Saturday, August 13, 2022
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Saratoga
In races with 3 selections the total cost will be $6 for a $1 bet In races with 4 selections the total cost will be $12 for a $1 bet
The Win Candidates are in order from our top pick to our fourth (or third).
However, we root for the two biggest prices to run 1st and 2nd as it helps our payoffs in our exacta boxes. It does not matter to me if it is our top pick or our fourth- I am trying to make money!
If you have any questions just let me know,
Tom – [email protected]
RATING KEY: = GREAT BETTING RACE = GOOD BETTING RACE = BAD BETTING RACE
Race 1
Post: 1:05 PM ET Inner turf
1 1/16 Miles | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $105,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 7-2 Full Coverage J. Rosario 119 Lbs C. McGaughey III
- 2 2 ML 6-1 Reckoning Force J. Ortiz 119 Lbs J. O’Brien
- 3 3 ML 3-1 I’m Very Busy F. Prat 119 Lbs C. Brown
- 4 4 ML 12-1 Baie Longue J. Alvarado 119 Lbs W. Mott
- 5 5 ML 5-2 Calycanthus I. Ortiz, Jr. 119 Lbs T. Pletcher
- 6 6 ML 12-1 Lord of the Navy R. Santana, Jr. 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 7 7 ML 6-1 Torigo K. Carmouche 119 Lbs D. Gargan
- 8 8 ML 12-1 Fire Baron L. Saez 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 9 M ML 5-1 Funtastic Again . Rider TBA 119 Lbs W. Ward
Selections 5-1-3-2 Rating
#5 Calycanthus-first timer from the Pletcher barn is coming off a fast work here, 5th fastest of 104, he gets I.Ortiz and is the one to beat.
#1 Full Coverage-first timer from the McGaughey barn is coming off good works and looks ready for his debut.
#3 I’m Very Busy-first timer from the Brown barn who is hitting at 22% with his debut runners.
#2 Reckoning Force-missed by just a length and ¾ in her debut which was in Ireland. He then shipped here and missed by only 4 over this course. That good start here is an advantage and he should be a good price.
Race 2
Post: 1:39 PM ET Dirt
6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $35,000 | Purse: $50,000 Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 7-2 Leddy J. Lezcano 120 Lbs L. Rice $35,000 L
- 1A 5 ML 7-2 Charger I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs L. Rice $35,000 L
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Motion to Strike J. Castellano 124 Lbs P. Reynolds $35,000 L
- 3 3 ML 8-5 Mount Athos R. Santana, Jr. 124 Lbs R. Brisset $35,000 L
- 4 4 ML 12-1 Fast N Fearious J. Gomez 119 Lbs B. Brown $35,000 L
- 5 6 ML 8-1 Jake Rocks K. Carmouche 124 Lbs P. Pearce $35,000 L
- 6 7 ML 12-1 Pico d’Oro T. McCarthy 122 Lbs C. Caramori $35,000 L
- 7 8 ML 6-1 Cold as Hell L. Saez 122 Lbs D. Lukas $35,000 L
- 8 9 ML 15-1 Gaslight L. Cardenas 124 Lbs P. Quick $35,000 L
- 9 10 ML 10-1 Resist the Devil J. Ortiz 122 Lbs K. Rice $35,000 L
Selections 3-1-5-4 Rating
#3 Mount Athos-is coming off his best race to date while finishing second at Churchill against tougher. He drops down to 35k and that should make him tough to hold off.
#1 The Entry– #1 Leddy-came off a 9 month layoff last out and drew off to win by 3 over this track and was claimed for 25k. New trainer bumps him up to 35k and is hitting at 17% with her claims in their first start. #1A Charger-finished third last out missing by only 4 in his best race to date. He drops in class, keeps I.Ortiz and is the one to beat.
#5 Jake Rocks-drew off to win by 3 last out and was claimed. New trainer is hitting at 28% on the year and at a huge 43% with her claims in their first start.
#4 Fast N Fearious-missed by a nose two back for 35k then did not fire last out on the turf against tougher with blinkers on for the first time. He drops in class, removes the blinkers, switches back to the turf and should improve at a price.
