Friday, August 19, 2022
Saratoga
Saratoga Thoroughbred
In races with 3 selections the total cost will be $6 for a $1 bet In races with 4 selections the total cost will be $12 for a $1 bet
The Win Candidates are in order from our top pick to our fourth (or third).
However, we root for the two biggest prices to run 1st and 2nd as it helps our payoffs in our exacta boxes. It does not matter to me if it is our top pick or our fourth- I am trying to make money!
If you have any questions just let me know,
Tom – support@battagliaspicks.com
RATING KEY:
= GREAT BETTING RACE = GOOD BETTING RACE = BAD BETTING RACE
Race 1
Post: 1:05 PM ET Dirt
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING: $40,000 | Purse: $52,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 5-2 Strong Light T. McCarthy 118 Lbs D. Romans $40,000 L
- 2 2 ML 2-1 Psychic Income J. Ortiz 124 Lbs J. Abreu $40,000 L
- 3 3 ML 7-2 North Pole I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs D. Jacobson $40,000 L
- 4 4 ML 9-2 No Code J. Gomez 113 Lbs T. Pletcher $40,000 L
- 5 5 ML 10-1 Ministerial J. Velazquez 118 Lbs W. Ward $40,000 L
- 6 6 ML 5-1 Cheeky Tico J. Samuel 118 Lbs O. Noda $40,000 L
Selections 1-2-3 Rating
#1 Strong Light-has improved in his last three in a row. He missed by just half a length, then finished 3rd beaten a length and ¾ in a key race in which the top two finishers both came back to win then in his last out he rallied to finish third while taking on 75k maidens. He drops down to 40k and will come running late.
#2 Psychic Income-made the lead, opened up four lengths but got nailed late and missed by just a nose in his debut last out. He will show his speed again today and is the one to beat.
#3 North Pole-1 million dollar 4 year old was claimed last out for 40k while missing by just a head. New trainer is making a comeback after a 4 year absence and at one time he was the best trainer in New York.
Race 2
Post: 1:39 PM ET Inner turf
1 Mile | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING: $75,000 | Purse: $60,000 Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 8-5 Beachfront Bid I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs C. Brown $75,000 L
- 2 2 ML 6-1 Birthday Time L. Saez 118 Lbs J. Sharp $75,000 L
- 3 3 ML 12-1 Diamond Status J. Ortiz 118 Lbs C. Martin $75,000 L
- 4 4 ML 15-1 Devilly E. Cancel 118 Lbs J. Ferraro $75,000 L
- 5 5 ML 5-1 Miss Bonnie T F. Prat 124 Lbs P. Antonacci $75,000 L
- 6 6 ML 8-1 Free Chickens J. Rosario 118 Lbs J. Abreu $75,000 L
- 7 7 ML 3-1 Gather the Facts M. Franco 118 Lbs C. Brown $75,000 L
- 8 8 ML 10-1 Lady Firefoot J. Castellano 124 Lbs P. Reynolds $75,000 L
Selections 1-5-7-8 Rating
#1 Beachfront Bid-has been in the money in 4 of her 5 career starts all against MSW runners. She is coming off her best race to date while missing by just a length and this drop down to 75k makes her the one to beat.
#5 Miss Bonnie T-was claimed two back at this same level then missed by just a neck last out with blinkers on for the first time, over this course. She is back at the same level, cuts back in distance and should be close from the start at a decent price.
#7 Gather the Facts-missed by just half a length in her debut then had a rough trip from the #12 post last out. The blinkers come off and this filly will improve.
#8 Lady Firefoot-broke slow but rallied to miss by only 4 lengths going 5 1/2f in her debut. She gets more ground today and could help our payoffs.
Race 3
Post: 2:15 PM ET Dirt
1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING: $62,500 | Purse: $120,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 5 ML 3-1 Galerio J. Ortiz 124 Lbs N. Cash L
- 1A 6 ML 3-1 Gigging J. Velazquez 124 Lbs N. Cash $62,500 L
- 2 1 ML 4-1 Alejandro J. Castellano 126 Lbs S. Asmussen L
- 3 2 ML 12-1 Shooger Ray Too L. Saez 122 Lbs J. Servis L
- 4 3 ML 9-5 The Reds J. Alvarado 122 Lbs S. Joseph, Jr. L
- 5 4 ML 6-1 Two Thirty Five J. Rosario 122 Lbs S. Klesaris $62,500 L
- 6 7 ML 3-1 Bourbon Calling I. Ortiz, Jr. 122 Lbs I. Wilkes $62,500 L
Selections 4-2-6 Rating
#4 The Reds-finished second last out in his first start over this track and was claimed. He shows two bullet works since and including his last work when he beat 126 others over this track.
