Sunday, July 17, 2022
Saratoga Thoroughbred
In races with 3 selections the total cost will be $6 for a $1 bet In races with 4 selections the total cost will be $12 for a $1 bet
The Win Candidates are in order from our top pick to our fourth (or third).
However, we root for the two biggest prices to run 1st and 2nd as it helps our payoffs in our exacta boxes. It does not matter to me if it is our top pick or our fourth- I am trying to make money!
If you have any questions just let me know,
Tom – support@battagliaspicks.com
RATING KEY: = GREAT BETTING RACE = GOOD BETTING RACE = BAD BETTING RACE
Race 1
Post: 1:05 PM ET Dirt
5 1/2 Furlongs | State Bred | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $88,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 20-1 Sorpreso R. Santana, Jr. 119 Lbs J. Vazquez
- 2 2 ML 10-1 Burn Jakey Burn T. McCarthy 119 Lbs T. Albertrani
- 3 3 ML 8-1 Barry the Builder I. Ortiz, Jr. 119 Lbs R. Rodriguez
- 4 4 ML 8-1 Light Man J. Ortiz 119 Lbs B. Levine
- 5 5 ML 10-1 Curly Larry and Mo K. Carmouche 119 Lbs C. Caramori
- 6 6 ML 30-1 N Y Riesling J. Davis 119 Lbs L. Dixon
- 7 7 ML 3-1 Conman T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs M. Casse
- 8 8 ML 1-1 Miracle Mike F. Prat 119 Lbs T. Pletcher
- 9 9 ML 10-1 Pete N Billy L. Saez 119 Lbs W. Mott
Selections 8-7-3-9 Rating
#8 Miracle Mike-finished second in his career debut last out. Pletcher is hitting at 26% with his maidens in their second start and 25% winning rider stays aboard.
#7 Conman-300k first timer from the Casse barn is working well for his debut and looks ready.
#3 Barry the Builder-first timer from the Rodribuez barn gets I.Ortiz and trainer is hitting at 16% with his debut runners.
#9 Pete N Billy-Mott’s first timers have been running well to start the meet and this one should be a big price.
Race 2
Post: 1:39 PM ET Dirt
6 Furlongs | Fillies | 3 Year Olds | CLAIMING: $25,000 | Purse: $60,000 Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 12-1 Gris Tormenta D. Davis 118 Lbs D. Clarke $25,000 L
- 2 2 ML 4-1 Trinity Titoli M. Franco 118 Lbs O. Noda $25,000 L
- 3 3 ML 5-1 Leviosa I. Ortiz, Jr. 120 Lbs D. Gargan $25,000 L
- 4 4 ML 8-1 Amore Fire J. Ortiz 118 Lbs B. Lucas $25,000 L
- 5 5 ML 2-1 Waters of Merom J. Lezcano 122 Lbs L. Rice $25,000 L
- 6 6 ML 8-5 Mommasgottarun T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs T. Amoss $25,000 L
Selections 3-5-2-6 Rating
#3 Leviosa-has won 3 of her 8 career starts. She was claimed four starts back for 35k by Gargan and has taken on tougher since including a stake and a tough allowance race. She drops down to 25k, gets I.Ortiz and I am not sure about the program line in this race.
#5 Waters of Merom-pressed the pace and finished third last out beaten just a length and ¾ against 50k claimers in her best effort to date. She drops down to 25k and is the one to beat.
#2 Trinity Titoli-drew off to win by 7 lengths last out while beating 16k company. She is one of the few who is moving up in class and that is a good sign.
