Friday, August 5, 2022
Saratoga Thoroughbred
In races with 3 selections the total cost will be $6 for a $1 bet In races with 4 selections the total cost will be $12 for a $1 bet
The Win Candidates are in order from our top pick to our fourth (or third).
However, we root for the two biggest prices to run 1st and 2nd as it helps our payoffs in our exacta boxes. It does not matter to me if it is our top pick or our fourth- I am trying to make money!
If you have any questions just let me know,
Tom – [email protected]
RATING KEY:
= GREAT BETTING RACE = GOOD BETTING RACE = BAD BETTING RACE
Race 1
Post: 1:05 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | STARTER HANDICAP | Purse: $75,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 9-5 Well Spent J. Castellano 124 Lbs B. Combs L
- 2 2 ML 5-1 Mia Bea Star J. Alvarado 117 Lbs R. Persaud L
- 3 3 ML 6-1 New York Banker I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs O. Noda L
- 4 4 ML 10-1 Towering Gaze J. Lezcano 115 Lbs C. Goberdhan L
- 5 5 ML 2-1 Customerexperience D. Davis 122 Lbs C. Englehart L
- 6 6 ML 9-2 Indian Bella T. McCarthy 120 Lbs M. Kantarmaci L
Selections 5-1-3 Rating
#5 Customerexperience-is coming off a solid effort over this track and was claimed for 32k. New connections are hitting at 16% with their claims in their first start and the start over the track is a big advantage.
#1 Well Spent-drew off to win by 6 last out at Churchill and was claimed for 32k. New trainer is horrible hitting with only 1 of his 36 starters this year but has the one to beat.
#3 New York Banker-missed by only 4 over the track here last out. She keeps I.Ortiz and should be a good price.
Race 2
Post: 1:39 PM ET Inner turf
1 1/16 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $50,000 | Purse: $55,000 Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 8-1 Rosemary Potatoes J. Alvarado 118 Lbs M. Arenas $50,000 L
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Our Jessica J. Ortiz 125 Lbs D. Donk $50,000 L
- 3 3 ML 9-2 Mama Rina J. Leparoux 118 Lbs K. McPeek $50,000 FTL
- 4 4 ML 10-1 Masabeeh R. Santana, Jr. 120 Lbs H. De Paz $50,000 L
- 5 5 ML 10-1 Quaria Thunder J. Castellano 120 Lbs M. Kantarmaci $50,000 L
- 6 6 ML 20-1 Miss Invincible M. Luzzi 120 Lbs A. Chichakly $50,000 L
- 7 7 ML 9-5 Command Point I. Ortiz, Jr. 123 Lbs R. Atras $50,000 L
- 8 8 ML 8-1 Laugh and Play L. Saez 118 Lbs M. Maker $50,000 L
- 9 9 ML 5-1 Fairy Cakes (GB) T. Gaffalione 123 Lbs B. Walsh $50,000
- 10 M ML 2-1 Maybe Later I. Ortiz, Jr. 123 Lbs L. Rice $50,000 L
- 11 M ML 8-1 Clara Belle . Rider TBA 120 Lbs M. Maker $50,000 L
Selections 8-7-1-9 Rating
#8 Laugh and Play-dropped from MSW to MCL 40k last out, got the money and was claimed by Maker. She shows some fast works at Belmont since, Saez takes the mount and we should get a good price.
#7 Command Point-is coming off a 9 month layoff but was taking on tougher. He runs for 23% winning trainer, gets I.Ortiz and is the one to beat.
#1 Rosemary Potatoes-missed by only 4 last out in her first start over this course. She drops in class and the good start here is an advantage.
#9 Fairy Cakes-Took on tougher in two straight at Santa Anita after shipping over from GB. She is working well at Keeneland and could be in the payoffs.
