Three Numbers Every Serious Horseplayer Must Read


The Daily Racing Form gives you more data than most players realize. The trick is knowing how to interpret it.

  • Beyer Speed Figures – One number. How fast the horse ran after adjusting for distance and track variant.
  • TimeformUS Pace Figures – Two numbers. Early speed and late energy, showing how the horse earned its figure.
  • Speed Rating + Track Variant (85–12) – Often overlooked. It measures the raw performance against a par, then adjusts for track speed.

Most horseplayers know Beyer Speed Figures. They’ve been in the Daily Racing Form for decades and serve one purpose: how fast a horse ran the race after adjusting for distance and track variant.

But here’s the flaw:

  • Beyers flatten a race into one number.
  • They don’t tell you how the horse earned that figure — was it front-loaded with blazing fractions or a grinding closer’s finish?
  • Two horses with identical Beyers can have completely opposite running styles.

 Don’t just look at the numbers. Learn what they mean.

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That’s where TimeformUS Pace Figures come in.

 How Timeform Pace Works

In every DRF past performance, you’ll see two pace numbers next to each horse:

  • Early Pace – A measure of raw speed through the opening fractions.
  • Late Pace – A measure of finishing energy when others are slowing down.

Unlike Beyers, these are separate components, not rolled into one. That separation is crucial:

  • Horse A: Early Pace 112, Late 40 → Pure speed. Can wire if unchallenged, but collapses when pressured.
  • Horse B: Early Pace 70, Late 98 → Closer. Gets stronger when the front is hot, but needs a setup.
  • Horse C: Early 95, Late 90 → Balanced. Dangerous in almost any race shape.

Now look at their Beyers:

  • Horse A: 82
  • Horse B: 82
  • Horse C: 82

On Beyers, they’re equal. On Timeform, they’re completely different animals.

 What “85–12” Really Means

At the end of every running line, you’ll see something like 85–12.

  • The first number (85) = the horse’s raw speed rating for that race, on a 0–130 scale.
  • The second number (12) = the track variant, the adjustment made because the track was either playing fast or slow that day.

So a horse with a 85–12 earned a raw 85, but it was on a day the track was 11 points slow. Adjusting that brings the performance closer to what the horse actually ran against par.

Here’s the kicker:

  • Beyers already incorporate variant adjustments.
  • Speed ratings + variants let you see the adjustment yourself. Sometimes a “slow Beyer” isn’t the horse’s fault — the track was deep, cuppy, or dull.

Combine that with Timeform pace shape and you’ll know not just how fast, but how the race was run and whether the figure is trustworthy.

Major Upcoming Horse Racing Events

Our AI-driven handicapping and 40 years of experience cover all the premier circuits. Here is where the action is happening:

  • Gulfstream Park: The Championship Meet is in full swing, culminating in the Florida Derby (G1) on March 28.
  • Fair Grounds: The New Orleans road to the Derby heats up with the Risen Star (G2) on February 14 and the Louisiana Derby (G2) on March 21.
  • Oaklawn Park: Arkansas's biggest tests are here, featuring the Rebel Stakes (G2) on February 21 and the Arkansas Derby (G1) on March 28.
  • Keeneland: The prestigious Spring Meet runs from April 3 – April 24, featuring the Blue Grass Stakes (G1) on April 4.
  • Churchill Downs: The Spring Meet opens April 25, leading directly into Kentucky Oaks Day (May 1) and the 152nd Kentucky Derby on May 2.

Belmont at Saratoga: The Triple Crown concludes with the Belmont Stakes (G1) on June 6, held once again at historic Saratoga.

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