#6 Mommasgottarun-drew off to break her maiden two back by 6 then did not fire in a stake last out. She finds easier but 8-5? Not sure about that.
|
|
Race 3
Post: 2:15 PM ET Dirt
6 Furlongs | State Bred | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING: $25,000 | Purse: $42,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 8-1 Carlann T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs M. O’Connor $25,000
- 2 2 ML 10-1 Halofied K. Carmouche 119 Lbs R. Atras $25,000 FTL
- 3 3 ML 5-1 Big Bean Christine L. Saez 119 Lbs B. Grossman $25,000 L
- 4 4 ML 6-1 Roz D. Davis 119 Lbs M. Miceli $25,000 L
- 5 5 ML 15-1 Secret Hideout J. Davis 119 Lbs E. Davis $25,000 L
- 6 6 ML 20-1 My Daddy’s Trainer E. Cancel 119 Lbs N. Zito $25,000 L
- 7 7 ML 8-1 Escapewithfriends L. Cardenas 124 Lbs M. Dini $25,000 L
- 8 8 ML 9-2 Shane’s Risk M. Franco 119 Lbs R. Atras $25,000 L
- 9 9 ML 6-1 To the Tune J. Gomez 119 Lbs A. Margotta, Jr. $25,000 L
- 10 10 ML 7-2 Crosstalk J. Ortiz 119 Lbs D. Duggan $25,000 L
Selections 9-10-8-3 Rating
#9 To the Tune-ran three good races in a row finishing second twice and third once including a second place finish in her only start over this track. She then came off a 13 month layoff last out and showed brief speed before stopping late. She needed that one, removes the blinkers, drops 5lbs with Gomez and will be a good price in a bad race.
#10 Crosstalk-missed by only 4 in her debut while racing on the dirt then ran on the turf in three straight. She is back on the main track, adds blinkers, gets J.Ortiz and is the one to beat for 27% winning trainer.
#8 Shane’s Risk-showed speed before stopping last out in her second career start while coming off a 8 month layoff. She drops from MSW to this weak 25k MCL and that will help her chances.
#3 Big Bean Christine-has been in the money in 5 of her 9 career starts including last out while finishing third at this same level on a sloppy track. She gets a rider upgrade to Saez and could run into the payoffs again today.
|
|
Race 4
Post: 2:49 PM ET Dirt
1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $50,000 | Purse: $80,000 Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 4-1 War Stopper R. Santana, Jr. 123 Lbs R. Falcone, Jr. $50,000 L
- 2 2 ML 10-1 Locally Owned D. Davis 123 Lbs T. Morley $50,000 L
- 3 3 ML 8-1 Indimaaj J. Ortiz 123 Lbs R. Diodoro $50,000 L
- 4 4 ML 6-1 Truculent I. Ortiz, Jr. 123 Lbs M. Maker $50,000 L
- 5 5 ML 3-1 Zoomer F. Prat 125 Lbs L. Rice $50,000 L
- 6 6 ML 5-2 Two Thirty Five J. Rosario 123 Lbs M. Kantarmaci $50,000 L
- 7 7 ML 4-1 Crafty Daddy T. Gaffalione 123 Lbs J. Barkley $50,000 L
Selections 5-6-1 Rating
#5 Zoomer-won two in a row and was claimed for 62k four starts back. He has taken on tougher in three straight for his new connections including a grade 3 in which he finished 3rd behind a repeat winner. He drops down to 50k and that makes him the one to beat.
#6 Two Thirty Five– missed by a nose and has since won back to back for 40k. He moves up a notch to 50k and is at the top of his game.
#1 War Stopper-switches to the Falcone barn who is hitting at 26% with his new runners in their first start. This 5 year old has some back class and this drop in competition will help his chances.