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Race 3
Post: 2:15 PM ET Turf
5 1/2 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $35,000 | Purse: $50,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 8-1 No Payne D. Davis 122 Lbs R. Handal $35,000 L
- 2 2 ML 5-2 Cadencia J. Ortiz 124 Lbs W. Morey $35,000 L
- 3 3 ML 4-1 Blazing Star (GB) L. Saez 122 Lbs M. Maker $35,000 L
- 4 4 ML 8-1 Train to Artemus F. Prat 122 Lbs S. Joseph, Jr. $35,000 L
- 5 5 ML 6-1 Take the Backroads T. McCarthy 118 Lbs T. Amoss $35,000 L
- 6 6 ML 3-1 Rigby I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs M. Maker $35,000 L
- 7 7 ML 15-1 Constitutionalrage J. Gomez 117 Lbs B. Brown $35,000 L
- 8 8 ML 30-1 Idaka M. Luzzi 124 Lbs E. Barker $35,000 L
- 9 9 ML 10-1 Ulikeapples R. Santana, Jr. 120 Lbs L. Rivelli $35,000 L
- 10 M ML 2-1 Mommasgottarun L. Saez 120 Lbs B. Cox $35,000 L
Selections 3-4-6-2 Rating
#3 Blazing Star-missed by only 4 against tougher allowance runners last out over this course. She drops to 35k non winners of two and is the one to beat.
#4 Train to Artemus-dropped to this same level last out and showed speed from the #11 post and running on the turf for just the second time. She gets a better post, removes the blinkers and should be a nice price.
#6 Rigby-finished third last out at this same level in her first start over this course. She runs for same trainer as our top pick and gets I.Ortiz.
#2 Cadencia-was claimed two back for 40k then broke her maiden in her first start for new connections when moved up to 75k last out. She is improving, has been in the money in 7 of 11 and looks for another in the money finish today.
Race 4
Post: 2:47 PM ET Dirt
Saratoga Special S. 6 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | G2 STAKES | Purse: $200,000 Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 (4-6) Mandatory Payout Pick 5 (4-8), Double
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 8-1 Super Chow L. Saez 120 Lbs J. Delgado
- 2 2 ML 7-5 Damon’s Mound G. Saez 120 Lbs M. Lovell
- 3 3 ML 12-1 Valenzan Day T. McCarthy 120 Lbs R. Rodriguez
- 4 4 ML 4-5 Gulfport J. Rosario 122 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 5 5 ML 8-1 Owen’s Leap I. Ortiz, Jr. 120 Lbs T. Amoss
Selections 4-2-3 Rating
#4 Gulfport-broke his maiden in his debut by 7 lengths then came back and won the Bashford Manner at Churchill last out by 12 lengths. He looks like a runner and should make it three for three.
#2 Damon’s Mound-drew off to break his maiden in his debut last out by 12 lengths. That was an impressive debut and he is the one to beat.
#3 Valenzan Day-lost all chance at the start last out in a grade 3 here. He adds blinkers and could run into the payoffs at a price.
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Race 5
Post: 3:21 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | State Bred | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $95,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Pick 4 Races (5-8) Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 7-2 Tosconova Beauty N. Alvarado 120 Lbs L. Dixon L
- 2 2 ML 3-1 Sweet Mystery J. Lezcano 120 Lbs P. Quick L
- 3 3 ML 4-1 Know It All Audrey I. Ortiz, Jr. 120 Lbs R. Atras FTL
- 4 4 ML 20-1 Sweet Maeve B. Hernandez 120 Lbs N. Huertas L
- 5 5 ML 5-1 Early Edition S. Gonzalez 122 Lbs S. Machiz L
- 6 6 ML 8-1 Sunset Louise J. Ortiz 120 Lbs B. Levine L
- 7 7 ML 15-1 Vallelujah J. Davis 120 Lbs R. Davis L
- 8 8 ML 7-2 Captainsdaughter J. Gomez 115 Lbs R. Cash L
Selections 8-2-1-3 Rating
#8 Captainsdaughter-has been in the money in 4 of her 5 starts this year including a third place finished over this track last out. She cuts back in distance and that will help her chances.
#2 Sweet Mystery-rallied to break her maiden last out in just her second career start and looks like the one to beat.
#1 Tosconova Beauty-has won 4 of 7 with a second and is coming off back to back wins including last out by 10 lengths.
#3 Know It All Audrey-runs for 22% winning trainer, gets a rider upgrade to I.Ortiz and could run into the payoffs.
Race 6
Post: 3:55 PM ET Turf
5 1/2 Furlongs | State Bred | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $95,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) Pick 6 ($1) Races (6-11), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 12-1 Street Culture J. Lezcano 122 Lbs L. Rice L
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Two Down L. Saez 118 Lbs J. Englehart
- 3 3 ML 5-2 Neuro J. Castellano 124 Lbs R. Ribaudo L
- 4 4 ML 12-1 Giramonte E. Cancel 122 Lbs L. Gyarmati L
- 5 5 ML 4-1 Golden Hornet R. Santana, Jr. 120 Lbs L. Rivelli L
- 6 6 ML 20-1 Tommy the Torch J. Flores 124 Lbs J. Tebbutt L
- 7 7 ML 2-1 Sheriff Bianco I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs L. Rice L
- 8 8 ML 12-1 Me ‘n Sap L. Cardenas 122 Lbs D. Donk L
- 9 9 ML 15-1 Courageoous Oh La N. Alvarado 118 Lbs L. Dixon L
- 10 M ML 2-1 Majority Partner J. Castellano 118 Lbs L. Rice L
Selections 3-7-5-8 Rating
#3 Neuro-came off an 8 month layoff last out and rallied to miss by just a neck while beating the 2-1 favorite in here. This one needed that race and should prove tough to hold off.