Race 3
Post: 2:15 PM ET Dirt
6 Furlongs | State Bred | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING : $25,000 | Purse: $42,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 6-1 The Other Chad L. Rodriguez Castro 119 Lbs C. Summers $25,000 L
- 2 2 ML 3-1 Devil Or Angel J. Ortiz 119 Lbs D. Donk $25,000 L
- 3 3 ML 7-2 Barone Marchis I. Ortiz, Jr. 119 Lbs O. Noda $25,000 L
- 4 4 ML 9-2 Makart J. Lezcano 119 Lbs J. Ryerson $25,000 L
- 5 5 ML 8-1 Jay’stalker R. Santana, Jr. 124 Lbs B. Levine $25,000 FTL
- 6 6 ML 7-2 Capt’ Remington J. Castellano 124 Lbs E. Davis $25,000 L
- 7 7 ML 6-1 My Slick Nick K. Carmouche 124 Lbs J. Taylor $25,000
Selections 6-5-2-3 Rating
#6 Capt’Remington-is coming off back to back second and missed by just a neck last out. He shows two good works over the track and will come from off the pace.
#5 Jay’stalker-first timer is working well for trainer Levine who is hitting at 19% with his debut runners.
#2 Devil Or Angel-came from off the pace to finish second beaten just two lengths then went to the lead last out and finished 4th. He keeps J.Ortiz and should be in the money.
#3 Barone Marchis-came off a 2 month layoff last out and finished 5th while making his first start for new connections after being claimed. He needed that one, gets I.Ortiz and will come running late.
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Race 4
Post: 2:49 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | State Bred | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $25,000 | Purse: $55,000 Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 5-1 Mr. Pete J. Alvarado 124 Lbs E. Davis $25,000 L
- 2 2 ML 4-1 Jemography E. Cancel 122 Lbs E. DeLauro $25,000 L
- 3 3 ML 5-2 Tapizearance J. Ortiz 124 Lbs G. Rodriguez $25,000 L
- 4 4 ML 5-1 Breaking Stones D. Davis 122 Lbs R. Rodriguez $25,000 L
- 5 5 ML 3-1 Magnetron J. Castellano 124 Lbs J. Englehart $25,000 L
- 6 6 ML 8-1 Forever Wicked A. Castillo 122 Lbs R. Persaud $25,000 L
- 7 7 ML 10-1 Gandy Dancing O. Hernandez Moreno 115 Lbs J. Pregman, Jr. $25,000 L
Selections 4-3-5 Rating
#4 Breaking Stones-drew off to win by 3 lengths last out and was claimed for 16k. New trainer moves him up to 25k and is hitting at 25% with his claims in their first start.
#3 Tapizearance-finished second two back and was claimed for 25k. He then did not fire in his first start for new connections when moved up in class. He drops back down to 25k, gets J.Ortiz and will show speed.
#5 Magnetron-has been in the money in 5 of 8 starts this year and looks for another in the money finish.
Race 5
Post: 3:21 PM ET Inner turf
1 1/2 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | Purse: $115,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) Pick 6 ($1) Races (5-10), Triple Play ($3) (5,8,9), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 10 ML 5-2 Shad Nation I. Ortiz, Jr. 120 Lbs C. Clement L
- 1A A ML 5-2 Santa Giulia (FR) J. Rosario 120 Lbs C. Brown L
- 1X M ML 5-2 Baby Man J. Gomez 113 Lbs R. Rodriguez L
- 2 1 ML 15-1 Noble Enterprise J. Leparoux 123 Lbs P. Pugh L
- 3 2 ML 12-1 Ballymore Star (IRE) K. Carmouche 125 Lbs J. Sweezey L
- 4 3 ML 12-1 Except Temptation R. Santana, Jr. 125 Lbs T. Albertrani L
- 5 4 ML 4-1 Rheaume T. McCarthy 125 Lbs M. Dickinson L
- 6 5 ML 10-1 Sequist T. Gaffalione 118 Lbs D. Stewart L
- 7 6 ML 8-1 Good Measure J. Velazquez 125 Lbs H. Motion L
- 8 7 ML 6-1 My Sweet Story J. Ortiz 125 Lbs I. Correas, IV L
- 9 8 ML 15-1 St Maarten Girl E. Cancel 120 Lbs R. Rohena L
- 10 9 ML 5-1 Hail To D. Davis 120 Lbs T. Albertrani L
- 11 M ML 2-1 Wasp F. Prat 125 Lbs T. Pletcher L
Selections 10-1-7-8 Rating
#10 Hail to-has a win from just two starts over this course and is coming off a neck loss in her best effort to date.
#1 Shad Nation-came off a three month layoff last out and rallied to miss by just a length and a quarter. She needed that one, gets I.Ortiz and will come running late.
#7 Good Measure-has been in the money in all 5 of her starts this year and looks for another in the money finish at a price.