#2 Alejandro-has been at the top of his game all year with a 2-2-1 record from his 5 starts. He is coming off a win and is the one to beat.
#6 Bourbon Calling-came off a 9 month layoff and rallied to miss by just ¾ of a length. He needed that one, gets I.Ortiz and should be in the payoffs.
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Race 4
Post: 2:49 PM ET Turf
1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $105,000 Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 1-5 Transactional (GB) I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs C. Brown FTL
- 1A 5 ML 1-5 Indemnify (FR) F. Prat 118 Lbs C. Brown L
- 2 2 ML 5-1 Outperform J. Ortiz 118 Lbs T. Pletcher L
- 3 3 ML 30-1 Bali Riddim A. Castillo 118 Lbs E. Pringle L
- 4 4 ML 8-1 Whiskey Lullaby J. Velazquez 113 Lbs J. Camejo L
- 5 6 ML 15-1 Logan’s Runner K. Carmouche 118 Lbs B. Levine FTL
- 6 7 ML 12-1 Triumphant Road J. Castellano 118 Lbs E. Barker FTL
Selections 1–4 Rating
#1 The Brown entry– #1 Transactional-is a first timer who is working well for his debut and gets I.Ortiz. #1A Indemnify-finished second in his debut last out missing by just ¾ of a length over this course and this entry will be tough to beat but will be a very short price.
#5 Logan’s Runner-230k first timer from the Levine barn who is hitting at 21% with his first timers and at 23% here. This is the one we need to fire if we are going to make any money at all in here.
#4 Whiskey Lullaby-made the lead last out before finishing 3rd over this course and was claimed. New trainer is hitting at 33% with his claims in their first start and he moves this one up in class.
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Race 5
Post: 3:21 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $25,000 | Purse: $45,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) Pick 6 ($1) Races (5-10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 9-2 Nicholas James J. Gomez 119 Lbs P. Reynolds $25,000 L
- 2 2 ML 15-1 Hang Tight T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs S. Meyers $25,000
- 3 3 ML 7-2 Joey Loose Lips K. Carmouche 122 Lbs M. Giangiulio $25,000 L
- 4 4 ML 15-1 Inspiration Point E. Cancel 124 Lbs C. Englehart $25,000 L
- 5 5 ML 2-1 Perfect Silent Cat I. Ortiz, Jr. 122 Lbs J. Sharp $25,000 L
- 6 6 ML 4-1 Top of the Mint J. Velazquez 122 Lbs M. Hennig $25,000 L
- 7 7 ML 8-1 Eminency L. Saez 120 Lbs M. Kantarmaci $25,000 L
- 8 8 ML 8-1 Got the Gold F. Prat 124 Lbs L. Rice $25,000 L
Selections 1-5-6-3 Rating
#1 Nicholas James-went wire to wire in his debut to win by 12 lengths and has taken on tougher starter allowance in four straight since. He drops down to 25k non winners of two and will be the one to catch.
#5 Perfect Silent Cat-is another dropping in class this one for 17% winning trainer Sharp. He adds blinkers and this one will come running late.
#6 Top of the Mint-drops from 40k to 25k, shows three works over the track and should run into the payoffs.
#3 Joey Loose Lips-is coming off a year layoff but was running well then. He is working well for his comeback and has speed.