|
|
Race 5
Post: 3:21 PM ET Turf
5 1/2 Furlongs | State Bred | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $95,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) Pick 6 ($1) Races (5-10), Triple Play ($3) (5,7,8), Double
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 M ML 1-1 Great Workout I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs L. Rice L
- 1A M ML 1-1 Storm Shooter . Rider TBA 124 Lbs L. Rice L
- 2 1 ML 6-1 Veterans Beach L. Saez 124 Lbs M. Dini L
- 3 2 ML 20-1 Be the Boss T. McCarthy 120 Lbs M. Trombetta L
- 4 3 ML 15-1 Disco Deano K. Navarro 124 Lbs M. Ferraro L
- 5 4 ML 5-2 Yarrow J. Rosario 124 Lbs C. Clement L
- 6 5 ML 10-1 Two Down E. Cancel 118 Lbs J. Englehart
- 7 6 ML 3-1 Sheriff Bianco I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs L. Rice L
- 8 7 ML 6-1 Neuro J. Castellano 124 Lbs R. Ribaudo L
- 9 8 ML 20-1 Saratoga Promise A. Worrie 124 Lbs P. Barrow L
- 10 9 ML 4-1 Athenry M. Franco 122 Lbs M. Nevin L
Selections 7-5-2-10 Rating
#7 Sheriff Bianco-has a win from just two starts over this turf course. He is coming off a wire to wire win at Belmont, gets I.Ortiz and will show his speed again today.
#5 Yarrow-rallied to break his maiden last out and will come running late.
#2 Veterans Beach-has a 1-1-1 record from his 6 starts over this course. He is making his third start back off a 5 month layoff and should be ready for his best.
#10 Athenry-rallied to get the money last out in his best effort to date. The cut back in distance will not help but he could run into the payoffs.
Race 6
Post: 3:55 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $14,000 | Purse: $32,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8), Grand Slam (6-9) Late Pick 5 (.50) Races (6-10), Double
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 30-1 Truebelieve A. Castillo 122 Lbs O. Barrera, III $14,000 L
- 2 2 ML 12-1 Forestwood Lane T. McCarthy 124 Lbs C. Englehart $14,000 L
- 3 3 ML 6-1 Majestic Tiger J. Ortiz 124 Lbs G. Rodriguez $14,000 L
- 4 4 ML 3-1 Road to Success I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs J. Englehart $14,000 L
- 5 5 ML 30-1 Scorpion Dynasty E. Cancel 124 Lbs D. Clarke $14,000 L
- 6 6 ML 2-1 O’Trouble J. Rosario 122 Lbs K. Breen $14,000 L
- 7 7 ML 50-1 Quintarelli J. Davis 122 Lbs N. Henry $14,000 L
- 8 8 ML 20-1 Jumpster H. Harkie 124 Lbs G. Sciacca $14,000 L
- 9 9 ML 8-1 Victory Built J. Gomez 119 Lbs R. Rodriguez $14,000 L
- 10 10 ML 9-2 Brunate D. Davis 124 Lbs H. Bond $14,000 L
- 11 11 ML 20-1 Revenio T. Gaffalione 122 Lbs N. Zito $14,000 L
Selections 6-10-4-3 Rating
#6 O’Trouble-has been showing speed against tougher 35k claimers in his two starts since coming off a 9 month layoff. He drops to 14k today and that should make him tough to beat.
#10 Brunate-got the money three back for 16k then missed by ¾ last out at this same level. He has been in the money in all three of his starts over this track and looks for another in the money finish today.
#4 Road to Success-finished second missing by just ¾ last out at this same level and was claimed. New trainer is hitting at 23% with his claims in their first start and this one gets I.Ortiz.
#3 Majestic Tiger-takes a big drop in class from 35k to 14k, removes the blinkers, gets J.Ortiz and should be a decent price.