#7 Sheriff Bianco-went wire to wire two back then fought for the lead last out and came up a neck short. There does not appear to be as much early speed in here and that will help his chances to turn the tables on our top pick.
#5 Golden Hornet-went wire to wire last out to break his maiden in his debut. He should show his speed again today and runs for 26% winning trainer.
#8 Me’n Sap-fought for the lead and missed by just a nose last out. He has been taking on open company and this move in with all New York breds will help his chances at a price.
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Race 7
Post: 4:29 PM ET Dirt
6 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $105,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Grand Slam (7-10) Late Pick 5 (.50) Races (7-11), Double
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 4-1 Bourbon Bash F. Prat 119 Lbs D. Lukas
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Read On K. Carmouche 119 Lbs D. Romans
- 3 3 ML 15-1 Surprise Payoff T. McCarthy 119 Lbs G. Weaver
- 4 4 ML 15-1 Marty’s Magic J. Ortiz 119 Lbs H. De Paz
- 5 5 ML 4-1 Skellig J. Rosario 119 Lbs J. Terranova, II
- 6 6 ML 12-1 What a Blast R. Santana, Jr. 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 7 7 ML 6-1 General Jim L. Saez 119 Lbs C. McGaughey III
- 8 8 ML 20-1 Scootscoot D. Davis 119 Lbs R. Handal
- 9 9 ML 3-1 Black Rain I. Ortiz, Jr. 119 Lbs T. Pletcher
- 10 10 ML 8-1 Mr McGregor J. Alvarado 119 Lbs W. Mott
- 11 A ML 10-1 Ohana Honor J. Castellano 119 Lbs C. McGaughey III
Selections 1-9-2-7-Rating
#1 Bourbon Bash-showed speed and finished second last out over this track in his debut. He is the only runner in here with a start and should improve.
#9 Black Rain-first timer from the Pletcher barn gets I.Ortiz and shows solid works.
#2 Read On-First timer from the Romans barn is coming off a fast work here, 2nd fastest of 129 and Dale had a winner on Thursday.
#7 General Jim-850k first timer from the McGaughey barn is bred to be a runner and should show up ready in his debut.
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Race 8
Post: 5:03 PM ET Inner turf
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING: $80,000 | Purse: $115,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10) Pick 4 (.50) Races (8-11), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 2-1 Portfolio Company J. Rosario 122 Lbs C. Brown L
- 2 2 ML 12-1 Midnight Worker L. Saez 120 Lbs T. Pletcher L
- 3 3 ML 15-1 Overbore F. Prat 120 Lbs W. Ward L
- 4 4 ML 20-1 Capone J. Gomez 115 Lbs J. Jerkens L
- 5 5 ML 15-1 Piqua J. Alvarado 122 Lbs H. Motion L
- 6 6 ML 12-1 Martini’nmoonshine K. Carmouche 122 Lbs T. Amoss FTL
- 7 7 ML 8-1 Al’s Rocket I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs T. Pletcher L
- 8 8 ML 12-1 Ohtwoohthreefive E. Cancel 122 Lbs G. Weaver L
- 9 9 ML 15-1 Carpe’s Dream T. McCarthy 120 Lbs G. DiPrima L
- 10 10 ML 6-1 Constitutionlawyer D. Davis 122 Lbs R. Handal L
- 11 11 ML 6-1 Daunt J. Ortiz 122 Lbs R. Ribaudo L
- 12 12 ML 10-1 Seal Beach R. Santana, Jr. 120 Lbs M. Maker L
- 13 A ML 8-1 Mackillop F. Prat 122 Lbs C. Brown L
- 14 A ML 20-1 Emboite (IRE) J. Castellano 118 Lbs M. Maker
- 15 M ML 6-1 Unbridled Bomber . Rider TBA 122 Lbs J. Ryerson L
- 16 M ML 5-1 Icarus . Rider TBA 122 Lbs B. Cox L
Selections 1-11-10-7 Rating
#1 Portfolio Company-has a win and a second from his two starts over this course. He broke his maiden in his debut and has run in 5 straight stakes since. He finds an easier field today and will be close from the start.
#11 Daunt-rallied to miss by only 2 last out in a nice effort and first start with blinkers on. He gets J.Ortiz and will be a good price.
#10 Constitutionlawyer-finished third in his first turf start and will come running late.
#7 Al’s Rocket-rallied to break his maiden last out. He keeps I.Ortiz and could run into the payoffs.