Race 6
Post: 3:55 PM ET Inner turf
1 1/16 Miles | State Bred | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $88,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8), Grand Slam (6-9) Late Pick 5 (.50) Races (6-10), Double
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 20-1 Widmark T. McCarthy 119 Lbs D. Schettino
- 2 2 ML 3-1 Secretary of War M. Franco 119 Lbs J. Thomas
- 3 3 ML 12-1 Master Sergeant K. Carmouche 119 Lbs D. Ryan
- 4 4 ML 6-1 Thethrillofvictory T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 5 5 ML 15-1 Liotta L. Rodriguez Castro 119 Lbs T. Hills
- 6 6 ML 9-2 Let’s Go Big Blue E. Cancel 119 Lbs G. Weaver
- 7 7 ML 15-1 Ulumalu J. Leparoux 119 Lbs K. McPeek
- 8 8 ML 12-1 El Quemado J. Gomez 114 Lbs R. Rodriguez
- 9 9 ML 5-2 Provision L. Saez 119 Lbs G. Weaver
- 10 10 ML 10-1 Barry the Builder F. Prat 119 Lbs R. Rodriguez
- 11 M ML 7-5 Chulligan J. Rosario 119 Lbs C. Clement
Selections 9-2-6-8 Rating
#9 Provision-got a head in front late in his debut last out but had to settle for second beaten a length and a quarter. He comes back at the same distance and level and is the one to beat.
#2 Secretary of War-finished third in his debut last out just a length and a quarter behind our top pick. Trainer is hitting at 24% with his maidens in their second start and this gelding should be right there again today.
#6 Let’s Go Big Blue– from the same barn as our top pick. This 200k colt is working well and if I had a nickel for every time a trainer who has more than one runner in race, wins said race with his horse who is the bigger price, I would have a lot of nickels.
#8 El Quemado-finished 8 lengths behind our top pick last out in his debut. Trainer is stinking up the place here at Saratoga winning with only 1 of his 53 starters but this one could run into the payoffs at a price.
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Race 7
Post: 4:29 PM ET Turf
5 1/2 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $115,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9) Pick 4 (.50) Races (7-10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 10-1 Freedom Speaks M. Franco 120 Lbs J. Englehart L
- 2 2 ML 9-2 American Starlet J. Velazquez 120 Lbs W. Ward L
- 3 3 ML 20-1 Neon Summer L. Saez 120 Lbs M. Maker L
- 4 4 ML 8-1 American Heroine T. Gaffalione 120 Lbs C. Clement FTL
- 5 5 ML 7-2 Crowding Out I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs C. Brown L
- 6 6 ML 5-1 Tuscan Queen J. Ortiz 124 Lbs J. Kimmel L
- 7 7 ML 15-1 Caironi K. Carmouche 120 Lbs M. Miceli L
- 8 8 ML 6-1 A Little Faith J. Castellano 124 Lbs B. Levine L
- 9 9 ML 12-1 Nay Say (IRE) J. Lezcano 120 Lbs W. Mott L
- 10 10 ML 9-2 Osiria J. Rosario 120 Lbs C. Clement L
- 11 M ML 4-1 Ruvies in Time . Rider TBA 124 Lbs R. Rodriguez L
- 12 M ML 6-1 Chloe Rose L. Saez 124 Lbs G. Rodriguez L
- 13 M ML 3-1 Awesome Indra I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs W. Morey L
- 14 M ML 2-1 Baba J. Gomez 119 Lbs R. Rodriguez L
Selections 8-5-6-10 Rating
#8 A Little Faith-came off a year and 9 month layoff two back and finished second missing by 3 lengths then missed by only 2 last out over this course. She is making her third start back today and should be ready for her best at a good price.
#5 Crowding Out-rallied to get the money last out over this course while coming off a 10 month layoff. She runs for 30% winning trainer and keeps I.Ortiz.
#6 Tuscan Queen-finished second last out over this course in her second start back off a 7 month layoff and should be ready for her best today.
#10 Osiria-went wire to wire two back then made the lead but finished 4th missing by only 3 lengths in her first start over this course. Trainer adds blinkers and she will show her speed again today.
Race 8
Post: 5:05 PM ET Dirt
Summer Colony S. 1 1/8 Miles | Restricted | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up | G STAKES | Purse: $135,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 7-2 Army Wife T. Gaffalione 124 Lbs M. Maker
- 2 2 ML 10-1 Misty Veil T. McCarthy 120 Lbs T. Amoss
- 3 3 ML 3-1 Envoutante J. Leparoux 124 Lbs K. McPeek
- 4 4 ML 4-1 Leader of the Band J. Rosario 124 Lbs J. Servis
- 5 5 ML 6-1 First to Act I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs C. McGaughey III
- 6 6 ML 10-1 Exotic West J. Castellano 122 Lbs G. Sciacca
- 7 7 ML 5-2 Bonny South F. Prat 124 Lbs B. Cox
Selections 4-3-7-2 Rating
#4 Leader of the Band-has improved in four straight races and is coming off a second in a grade 3 in her best effort to date and looks ready for another big effort.