|
|
Race 7
Post: 4:29 PM ET Inner turf
1 1/16 Miles | State Bred | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $95,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9) Pick 4 (.50) Races (7-10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 8-1 I’m Fine L. Saez 123 Lbs J. Sharp L
- 2 2 ML 6-1 Just Ok Is Not Ok R. Santana, Jr. 125 Lbs H. De Paz L
- 3 3 ML 10-1 Bella Principessa J. Rosario 123 Lbs R. Klesaris L
- 4 4 ML 12-1 Lady Thornhill J. Ortiz 125 Lbs D. Donk L
- 5 5 ML 5-2 New Ginya D. Davis 120 Lbs C. Clement L
- 6 6 ML 15-1 Fist Full of Dice J. Castellano 125 Lbs B. Combs L
- 7 7 ML 50-1 Vallelujah J. Davis 118 Lbs R. Davis L
- 8 8 ML 30-1 Starship Belmont K. Navarro 123 Lbs M. Ferraro L
- 9 9 ML 7-2 Russiarussiarussia I. Ortiz, Jr. 120 Lbs C. Brown L
- 10 10 ML 10-1 Masterof the Tunes J. Velazquez 125 Lbs J. Lee L
- 11 11 ML 6-1 Classic Lynne T. Gaffalione 120 Lbs J. Sharp FTL
- 12 M ML 2-1 Caragate J. Castellano 120 Lbs M. Friedman L
- 13 M ML 9-2 Gallina T. McCarthy 123 Lbs H. Bond L
Selections 11-5-9-1 Rating
#11 Classic Lynne-finished 4th in her debut beaten just one length while running over this course. She then showed speed and finished 4th on the main track here behind a repeat winner before moving back to the turf and drawing off to win by 3. She then caught a sloppy track last out and missed by 12 lengths. She is coming off a 9 month layoff but trainer Sharp is hitting at 32% with his runners coming off a layoff and we should get a good price.
#5 New Ginya-rallied to break her maiden in her debut then came off a 6 month layoff and missed by 4 lengths before missing by just a neck last out. This 250k filly is making her third start back today and should be ready for her best.
#9 Russiarussiarussia-came off a 7 month layoff last out and rallied to get the score. She runs for Brown who screwed everybody real good yesterday (just my opinion don’t sue me Chad you have enough money) and should run into the payoffs.
#1 I’m Fine-has been in the money in 12 of her 19 starts and will come running late at a price.
Race 8
Post: 5:05 PM ET Turf
Quick Call S. Presented by the Thoroughbred Retirement Foundation 5 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds | G3 STAKES | Purse: $175,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 12-1 Sky and Sand T. Gaffalione 120 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 2 2 ML 10-1 Surprise Boss K. Carmouche 118 Lbs J. Vazquez
- 3 3 ML 12-1 Run Curtis Run R. Santana, Jr. 118 Lbs M. Maker
- 4 4 ML 9-2 Nobals I. Ortiz, Jr. 122 Lbs L. Rivelli
- 5 5 ML 30-1 Dance Code A. Adorno 118 Lbs J. Vazquez
- 6 6 ML 6-1 One Timer J. Castellano 122 Lbs L. Rivelli
- 7 7 ML 7-2 Asymmetric (IRE) J. Spencer 124 Lbs W. Ward
- 8 8 ML 6-5 Big Invasion J. Rosario 122 Lbs C. Clement
- 9 M ML 1-1 Senbei M. Franco 122 Lbs C. Clement
- 10 M ML 10-1 Hagler . Rider TBA 120 Lbs R. Rodriguez
Selections 4-8-7-3 Rating
#4 Nobals-since adding blinkers 5 starts back this gelding has won his last four in a row including last out over the turf at Churchill. He gets I.Ortiz and we will try to beat the big favorite.
#8 Big Invasion-finished second in his debut and has since reeled off four straight wins. He is coming off a 3 length win in a 100k stake at Belmont and looks to keep his streak alive- clearly the one to beat.
#7 Asymmetric-came over from GB and joined the Ward barn. He opened up a crazy 6 length lead going 7f in his first NA start but tired late and finished second 3 lengths behind our second pick. Ward removes the blinkers and this colt needed his last race.
