Saturday, August 20, 2022

​CASHED ON 8 OF 11

Saratoga Thoroughbred

I Play Exacta Boxes

In races with 3 selections the total cost will be $6 for a $1 bet In races with 4 selections the total cost will be $12 for a $1 bet

The Win Candidates are in order from our top pick to our fourth (or third).

However, we root for the two biggest prices to run 1st and 2nd as it helps our payoffs in our exacta boxes. It does not matter to me if it is our top pick or our fourth- I am trying to make money!

If you have any questions just let me know,

Tom – support@battagliaspicks.com

RATING KEY:⭐⭐⭐ = GREAT BETTING RACE ⭐⭐ = GOOD BETTING RACE⭐ = BAD BETTING RACE

Race 1

Post: 12:30 PM ET Turf

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING: $40,000 | Purse: $52,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double Wagers

Selections 6-7-4-1 Rating ⭐⭐

#6 Street Vendor-ran four good races in a row to begin his career missing by less than a length in three of them. He then did not run a step over this course last out as the favorite. Pletcher drops this 500k gelding down to 40k today, I.Ortiz picks up the mount and the blinkers come off.

#7 Pistol Or Shotgun-came off a 10 month layoff last out and finished 4th in his first start over this course while being claimed and new trainer is hitting at 20% with his claims in their first start. This one returns to the races as a gelding, gets Lasix for the first time, needed his last race and should improve at a decent price.

#4 Floki’s Flight-finished second in three straight to begin his career then showed speed and missed by 5 over this course last out. Trainer is having a horrible meet here going 1 for 55 and when you are going bad…you are going bad.

#1 Fazaro– long shot play. Has finished second in three straight, going off 12-1 two back then 28-1 last out. He is 12-1 on the program today and shows beating #2 who is 7-2 last out.

Race 2

Post: 1:04 PM ET Dirt

1 Mile | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $16,000 | Purse: $35,000 Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double Wagers

Selections 1-4-6 Rating ⭐⭐

#1 Holiday Jazz-dropped from starter allowance races to 25k last out, finished 3rd and was claimed. New trainer is hitting at 24% on the year and at 38% with her claims in their first start. She drops this one down to 16k and looks to add to her totals.

#4 Spooky Road-drops from 40k to 16k, switches off the turf and is the one to beat.

#6 U Cant Handle This-drew off to break her maiden by 3 two back then showed speed last out over this track before finishing 4th for 25k. She drops down to 16k and that will help her chances.

Saratoga – Race 2[Chart]

#

Win

Place

Show

4

$5.10

$2.90

$2.30

1

.

$2.60

$2.20

3

.

.

$2.80

Results: 1 | 2 | 3 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$1.00 Exacta

4/1

$7.80

$1.00 Quinella

1/4

$3.30

$0.50 Trifecta

4/1/3

$11.65

$0.10 Superfecta

4/1/3/5

$3.80

$1.00 Double

2/4

$15.80

Race 3

Post: 1:39 PM ET Dirt

6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $115,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double Wagers

Selections 3-4-1 Rating ⭐⭐

#3 Peaceful Waters-fast 3 year old is the speed of the race and should prove tough to catch.

#4 Favorite Outlaw-finished just a length and a half behind our top pick last out and is the one to beat.

#1 Risk Profile-has been in the money in 11 of his 17 starts and looks for another in the money finish today.

Saratoga – Race 3[Chart]

#

Win

Place

Show

3

$5.80

$2.60

$2.30

4

.

$2.50

$2.20

1

.

.

$4.20

Results: 1 | 2 | 3 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$1.00 Exacta

3/4

$4.35

$0.50 Trifecta

3/4/1

$7.50

$0.10 Superfecta

3/4/1/6

$5.55

$1.00 Double

4/3

$10.90

$1.00 Pick-3

2/4/3

$48.00

Race 4

Post: 2:11 PM ET Turf

5 1/2 Furlongs | State Bred | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $88,000 Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 (4-6) Mandatory Payout Pick 5 (4-8), Double

Selections 1-3-5-7 Rating ⭐⭐

#1 Road to Remember-had a rough trip over this course last out while breaking from the #12 post and missed by 6 lengths. She gets a better post today, adds blinkers, drops 5 lbs and should be a decent price.

#3 My Cara Mia Mine-rallied to finish 4th last out missing by just 4 lengths in her best effort to date while coming off a 5 month layoff. She needed that one and is the one to beat.