#8 My Sweet Story-is making his third start back off a 9 month layoff, gets J.Ortiz and could run into the payoffs.
Race 6
Post: 3:55 PM ET Turf
5 1/2 Furlongs | Auction | Fillies | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $83,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8), Grand Slam (6-9) Late Pick 5 (.50) Races (6-10), Double
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 6-1 Run for Cover T. Gaffalione 119 Lbs M. Casse
- 2 2 ML 7-2 Love Tank L. Saez 119 Lbs M. Maker
- 3 3 ML 20-1 Extessa B. Hernandez 119 Lbs A. Chichakly
- 4 4 ML 6-1 Aztec Nights J. Velazquez 119 Lbs W. Catalano
- 5 5 ML 10-1 Sirius Light J. Rosario 119 Lbs R. Moquett
- 6 6 ML 10-1 Influentialous K. Carmouche 119 Lbs D. Gargan
- 7 7 ML 15-1 Peach Street J. Alvarado 119 Lbs A. Stall, Jr.
- 8 8 ML 3-1 Stellar Lady J. Leparoux 119 Lbs K. McPeek
- 9 9 ML 8-1 Bella Cosa J. Castellano 119 Lbs C. Martin
- 10 10 ML 8-1 She’ll Never Know D. Davis 119 Lbs T. Amoss
Selections 8-2-10-6 Rating
#8 Stellar Lady-rallied to finish second in her debut last out which was over this track. Trainer is hitting at 18% with his maidens in their second start and has the one to beat.
#2 Love Tank-ran evenly in her debut and finished 5th then added blinkers for her second start, made the lead and held well to miss by just a length in second. She cuts back in distance, gets Saez and should prove tough.
#10 She’ll Never Know-missed by only 3 in her debut last out and should improve at a price.
#6 Influentialous-showed brief speed in her debut last out. Trainer is hitting at 16% with his maidens in their second start and this one should improve at a price.
Race 7
Post: 4:29 PM ET Dirt
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $16,000 | Purse: $42,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9) Pick 4 (.50) Races (7-10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 15-1 Invest L. Rodriguez Castro 125 Lbs L. Shivmangal $16,000 L
- 2 2 ML 5-1 Dark Storm T. McCarthy 123 Lbs M. Kantarmaci $16,000 L
- 3 3 ML 5-2 Lil Commissioner J. Gomez 118 Lbs R. Atras $16,000 L
- 4 4 ML 3-1 Direct Order M. Franco 125 Lbs G. Rodriguez $16,000 L
- 5 5 ML 9-2 Ragtime Blues L. Saez 123 Lbs J. Englehart $16,000 L
- 6 6 ML 20-1 Parade Field A. Worrie 123 Lbs M. LeCesse $16,000 L
- 7 7 ML 8-1 Handy I. Ortiz, Jr. 123 Lbs B. Lucas $16,000 L
- 8 8 ML 15-1 O Shea Can U See O. Hernandez Moreno 116 Lbs D. Laxmeter $16,000 L
- 9 9 ML 8-1 Auburn Hills J. Alvarado 123 Lbs R. Persaud $16,000 L
Selections 2-3-5-4 Rating
#2 Dark Storm-missed by only 4 last out which was over this track. He drops a notch and the start here is an advantage.
#3 Lil Commissioner-came off a two month layoff and got the money at this same level. He will show speed and is the one to beat.
#5 Ragtime Blues-won at this same level three back then got the repeat before missing by just 3 lengths last out. He drops back down to 16k and looks to start a new win streak.
#4 Direct Order- rallied to miss by just ¾ of a length last out and was claimed away from an .06% winning trainer (6 for 100). New trainer is hitting at 25% with his claims in their first start and this one will improve.
