Graham 119 Lbs T. Brennan
- 16 A ML 15-1 Highway Robber G. Corrales 119 Lbs B. Lynch
Selections 7-8-6-5 Rating
#7 Swiss Guard-showed speed in his debut last out before tiring late at Saratoga. Asmussen is hitting at 23% with his maidens in their second start, he switches this one to the turf and he has speed.
#8 Six Missions– rallied to finish second in his debut last out missing by just a length and a quarter. Trainer is hitting at a big 26% with his maidens in their second start and has the one to beat.
#6 B Minor-first timer from the McPeek barn is working well for his debut and looks ready.
#5 Miranda Rights- Showed speed in his debut while catching a muddy track at Ellis. He shows four good works since and will show his speed again today.
Race 5
Post: 3:39 PM ET Turf
1 5/16 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $160,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 14% Takeout $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 10-1 Love to Run B. Hernandez, Jr. 118 Lbs M. Casse L
- 2 2 ML 10-1 Bravo Kitten G. Corrales 118 Lbs S. Joseph, Jr. L
- 3 3 ML 12-1 Pearl Earring F. Geroux 118 Lbs M. Stidham L
- 4 4 ML 5-1 Gimme Mo Baby G. Franco 118 Lbs G. Papaprodromou L
- 5 5 ML 9-2 Lovely Princess V. Lebron 120 Lbs K. McPeek L
- 6 6 ML 20-1 Silky Warrior (IRE) A. Beschizza 122 Lbs J. Hiles L
- 7 7 ML 15-1 Lavish Habits J. Graham 118 Lbs J. Hiles L
- 8 8 ML 8-1 Hatari T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs M. Maker L
- 9 9 ML 6-1 Shad Nation J. Leparoux 118 Lbs C. Clement L
- 10 10 ML 20-1 Chaton Rouge J. Gilligan 118 Lbs T. Glover L
- 11 11 ML 4-1 Elle Est Forte C. Landeros 122 Lbs I. Wilkes L
- 12 12 ML 12-1 Under One Sky R. Bejarano 118 Lbs E. Kenneally L
- 13 A ML 6-1 Social Engagement T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs B. Walsh L
- 14 A ML 15-1 My Sweet Story V. Cheminaud 122 Lbs I. Correas, IV L
- 15 A ML 30-1 Bow Draw J. Gilligan 122 Lbs N. Platt
- 16 A ML 30-1 Livy B D. Cohen 122 Lbs G. Leonard, III L
Selections 9-5-8-11 Rating
#9 Shad Nation-came off a 3 month layoff and missed by just a length and a quarter in a 100k stake at DEL then rallied to miss by just a length in a tough allowance race at Saratoga. She is making her third start back today and should be ready for her best at a price.
#5 Lovely Princess-came off a 3 month layoff, switched to the turf and fought for the lead before missing by just a length. She then came from just off the pace last out to get the money. She is improving and is the one to beat.
#8 Hatari-rallied to get the score two back for 40k then missed by 2 lengths when moving up to 50k. She is improving and will come running late at a price.
#11 Elle Est Forte-missed by a neck then a head in her last two and should run into the payoffs again today.
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Race 6
Post: 4:13 PM ET Turf
6 1/2 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $150,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 12-1 Cindylouwho F. Geroux 124 Lbs N. Palmer
- 2 2 ML 20-1 American Pyramid J. Loveberry 121 Lbs W. Catalano L
- 3 3 ML 12-1 Ghost Bayou F. Arrieta 121 Lbs S. Hobby L
- 4 4 ML 6-5 Parents Pride T. Gaffalione 121 Lbs S. Joseph, Jr. L
- 5 5 ML 4-1 Macadamia (FR) J. Talamo 121 Lbs P. Lobo L
- 6 6 ML 15-1 Bodieful E. Morales 121 Lbs K. Wittek L
- 7 7 ML 15-1 Ramadhaan (IRE) D. Parker 121 Lbs A. Meah L
- 8 8 ML 10-1 Paris Paramour J. Leparoux 121 Lbs C. Murphy L
- 9 9 ML 20-1 Strikingly J. Rocco, Jr. 121 Lbs M. Tomlinson L
- 10 10 ML 20-1 Ankyrah M. Garcia 124 Lbs W. Morey L
- 11 11 ML 20-1 Marina’s Gold M. Michel 121 Lbs J. Ortiz L
- 12 12 ML 8-1 Aboukir Bay J. Graham 121 Lbs J. Barkley L
- 13 A ML 5-1 Point Well Taken V. Cheminaud 121 Lbs C. McGaughey III L
- 14 A ML 15-1 The Gang That Sang T. Gaffalione 121 Lbs J. Sharp L
- 15 A ML 10-1 Mint Edition J. Leparoux 124 Lbs I. Wilkes L
- 16 A ML 10-1 Trouble Making R. Diaz 119 Lbs A. Meah L
Selections 4-12-5-1 Rating
#4 Parents Pride-stalked the leaders, moved to a neck off in the stretch but had to settle for second in her debut last out. Trainer is hitting at 30% with his maidens in their second start and should add to that with this filly.
#12 Aboukir Bay-finished second in three straight before hopping at the start last out and not firing. She cuts back in distance and looks for another in the money finish.
#5 Macadamia-did not fire as the beaten favorite last out but runs for 21% winning trainer and looks to make amends today.
#1 Cindylouwho-came off a year and a half layoff for her second career start last out, fought for the lead and missed by just a neck in game effort. She should show speed from the inside at a price.
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Race 7
Post: 4:48 PM ET Turf
Aristocrat Gaming Juvenile Fillies S. 1 Mile | Fillies | 2 Year Olds | G STAKES | Purse: $500,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) 14% Takeout $0.50 Pick 5 (Races 7-11)
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 10-1 Up to Something G. Corrales 118 Lbs V. Oliver
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Janis Joplin F. Geroux 118 Lbs M. Casse
- 3 3 ML 5-1 C C Cruise Control C. Lanerie 120 Lbs K. McPeek
- 4 4 ML 3-1 Knockyoursocksoff J. Leparoux 120 Lbs C. Block
- 5 5 ML 4-1 Towhead R. Santana, Jr. 118 Lbs M. Maker
- 6 6 ML 7-2 Chop Chop R. Gutierrez 120 Lbs B. Cox
- 7 7 ML 20-1 Chiquita Mosca R. Miranda 118 Lbs I. Bahena
- 8 8 ML 6-1 Callie’s Grit T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs J. Sharp
- 9 9 ML 12-1 Mustang Lady R. Diaz 118 Lbs T. Newton
Selections 6-2-3-4 Rating
#6 Chop Chop-230k filly drew off to get the money in her debut last out. She runs for 25% winning trainer Brad Cox and looks good for the repeat.
#2 Janis Joplin-missed by just a length and a half in her debut then finished third then second in two straight graded stakes at Saratoga. She switches to the turf and should be a good price.
#3 C C Cruise Control-finished 6th in her debut while racing on the dirt at Churchill. She then switched to the turf and drew off to win by 4 before not firing when switching back to the main track. She is back on the turf today and that will help her chances.
#4 Knockyoursocksoff-drew off to win by 3 in her debut last out. She runs for 22% winning trainer and will come running late.
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NOTE RACES WERE CANCELED AFTER THE 7TH RACE