From Guesswork to Precision — How Modern Pace Analysis Changed Everything

🏇 Why Pace is the Hidden Language of Every Race

Every race tells a story long before the gate opens — and it’s written in pace.
After handicapping more than 200,000 races, one thing has become clear: most bettors underestimate how pace decides outcomes.

Speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran.
Pace figures tell you when it ran fast — and that’s the difference between being in position to win or empty at the eighth pole.

At Battaglia’s Picks, we’ve always viewed pace as the race before the race. But when we began integrating TimeformUS pace data into our analysis, it reshaped the way we read every field.

📊 The Breakthrough: Measuring Energy Distribution

TimeformUS doesn’t just measure raw speed — it quantifies how a horse uses its energy.
Each horse receives:

• Early Pace Figures (EP): How fast they run to the half-mile mark.
• Late Pace Figures (LP): How efficiently they finish relative to the setup.

When you combine them, you see the true shape of a race — and how a horse’s running style fits into it.

Example:
A horse with EP 110 / LP 65 is a front-runner who spends everything early.
A horse with EP 85 / LP 110 is a deep closer who saves all its run for the stretch.
Understanding that dynamic before they even load is how professionals stay ahead.

🔍 How We Apply It: Trip Scenarios in Real Time

At Battaglia’s Picks, our process layers human pattern recognition on top of this data.
We map out the most likely trip scenario — who controls the lead, who presses, and who inherits the perfect stalk position.

The AI engine running behind our daily cards uses TimeformUS data to:

• Flag pace mismatches (a closer in a field with no speed)
• Identify hidden overlays (a stalker who’ll get first run when leaders fade)
• Detect false favorites (front-runners facing more pressure than they’ve ever handled)

That’s how we predict pace collapses, and why our Top 4 selections often include logical longshots that others miss.

⚙️ From Patterns to Predictions

Pace is not a number — it’s a pattern.
Over 40 years of charting races taught us what happens when energy distribution meets track bias, distance, and class level. Our AI quantified those patterns, running simulations across thousands of races to assign a “Pace Efficiency Score” to each contender.

That score measures:

• How well a horse’s running style fits today’s projected flow
• How often similar pace profiles win under identical setups

When you see a Battaglia comment like “Perfect stalking trip projected” or “Owns clear pace advantage,” that’s not an opinion — that’s the data talking.

🧠 Why TimeformUS Changed Everything

Before we adopted TimeformUS, pace was largely a visual art — reading running lines, guessing fractions, and hoping for consistency.
Now, every Battaglia card quantifies that insight: how the energy curve of each race interacts with class, form, and price.

It’s the reason our selections aren’t just accurate — they’re predictive.
We’re not reacting to results; we’re anticipating them.

🏆 The Future of Handicapping is Quantified Pace

The sport is evolving, and pace handicapping is leading the charge.
By pairing four decades of human intuition with machine-level analysis, we’ve built something that doesn’t rely on opinion — it relies on evidence.

“You can’t outguess the race — but you can out-measure it.”
— Tom Battaglia

🎯 Experience the Difference

Every Battaglia’s Picks card is built on the science of pace — powered by TimeformUS data, refined by human judgment, and proven by results.

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