#5 Shinfull-showed speed and finished second two back at this same MSW level then was overmatched in a stake last out. She drops back in with maidens and I.Ortiz gets back in the irons.

#7 Bunty Windermere-fast filly missed by just half a length two back then moved up to this same MSW level  made the lead and missed by 5. She cuts back in distance and should prove to be the speed of the speed.

Saratoga – Race 4

#

Win

Place

Show

1

$5.90

$3.40

$2.60

5

.

$3.80

$2.90

4

.

.

$3.60

Results: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$1.00 Exacta

1/5

$13.90

$1.00 Quinella

1/5

$6.10

$0.50 Trifecta

1/5/4

$29.37

$0.10 Superfecta

1/5/4/3

$8.77

$1.00 Double

3/1

$8.30

$1.00 Pick-3

4/3/1

$39.25

Race 5

Post: 2:45 PM ET Inner turf

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $105,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Pick 4 Races (5-8) Double Wagers

Selections 6-1-5-2 Rating ⭐⭐

#6 Activist Investing-had a horrible trip in his debut and still missed by only 4 lengths. Trainer Brown is hitting at 27% with his maidens in their second start and this one will improve with a clean trip today.

#1 Coach Petro-stalked the leaders, got a head in front in the stretch but had to settle for second in his debut last out while beating our top pick by 2 lengths. Trainer Cox is hitting at 30% with his maidens in their second start and has the one to beat.

#5 Rarified Flair-missed by 5 in his debut then switched to the turf course here and missed by only 2. He is improving and should run into the payoffs.

#2 Conversing-first timer from the McGaughey barn is working well and looks ready for his debut.

Saratoga – Race 5

#

Win

Place

Show

5

$11.20

$5.60

$2.60

2

.

$8.80

$3.20

1

.

.

$2.10

6

.

.

$2.10

Results: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$1.00 Exacta

5/2

$54.50

$0.50 Trifecta

5/2/6

$30.75

$0.50 Trifecta

5/2/1

$33.75

$0.10 Superfecta

5/2/6/1

$10.22

$0.10 Superfecta

5/2/1/6

$11.10

$1.00 Double

1/5

$17.80

$1.00 Pick-3

3/1/5

$59.25

$0.50 Pick-4

4/3/1,2,6/5

$121.00

$0.50 Pick-5

2/4/3/1,2,6/5

$674.00

Race 6

Post: 3:18 PM ET Dirt

1 Mile | State Bred | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $95,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) Pick 6 ($1) Races (6-11), Double Wagers

Selections 1A-6-8-4 Rating ⭐⭐⭐

#1A Best Idea-drew off to break his maiden in his debut then took on stakes runners in three of his next four and finished second in three of them. He finds an easier field today and should get the money.

#6 Dangerous Edge-won two in a row before catching a sloppy track here and finishing 4th. He should get a fast track today and should be a decent price.

#8 Rhymes Like Dimes-got the score two back then came off a 3 month layoff last out and missed by only 3. He runs for 21% winning trainer and will come running late.

#4 Whittington Park-came off a 10 month layoff last out and finished 5th. Trainer Cox is hitting at 29% with his runners in their second start back, this colt gets I.Ortiz and could help our payoffs.

Saratoga – Race 6

#

Win

Place

Show

1A

$3.70

$2.50

$2.10

5

.

$5.20

$3.70

4

.

.

$3.20

Results: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$1.00 Exacta

1/5

$11.20

$0.50 Trifecta

1/5/4

$21.50

$0.10 Superfecta

1/5/4/6

$14.47

$1.00 Double

5/1

$14.90

$1.00 Pick-3

1/5/1

$57.50

Race 7

Post: 3:52 PM ET Dirt

6 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $105,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Grand Slam (7-10) Late Pick 5 (.50) Races (7-11), Double

# PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.

Selections 3-5-1-6 Rating ⭐

#3 Summonourcourage-finished 4th over this track last out missing by just 3 and ¾. Pletcher adds blinkers, a 24% winning move for him and the extra ground will help.

#5 Echo Again-first timer from the Asmussen barn who is hitting at a big 27% here.

#1 Expected Value-first timer from the Brown barn who is hitting at 22% with his debut runners.

#6 Spinzar-one of two from the McGaughey barn. This one shows some good works over the track and should be a good price.

Saratoga – Race 7

#

Win

Place

Show

5

$3.20

$3.20

$2.50

3

.

$4.20

$2.70

1

.

.