#3 Evnoutante-drew off to win a grade 2 two starts back then came off a 4 month layoff and was over matched in a grade 1. She is coming off another layoff but finds an easier field and fits better with these.
#7 Bonny South-has two seconds from her two starts over this track. She runs her race every time and should be in the payoffs.
#2 Misty Veil– Long shot play is coming off two straight bullet works beating 94 others and could prove to be the speed of the speed.
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Race 9
Post: 5:39 PM ET Inner turf
1 1/16 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds | CLAIMING: $50,000 | Purse: $80,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 8-1 Fish Mooney T. Gaffalione 120 Lbs M. Casse $50,000 L
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Radiant Gem J. Velazquez 120 Lbs S. Klesaris $50,000 L
- 3 3 ML 7-2 Hatari I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs M. Maker $50,000 L
- 4 4 ML 8-1 Vintage Girl L. Saez 118 Lbs R. Rodriguez $50,000 L
- 5 5 ML 6-1 Rosemary Potatoes J. Alvarado 118 Lbs M. Arenas $50,000 L
- 6 6 ML 3-1 Diva Ready M. Franco 118 Lbs R. Rodriguez $50,000 L
- 7 7 ML 6-1 Mirth ‘n Merriment K. Carmouche 122 Lbs J. Ryerson $50,000 L
- 8 8 ML 9-2 Judge Judith J. Ortiz 118 Lbs K. O’Connell $50,000 L
- 9 M ML 1-1 Mariah’s Fortune . Rider TBA 118 Lbs R. Rodriguez $50,000 L
Selections 3-2-5-8 Rating
#3 Hatari-dropped from starter allowance races to 40k last out and got the money in her first start over this course by 2 lengths. She bumps up to 50k, keeps I.Ortiz and looks good for the repeat.
#2 Radiant Gem-won two in a row before a rough trip last out against tougher in her first start over this course. She drops in class and will be a good price.
#5 Rosemary Potatoes-finished just ¾ of a length behind our second pick two back then missed by only 4 last out against tougher. She will be a good price and could help our payoffs.
#8 Judge Judith-has won three in a row while improving in each. She is stepping up in class and is at the top of her game.
Race 10
Post: 6:13 PM ET Turf
Skidmore S. 5 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | G STAKES | Purse: $150,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10) Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 30-1 Jeremy’s Jet J. Lezcano 122 Lbs P. McEntee
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Fadethenoise F. Prat 122 Lbs M. Maker
- 3 3 ML 9-5 Oxymore J. Ortiz 122 Lbs C. Brown
- 4 4 ML 4-1 No Nay Hudson (IRE) J. Velazquez 122 Lbs W. Ward
- 5 5 ML 10-1 Private Creed R. Santana, Jr. 122 Lbs S. Asmussen
- 6 6 ML 12-1 Noble Huntsman J. Castellano 122 Lbs M. Friedman
- 7 7 ML 20-1 Prove Right T. McCarthy 122 Lbs J. Chapman
- 8 8 ML 3-1 Appraise (IRE) M. Franco 122 Lbs C. Brown
- 9 9 ML 20-1 Bourbon Therapy L. Saez 122 Lbs M. Maker
- 10 10 ML 15-1 Cadillac Candy T. Gaffalione 122 Lbs G. Arnold, II
Selections 3-4-2-8 Rating
#3 Oxymore-went wire to wire and won by 6 lengths in his debut and was then switched to the Brown barn. He is hitting at 30% with his new runners in their first start and J.Ortiz stays in the irons.
#4 No Nay Hudson-went wire to wire to win by 4 in his debut then missed by only 3 in a stake in his second start. He is coming off a good work over the course and runs for 28% winning trainer Ward.
#2 Fadethenoise-showed little on the dirt in his debut then switched to the turf and drew off to win by 6 lengths. He will be a good price and is improving.
#8 Appraise-rallied to break his maiden in his debut. He runs for the same trainer as our top pick and could be in the payoffs.
# Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Win $ Place $ Show $
3 Oxymore J. Ortiz 122Lbs C. Brown 4.50 2.80 2.60
4 No Nay Hudson (IRE) J. Velazquez 122Lbs W. Ward 4.30 3.30
5 Private Creed R. Santana, Jr. 122Lbs S. Asmussen 7.20