#3 Run Curtis-finished just 2 ½ lengths behind our second pick two back then just a length and a half behind our top pick last out. He is making his third start back off a 6 month layoff and should be ready for his best at a price.
|
|
Race 9
Post: 5:39 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING: $80,000 | Purse: $125,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 5-1 Supremacy R. Santana, Jr. 124 Lbs B. Cox L
- 2 2 ML 6-1 Night Time J. Rosario 124 Lbs D. Romans L
- 3 3 ML 12-1 American Power K. Carmouche 122 Lbs R. Atras $80,000 L
- 4 4 ML 8-5 Sound Money I. Ortiz, Jr. 126 Lbs C. Brown L
- 5 5 ML 3-1 Fortin Hill J. Ortiz 122 Lbs W. Mott L
- 6 6 ML 8-1 Three Two Zone D. Davis 124 Lbs R. Handal L
- 7 7 ML 6-1 Gun It T. Gaffalione 122 Lbs S. Asmussen L
Selections 4-5-1 Rating
#4 Sound Money-rallied to get the money two starts back then finished second beaten just 5 lengths in back to back graded stakes. He finds an easier field today and should beat these.
#5 Fortin Hill-ran in second from start to finish last out in one of his best efforts to date. He should be close from the start and is the one to beat.
#1 Supremacy-went wire to wire two starts back then opened up a 4 length lead last out but had to settle for second beaten 2 lengths. He cuts back in distance and that will help his chances.
Race 10
Post: 6:13 PM ET Inner turf
1 1/16 Miles | State Bred | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING: $40,000 | Purse: $50,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10) Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 20-1 Jannie Mae K. Carmouche 118 Lbs M. Nevin $40,000 L
- 2 2 ML 15-1 Dats a Superstar E. Cancel 118 Lbs T. Morley $40,000 L
- 3 3 ML 50-1 Miss Malala J. Samuel 118 Lbs J. Ferraro $40,000 L
- 4 4 ML 10-1 Inkblot T. McCarthy 118 Lbs P. Quick $40,000 L
- 5 5 ML 5-2 Our Jessica J. Ortiz 124 Lbs D. Donk $40,000 L
- 6 6 ML 50-1 Kay Tee Gal J. Davis 118 Lbs N. Henry $40,000 L
- 7 7 ML 8-1 Oak Loves a Fight I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs O. Noda $40,000
- 8 8 ML 10-1 Lola Lola J. Lezcano 118 Lbs M. Miceli $40,000 L
- 9 9 ML 20-1 Dance for Bourbon L. Cardenas 118 Lbs J. Ryerson $40,000 L
- 10 10 ML 3-1 Skyward Princess M. Franco 118 Lbs C. Brown $40,000 L
- 11 11 ML 12-1 Mucho Mama Mia S. Bridgmohan 118 Lbs J. Englehart $40,000 FTL
- 12 12 ML 9-2 Tapple Cider D. Davis 124 Lbs B. Tagg $40,000 L
- 13 A ML 15-1 I’ll Go All In A. Adorno 118 Lbs J. Vazquez $40,000 L
- 14 A ML 12-1 Quiet Type L. Saez 124 Lbs B. Brown $40,000 L
- 15 M ML 8-1 Dulce Gigante E. Cancel 118 Lbs B. Levine $40,000 L
- 16 M ML 5-1 Frosty Invasion T. McCarthy 118 Lbs D. Schettino $40,000 L
Selections 5-7-10-4 Rating
#5 Our Jessica-dropped from MSW to this same 40k MCL level last out and finished second beaten just two lengths in her best race to date. She runs for Donk who is coming off a good meet at Belmont and is the one to beat.
#7 Oak Loves a Fight-finished 4 lengths behind our top pick las out at 14-1. Trainer removes the blinkers, I.Ortiz stays aboard and they could help our payoffs.
#10 Skyward Princess-drops from MSW to MCL for trainer Brown who is hitting at 25% with his maidens making this drop.
#4 Inkblot-finished second last out beaten 3 lengths at this same level in her best effort to date. She gets a big rider upgrade and will be a big price.
|
|