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Race 8
Post: 5:05 PM ET Inner turf
National Museum of Racing Hall of Fame S. 1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds | G2 STAKES | Purse: $200,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 6-1 Chanceux I. Ortiz, Jr. 118 Lbs T. Pletcher
- 2 2 ML 12-1 Dowagiac Chief T. Gaffalione 122 Lbs T. Amoss
- 3 3 ML 4-1 Wit J. Ortiz 118 Lbs T. Pletcher
- 4 4 ML 20-1 Wow Whata Summer T. Conner 124 Lbs J. Lawrence, II
- 5 5 ML 8-1 Stolen Base F. Prat 124 Lbs M. Maker
- 6 6 ML 9-2 Ready to Purrform J. Rosario 118 Lbs B. Cox
- 7 7 ML 5-1 Double Clutch M. Franco 118 Lbs G. Arnold, II
- 8 8 ML 6-1 Celestial City J. Castellano 118 Lbs C. McGaughey III
- 9 9 ML 7-2 Tiz the Bomb J. Leparoux 120 Lbs K. McPeek
Selections 9-6-3-5 Rating
#9 Tiz the Bomb-missed by 5 in his debut then reeled off three wins in row before finishing second in the Breeders Cup JUV Turf. He then won two in a row at Turfway before not firing in the KY Derby. He came off a 2 month layoff last out and threw in a clunker in a grade 1 at Belmont. He finds an easier field today, needed his last race and looks to get back to his winning ways.
#7 Double Clutch-came off a 3 month layoff last out and rallied to finish second missing by only 2 lengths. He needed that one and will improve.
#6 Ready to Purrfrom-finished just a length behind our second pickl last out. He runs for 24% winning trainer and should be right there again today.
#3 Wit-has won 3 of his 6 starts with a second and a third. He shows a bullet work on the turf here beaten 63 others and looks ready for a big effort.
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Race 9
Post: 5:39 PM ET Turf
Troy S. presented by Horse Racing Ireland 5 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up | G3 STAKES | Purse: $300,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 15-1 Spycraft T. Gaffalione 122 Lbs J. Sharp
- 2 2 ML 12-1 Yes and Yes J. Velazquez 120 Lbs D. Donk
- 3 3 ML 9-2 Arzak J. Rosario 122 Lbs M. Trombetta
- 4 4 ML 6-1 Carotari L. Saez 122 Lbs B. Lynch
- 5 5 ML 1-2 Golden Pal I. Ortiz, Jr. 124 Lbs W. Ward
- 6 6 ML 8-1 True Valour (IRE) F. Lynch 122 Lbs H. Motion
- 7 7 ML 30-1 Thin White Duke J. Ortiz 118 Lbs D. Donk
Selections 5-4-3 Rating
#5 Golden Pal-classy 4 year old has won 6 of his 10 starts with 2 seconds and has over 1.4 million in earnings. He is a perfect two for two here and should beat up on these.
#4 Carotari-won three in a row before missing by 3 last out. He has win and a second from his two starts here and should be a good price.
#3 Arzak-missed his third win in a row last out by just a length. He is at the top of his game and should be in the payoffs.
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Race 10
Post: 6:13 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | State Bred | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING: $25,000 | Purse: $42,000 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10) Wagers
- # PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.
- 1 1 ML 30-1 Miss Malala J. Samuel 119 Lbs J. Ferraro $25,000 L
- 2 2 ML 8-1 Kukaro J. Lezcano 119 Lbs J. Ryerson $25,000 FTL
- 3 3 ML 6-1 Regal Rebel I. Ortiz, Jr. 119 Lbs R. Atras $25,000 L
- 4 4 ML 7-2 Big Bean Christine L. Saez 119 Lbs B. Grossman $25,000 L
- 5 5 ML 10-1 Roz D. Davis 119 Lbs M. Miceli $25,000 L
- 6 6 ML 5-2 Wicked Lady J. Leparoux 119 Lbs K. McPeek $25,000
- 7 7 ML 7-2 Skyward Princess M. Franco 119 Lbs C. Brown $25,000 L
- 8 8 ML 15-1 Caiarossa H. Harkie 119 Lbs H. Bond $25,000 FTL
- 9 9 ML 8-1 Jet Set Juliet J. Gomez 114 Lbs R. Rodriguez $25,000 L
Selections 6-7-4-3 Rating
#6 Wicked Lady-drops from MSW to MCL 25k for trainer McPeek who is hitting at 19% with his runners making this drop.
#7 Skyward Princess-finished 5th last out beaten 6 lengths while running over this course against 40k maidens. She drops to 25k, adds blinkers and is the one to beat.
#4 Big Bean Christine-rallied to miss by just a head last out over this course and should run into the payoffs again today.
#3 Regal Rebel-came off a 6 month layoff last out and showed speed before tiring late. She drops from the MSW to this MCL, gets I.Ortiz and should be a good price.
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