$2.90

Results: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$1.00 Exacta

5/3

$7.40

$0.50 Trifecta

5/3/1

$11.90

$0.10 Superfecta

5/3/1/4

$6.12

$1.00 Double

1/5

$3.70

$1.00 Pick-3

5/1/5

$42.75

Race 8

Post: 4:26 PM ET Inner turf

Lake Placid S. 1 1/16 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds | G2 STAKES | Purse: $200,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10) Pick 4 (.50) Races (8-11), Double Wagers

Selections 1-4-3 Rating ⭐⭐⭐

#1 With the Moonlight-shipped over from GB and finished second in her first NA start missing by just a length and ¾ in a grade 1 at Belmont. She then came here and the score in a grade 3. She gets Saez today and looks good for the repeat.

#4 Consumer Spending-finished just a head behind our top pick last out and is the one to beat.

#3 Eminent Victor-came off a 9 month layoff two starts back and rallied to get the score at Belmont. She then had a rough trip last out and missed by a nose in her first start here. She shows a bullet work since and should run into the payoffs.

Race 9

Post: 5:02 PM ET Turf

Smart N Fancy S. 5 1/2 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up | G STAKES | Purse: $150,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (9-11), Double Wagers

Selections 9-6-1-3 Rating ⭐⭐

#9 Caravel-came off a 4 month layoff and won two of three only missing in a grade 2 against the boys by 3 lengths. She then did not fire last out as the favorite and finished 9th. She shows fast works over the turf here since, gets a rider upgrade to Saez and runs for 25% winning trainer.

#6 Miss J McKay-finished just 4 lengths behind our top pick two back then missed by just ¾ of a length in a grade 3 here in which she had a rough trip. She keeps I.Ortiz and will come running late.

#1 Change of Control-hard trying 6 year old has been in the money in 25 of her 37 starts and has over 920k in earnings. She runs hard every time and looks for another in the money finish.

#3 Robin Sparkles-fast 5 year old was dismissed at the windows last out while going wire to wire in a grade 3 over this course going off 21-1. She looks like the speed again today and is fully capable of another wire to wire score.

Saratoga – Race 9

#

Win

Place

Show

9

$9.80

$5.50

$5.00

1

.

$6.70

$4.70

7

.

.

$5.70

Results: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$1.00 Exacta

9/1

$35.00

$0.50 Trifecta

9/1/7

$91.50

$0.10 Superfecta

9/1/7/6

$66.95

$1.00 Double

6/9

$41.75

$1.00 Pick-3

5/6/9

$104.50

Race 10

Post: 5:35 PM ET Dirt

Alabama S. 1 1/4 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds | G1 STAKES | Purse: $600,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double Wagers

Selections 4-3-7 Rating ⭐⭐⭐

#4 Nest-put on a show in her first start over this course last out while drawing off to win a grade 1 by 12 lengths. This 350k filly is at the top of her game and should get the repeat.

#3 Gerrymander-is coming off a 3 length score in her best effort to date. She is trending in the right direction but will need to step it up again today if she wants to run with our top pick.

#7 Secret Oath-came off a two month layoff and finished second behind our top pick last out. She needed that one but a 12 length improvement if a tough ask.

Saratoga – Race 10

#

Win

Place

Show

4

$2.70

$2.10

$2.10

7

.

$3.30

$2.60

2

.

.

$3.80

Results: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ALL

Wager Type

Winning Numbers

Paid

$1.00 Exacta

4/7

$4.10

$0.50 Trifecta

4/7/2

$10.80

$0.10 Superfecta

4/7/2/1

$8.90

$1.00 Grand Slam

1,3,5,6/1,5-8/1,7,9/4

$4.80

$1.00 Double

9/4

$7.30

$1.00 Pick-3

6/9/4

$79.50

Race 11

Post: 6:07 PM ET Inner turf

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $35,000 | Purse: $50,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10) Wagers

Selections 4-7-10-11 Rating ⭐⭐

#4 Wicked Fast-came off a two month layoff last out and missed by only 4 against tougher in his first start over this course. He drops in class and trainer is hitting at 17% here.

#7 Aviano-775k colt from the Pletcher barn is another dropping in class. He gets I.Ortiz and looks like the one to beat.

#10 Sonic Speed– Long shot play. This gelding rallied to miss by just 2 lengths over this course last out at this same level. He gets more ground today and 15-1 seems like a big price.

#11 Gussy Mac- long shot play #2. This gelding missed by just a length and a quarter over this course last out at this same level and shows finishing just 4 lengths behind our top pick who is 7-2. He will be a big price and could help our payoffs.

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