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Race 9
Post: 5:39 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $105,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (9-11), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 3-1 Unlimitedpotential I. Ortiz, Jr. 119 Lbs T. Pletcher FTL
- 1A 9 ML 3-1 Expressman J. Castellano 119 Lbs T. Pletcher FTL
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Leading Contender J. Rosario 119 Lbs C. Brown FTL
- 3 3 ML 8-1 Citizen Mack K. Carmouche 119 Lbs C. McGaughey III L
- 4 4 ML 7-2 For Good J. Ortiz 119 Lbs C. Brown L
- 5 5 ML 20-1 Away From Home J. Alvarado 119 Lbs D. Romans L
- 6 6 ML 30-1 Gimme Love J. Gomez 114 Lbs N. Zito FTL
- 7 7 ML 9-2 Happy Bob F. Prat 119 Lbs D. Schettino FTL
- 8 8 ML 6-1 Final Approach D. Davis 124 Lbs D. Lukas FTL
- 9 10 ML 15-1 Lupo’s Legacy L. Saez 119 Lbs J. Englehart FTL
- 10 11 ML 8-1 Southern Flag J. Lezcano 124 Lbs W. Mott L
Selections 1-3-4-7 Rating
#1 The Pletcher Entry– #1 Unlimitedpotential and #1A Expressman- are both first timers, the #1 cost 750k and the #1A cost 350k and they show the exact same bullet work on August 6th beating 104 others—how is that possible?
#3 Citizen Mack-came off a 7 month layoff last out and ran his best race to date to finish second. This 950k colt is bred to be a runner and will be a good price.
#4 For Good-finished 4th in his debut last out. Trainer Brown is hitting at 23% with his runners in their second start and he adds blinkers to this 800k colt.
#7 Happy Bob-finished second in his debut last out and should improve.
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Race 10
Post: 6:13 PM ET Inner turf
Fourstardave H. 1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | G1 STAKES | Purse: $500,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 5-2 Casa Creed L. Saez 122 Lbs W. Mott
- 2 2 ML 10-1 Front Run the Fed I. Ortiz, Jr. 117 Lbs C. Caramori
- 3 3 ML 6-5 Regal Glory J. Ortiz 119 Lbs C. Brown
- 4 4 ML 2-1 Masen (GB) F. Prat 123 Lbs C. Brown
- 5 5 ML 8-1 Get Smokin J. Castellano 120 Lbs M. Casse
Selections 3-1-4 Rating
#3 Regal Glory-impressive mare has won 12 of her 19 starts with 4 seconds. She is three for three this year and three for three over this course. She is working well and should out class these.
#1 Casa Creed-rallied to get the score last out in a big effort. He has over 1.4 million in earnings and is the one to beat.
#4 Masen– from the same barn as our top pick. This gelding shipped over from the Ireland and missed by a nose in his NA debut and has since reeled off back to back. He has the speed to be close from the start and gives Brown a strong 1-2 punch.
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Race 11
Post: 6:47 PM ET Turf
1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING : $40,000 | Purse: $52,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10) Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 12-1 Growth Mindset F. Prat 118 Lbs J. Abreu $40,000 FTL
- 2 2 ML 6-1 Smart Joker J. Ortiz 118 Lbs J. Kimmel $40,000 L
- 3 3 ML 5-2 Good Soldier J. Castellano 118 Lbs S. Joseph, Jr. $40,000 L
- 4 4 ML 30-1 Theregoesmymiracle L. Cardenas 124 Lbs D. Seyler $40,000 L
- 5 5 ML 6-1 Left On Boylston K. Carmouche 118 Lbs M. Nevin $40,000 L
- 6 6 ML 30-1 Union of Thoughts J. Gomez 113 Lbs J. Antonucci $40,000 L
- 7 7 ML 3-1 Greg’s Honor I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs M. Maker $40,000 L
- 8 8 ML 8-1 Strike Price T. McCarthy 118 Lbs W. Morey $40,000 L
- 9 9 ML 8-1 Calloway Peak E. Cancel 118 Lbs C. Martin $40,000 L
- 10 10 ML 10-1 Empire Ridge L. Saez 118 Lbs M. Maker $40,000 L
Selections 3-7-9-10 Rating
#3 Good Soldier-drops from MSW to MCL for trainer Joseph who is hitting at a huge 37% with his runners making this drop. This colt is coming off a start over this course and should get the money.
#7 Greg’s Honor-one of two from the Maker barn. This gelding finished second last out while being claimed at this same level. He gets I.Ortiz today and is the one to beat.
#9 Calloway Peak-finished just a length behind our second pick last out and should be close again at a price.
#10 Empire Ridge-the other Maker runner. He claimed this one two back and we should get a big price.
FREE SARATOGA PICKS FOR TODAY CLICK HEREFREE LONG SHOT PLAY FOR TODAY CLICK HERE